NFL Odds Week 8: Chiefs vs Broncos Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 8 of the NFL season resumes with what has the makings of a lopsided AFC West rematch between the Chiefs and Broncos. The betting odds see Denver as a 7.5-point home underdog coming off its second win of the season. Coverage begins from Mile High Stadium in Denver on Sunday, October 29 at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 8 Chiefs vs Broncos: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -8.5
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -400/Broncos +300
• Opening total: Over/Under 45.5 points scored
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Chiefs are actually down to -7 (-115) at BetMGM, reaching that point Thursday night after opening -8.5 Sunday. That said, spread tickets and money are still in the 3/1 range on Kansas City.

The total actually climbed from 45.5 to 46 Tuesday, then 47 Wednesday, despite snow expected Saturday/Sunday pregame in Denver, and temperatures in the high 20s. The Over is taking 67% of early tickets/61% of early money.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City notched a solid 31-17 victory over the L.A. Chargers laying 5.5 points at home in Week 7. The Chiefs led 24-17 and held L.A. scoreless in the second half.

Now, K.C. meets Denver for the second time in three weeks, having beaten the Broncos 19-8 as 10.5-point Week 6 home faves.

Denver (2-5 SU/1-5-1 ATS) finally covered for the first time this season – barely. The Packers-Broncos spread jumped the fence shortly before kickoff, moving to Denver -1. The Broncos got a late field goal to beat Green Bay 19-17.

Check out our NFL odds page for all NFL games.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 8 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Chiefs vs Broncos Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Denver's defensive ratings are screwed for the season after giving up 70 to Miami, but the D has improved a lot since, with just 36 points allowed the last two weeks — and remember, one of those games came against these Chiefs.

Trends like the under here. Games with a home underdog have gone under 61% of the time the last two seasons, and unders with a total above 44 are 69% for 7-to-11-point dogs. And if the game does go under, that makes it even tougher for a team to cover by more than a touchdown. The Chiefs have been better covering big spreads this season but usually aren't great in that spot.

Denver has a big home advantage in the cold and snow. The Broncos offense has been far better at home (10th in DVOA versus 26th on the road), while the Chiefs defense has been much worse on the road (15th vs fourth). Sean Payton (60% ATS) and Russell Wilson (66% ATS) are usually profitable underdogs, and they're each 69% ATS as division dogs.

Play both angles together since they're correlated, and be sure to grab +7.5 and 47.5 if you can since both are right above the most important key numbers.

Pick: Broncos +7.5 & Under 47.5 Same Game Parlay (+190)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Chiefs vs Broncos

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The last time Denver beat KC was Sept. 17, 2015 at Arrowhead. QB Patrick Mahomes was celebrating his 20th birthday after having just started his sophomore season at Texas Tech. Peyton Manning is still the last Denver quarterback to take down Kansas City.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson