NFL Odds Week 6: Broncos vs Chiefs Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 6 of the NFL season kicks things off with a lopsided AFC West clash between the Broncos and Chiefs, with Kansas City standing as a double-digit home favorite according to the betting odds. Coverage begins from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City on Thursday, October 12 at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 6 Broncos vs. Chiefs: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -10.5
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs TBA/Broncos TBA
• Opening total: Over/Under 51.5 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime)

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Kansas City opened -10.5 and sits at -10.5 a few hours before kickoff at PointsBet, a Fanatics Experience. In between, the Chiefs dipped to -10 multiple times Monday and once more on Wednesday morning.

K.C. then went to -10.5 Wednesday afternoon and -11 for a couple hours this morning, before returning to -10.5. No surprise, spread play is heavy to the Chiefs, at 77% of tickets/78% of money. And bettors are even laying the hefty moneyline price on the Chiefs.

"Despite the Chiefs sitting as heavy favorites, bettors are backing their moneyline at a -600 price," PointsBet trader Ethan Useloff said. "Typically, a double-digit-point favorite will see the underdog carry the liability in the moneyline market. But the public views the Chiefs favorably enough that the price doesn't faze bettors.

"Furthermore, the Chiefs -10.5 line has significantly more money on it than the Broncos to cover."

Taylor Swift reportedly will attend tonight's game, but bettors aren't yet hammering Travis Kelce props at PointsBet. The most popular player prop, by both tickets and money, is on Chefs tailback Isiah Pacheco anytime touchdown -150.

Kelce (ankle) was listed as questionable much of this week, but it appears he will play tonight.

With a 40% chance of rain and wind of 15-25 mph expected, the total plunged from 51.5 to 47.5 by Tuesday morning. This afternoon, it dipped to 47 and 46.5, and it's now at 47. The Over is seeing 60% of bets, while 56% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chiefs open and remain 10.5-point favorites at TwinSpires Sportsbook. Spread ticket count is 3/1 and spread money just shy of 3/1 on Kansas City.

"Two teams going opposite directions. The Broncos will very likely be a large need for us on Thursday Night Football," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

TwinSpires' total tumbled from 51 to 47, with multiple stops along the way. The latest move came this afternoon, from 47.5 to 47. The Over is getting 55% of tickets, while 68% of cash is on the Under.

"Sharp play on Under 51 and Under 49," Lucas said.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Since suffering a season-opening home loss to Detroit, Kansas City has won four in a row (3-1 SU). In Week 5, the Chiefs (4-1 SU/3-2 ATS) fended off Minnesota 27-20 laying 3.5 points on the road.

Tight end Travis Kelce suffered a first-half foot injury, but played through it in the second half, scoring a touchdown.

Denver continues last season's trend of being awful. The Broncos (1-4 SU/0-4-1 ATS) have yet to cash for bettors. In Week 5, Russell Wilson and Co. lost 31-21 as 2.5-point home favorites against the New York Jets.

Wilson sealed Denver's fate when his final-minute fumble was returned for a Jets touchdown.

Chase Michaelson, risk supervisor at The SuperBook, said the Chiefs were -10.5 on the Denver-K.C. lookahead line. That's where the number opened tonight, and it hasn't moved.

"Denver has continued to disappoint, with another uninspiring loss to the Jets today," Michaelson said. "It will be interesting to see if Travis Kelce is a full go with only three days of rest. We will need Denver. The public is all the way back in on K.C., after some [Chiefs] rustiness early in the season."

The total is already down a point to 50.5 on The SuperBook's NFL Week 6 odds board.

Kansas City is on a 15-0 SU firestorm in this AFC West rivalry, going 10-5 ATS. On Denver's plus side: a 4-1 ATS mark in the last five meetings.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 6 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Broncos vs Chiefs Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Check back soon for picks!

Pick: TBD

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 6: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Broncos vs Chiefs

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Check back soon for betting stats!

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 6 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson