NFL Odds Week 7: Falcons vs Buccaneers Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

An NFC South battle takes place in Tampa in Week 7 of the NFL season as the Buccaneers welcome in the Falcons. The odds show Tampa Bay as a 2.5-point home favorite against Atlanta. Catch all the action live from Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, October 22 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 7 Falcons vs Buccaneers: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

• Opening point spread: Buccaneers -2.5
• Opening moneyline: Bucs -140/Falcons +120
• Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Not much has changed since Friday at BetMGM (see below update). Tampa Bay is at -2.5 (-115) and getting practically all the spread play, with tickets still almost 6/1 and money 9/1 on the Bucs.

This morning, the total nudged up to 37.5. Tickets and money are almost dead even, with a very slight edge to the Under.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Tampa Bay is nailed to -2.5 this week at BetMGM, with only a price adjustment from the flat -110 to -115 for about 24 hours from Tuesday into Wednesday. Early ticket count is almost 6/1 and early money 9/1 on the Bucs.

The total is down to 37 (Over -115) from a 39.5 opener, with stops at 38.5 Monday and 38 Wednesday. Ticket count is almost 3/1 and money 7/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Atlanta is 1-3 SU in its last four games and is on an 0-5 ATS purge. In Week 6, the Falcons (3-3 SU/1-5 ATS) fell 24-16 giving 1.5 points at home to Washington.

Tampa Bay (3-2 SU and ATS) mustered only second- and third-quarter field goals, losing to Detroit 20-6 as a 3-point home pup.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 7 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The numbers say this is a very bad situational spot for Atlanta. The Falcons offense ranks dead last on the road by DVOA and 29th in the first half. Atlanta ranks 27th in first down DVOA, versus No. 2 for Tampa Bay's defense. That Bucs defense is the one consistent standout unit in this game, with Tampa Bay near top 10 against both the run and the pass.

I love this spot for the Bucs, at least early. The numbers set up for a lot of 2nd-and-9s and 3rd-and-6s for Atlanta, which could put the Falcons in a hole early and keep them playing from a position of weakness.

Beyond the trends, there's another reason I want to play just the first half: Ridder has been so bad that I fear him getting benched mid-game if this goes badly again. I don't really want to bet against Taylor Heinicke here, so let's cash at halftime and get out of there.

Pick: First Half Spread - Buccaneers -1 (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 7: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Falcons vs Buccaneers

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Falcons have struggled in the first half under Desmond Ridder, going 0-10 against the first half spread in his career. They are failing to cover 1H spread by 6.4 PPG. 1H points under Ridder: 3, 9, 7, 10, 14, 3, 3, 0, 7, 10. Dating back to college, Ridder has lost 12 straight 1H ATS.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 7 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson