NFL Odds Week 4: Steelers vs Texans Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

The Texans pulled off a big upset win over Baltimore last week, however, the NFL Week 4 betting odds still see Houston as a short home underdog against the Steelers in this matchup. Coverage begins from NRG Stadium in Houston on Sunday, October 1 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 4 Steelers vs. Texans: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans Odds

• Opening point spread: Steelers -3
• Opening moneyline: Steelers -165/Texans +142
• Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh opened -4 at Fanatics Sportsbook and dropped to -2 by Thursday, with stops along the way. The Steelers climbed back to -3 (-105) Saturday and are now -3 (-105). Ticket count is 3/1 and money almost 4/1 on Pittsburgh.

The total opened at 40.5, peaked at 42.5 multiple times Friday/Saturday, but is now down to 41. It's almost perfect two-way play on the total.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM pegged the Steelers -3.5 (-105) to open and spent the rest of the week at various iterations of -3. Pittsburgh is currently -3 (-105), while underdog Houston is taking 51% of tickets/56% of cash.

The total opened at 40.5 and peaked at 42.5 briefly Wednesday before settling at 42. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 5/1-plus on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Much like Indy, Houston pulled off a road upset that killed countless parlays/moneyline parlays and teasers. The Texans (1-2 SU and ATS) closed as 7.5-point underdogs and stunned Jacksonville 37-17.

Pittsburgh (2-1 SU and ATS) held off Las Vegas 23-18 getting 3 points on the road.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 4 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Steelers vs Texans Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

This total is rising, and I don't see why. Houston's run defense has been terrible, but the Steelers can't run the ball to save their lives, and the Texans defense will keep getting better as the secondary gets healthy. Still, Stroud won't be able to pick apart Pittsburgh's defense the way he has lesser opponents.

Mike Tomlin has been the most profitable road unders coach over the past two decades at 74-54-1 (58%), and games with home underdogs have hit the under 61% of the last two seasons.

I think Stroud struggles against the Pittsburgh pass rush with all those line injuries, but I'm not loving the Steelers offense, either. I'll follow the trends and expect a tough, low-scoring game.

Pick: Under 42.5 (-110)

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Steelers vs Texans

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Tomlin road unders are 78-59-1 (56.9%), best of any coach in the last 20 years. 53-25-1 (68%) since 2014.

For more NFL Week 4 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 4 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson