NFL Odds Week 5: Giants vs Dolphins Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The NFL betting odds see the Dolphins as huge home favorites to bounce back from a double-digit loss against the Giants in Week 5. Coverage begins from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, October 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 5 Giants vs Dolphins: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates.

New York Giants vs Miami Dolphins Odds

• Opening point spread: Dolphins -9.5
• Opening moneyline: Dolphins -450/Giants +350
• Opening total: Over/Under 49.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami opened -9.5 at BetMGM and got as high as -13 Thursday, with several stops along the way. The Dolphins are now -12.5 and getting hammered, with 84% of spread tickets/91% of spread dollars.

BetMGM's total made its way from 49.5 to 47.5 by Thursday. It's still 47.5, though tickets and money are in the 4/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: TwinSpires waited until after New York's Week 4 Monday night debacle to open the Giants-Dolphins game. At that point, the Dolphins opened -11.5, and they've since nudged down to -11. Miami is taking 70% of spread bets/62% of spread money thus far.

TwinSpires' total opened at 50, then dipped to 49.5 and 49. The Over is netting 77% of tickets, but money is much closer, at 54% on the Over.

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"Sharp play on Under 50. The Dolphins may have to put up 50 themselves to hit the Over," Lucas said.

Indeed, the Giants' offense has generally been anemic this season. New York got shut out 40-0 by Dallas in Week 1, lost 30-12 at San Francisco in Week 3 and fell 24-3 vs. Seattle in Week 4.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami was flying high after a 70-20 Week 3 beatdown of Denver. But Buffalo quickly brought the Dolphins (3-1 SU and ATS) back to earth, with Miami losing 48-20 as a 3-point road underdog.

New York (1-2 SU/0-3 ATS) still has Week 4 work to do, hosting Seattle in the Monday night game.

"There have been a couple sprinkles on Miami minus the points. But I think the majority of our action will come based on how the Giants look Monday night," Degnon said, alluding to the Seahawks-Giants game. "The Dolphins lost today, but the public is always drawn to high-flying offenses, so I don't think that will keep them off the home favorite.

"And it's another game where I expect there to be some liability on the Over by kickoff."

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 5 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Giants vs Dolphins Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Dolphins are No. 1 in Offensive DVOA. The Giants are No. 32. Both defenses rank bottom six in DVOA, each bottom 10 against both the run and the pass.

This number has come way down all week, so enjoy the value and go the other way.

Miami could go over this number itself with Wink Martindale blitzing all game and the Dolphins getting back on track offensively. Even if they don't, Miami's defense is going to allow Jones and the Giants to get some points along the way. It's hard to imagine this being a slow, low-scoring game.

Pick: Over 47.5 (-115)

For more NFL Week 5 picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 5: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Giants vs Dolphins

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Dolphins are still averaging an absurd 8.02 yards per play this year. That is second-best all-time through four games behind the “Greatest Show on Turf” Rams in 2000 (8.14) and more than the 2011 Patriots (7.52). Usually teams with early season high-power offenses come back to reality. Teams who average 6+ YPP in Game 5 or later are 23-46-1 ATS (33.3%) since 2019.

For more NFL Week 5 betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 5 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson