NFL Odds Week 8: Jaguars vs Steelers Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends
Matchup | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Steelers vs
Jaguars | +2 (-110)
-2 (-110) | o40.5 (-115)
u40.5 (-105) | +106 -124 |
Week 8 of the NFL season continues with what's expected to be a tightly contested AFC showdown between the Jaguars and Steelers. The betting odds favor Jacksonville by 1.5 points seeking their fifth straight victory. Coverage begins from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Sunday, October 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.
Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 8 Jaguars vs Steelers: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
- Opening point spread: Pick
- Opening moneyline: Jaguars -130/Steelers +110
- Opening total: Over/Under 41 points scored
- Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:15 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Jacksonville fell from -2.5 to -1.5 (-115) at BetMGM late Friday afternoon. But the Jags are now back out to -2.5 (-105). Jacksonville is getting 59% of spread tickets/65% of spread money.
As was the case Friday (see below update), the total is at 41. The Under is getting a modest majority 57% of bets, but that's translating into 90% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Jags advanced from -1.5 to -2.5 (-120) by Monday night at BetMGM, then got to -3 (-105) for a few hours Thursday. Jacksonville then nudged down to -2.5 (-115). It's two-way spread play, with 52% of tickets on the Jaguars/56% of money on the Steelers.
BetMGM's total opened at 41.5, bottomed out at 40.5 (Over -115) Monday and peaked at 42 Tuesday. It's been at 41 since Thursday morning, with tickets 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This is another line on the move early in the week at PointsBet. Jacksonville opened -1 and stretched to -3 by Monday evening, then spent most of the past two days at various iterations of -2.5.
The Jags are now -2.5 (-115), with early spread tickets and dollars in the 3/1 range on Jacksonville.
"The Steelers have been an anomaly in the betting market to date. And in the eyes of the market, the only thing that Pittsburgh can get right is adding to its W column," Meenan said. "The Steelers' gritty fourth-quarter performances have them well in the running for the playoffs, yet they will go into another game as home underdogs. The Jags opened at 1-point favorites here, and sharp movement has gone with the road favorites.
"The public money has also followed the Jags. However, this isn’t anything new for the Steelers. And with the total hovering around the key figure of 42, I would expect another closely fought, gritty AFC matchup.”
PointsBet opened the total at 41.5 and briefly fell back to 40.5 Monday morning. But the number then went to 41/41.5/42 within an hour, and it remains at 42 this afternoon. Ticket count is approaching 2/1 and money 6/1-plus on the Over.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Jacksonville (5-2 SU and ATS) has won four in a row on the field and against the oddsmakers. In the Week 7 Thursday nighter, the Jags blew a 24-9 second-half lead, allowing New Orleans to tie it at 24 midway through the fourth quarter.
But a gritty and banged-up Trevor Lawrence led a late TD drive to give Jacksonville a 31-24 victory catching 2.5 points on the road.
Somehow, Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU and ATS. The Steelers were getting 3.5 points at the L.A. Rams in Week 7 and put up two fourth-quarter TDs to win 24-17.
Jacksonville is already on the move on The SuperBook's NFL Week 8 odds board.
"It's been all Jags and Over," Degnon said, noting the line moved from pick to Jaguars -1.5. "Both teams are coming off impressive Week 7 performances. I think as the week progresses, the action will balance out."
Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 8 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.
Jaguars vs Steelers Pick, Prediction
Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:
It looks like the Jaguars might just be the much better team, and if they are, we might know quickly.
Jacksonville ranks second in DVOA the last four weeks, including top six on both offense and defense. That improved defense looks like a massive mismatch against a struggling Steelers offense that's been particularly terrible early in games, dead last in first half DVOA.
The Jaguars have been better early, and the offense has done well getting an early lead with its scripted plays. After this long month and with all the Jacksonville injuries, it wouldn't be shocking to see things go sideways late on the road. Get your money early and get out.
You already know this is a Rah Rah Mike Tomlin underdog spot. Tomlin is 72% ATS as an underdog from Week 5 forward, and he's 16-4-3 ats (80%) as a home dog of seven or less.
The Steelers are outmatched on paper here, but what else is new? Tomlin always seems to find a way to hang around. Pittsburgh has been far better in the second half — sixth on offense and fifth on defense by DVOA versus 22nd and 32nd earlier — so this sets up for the usual Pittsburgh comeback script.
You've seen it the last two games. Pittsburgh beat the Ravens and Rams by winning 14-0 in each fourth quarter. The game script sets up well for the Steelers late, especially if Jacksonville tires out at the end of its long month. If you really want to get frisky, you can bet Pittsburgh to trail at the half but win at +850 (FanDuel).
I'm not totally convinced this is a great Rah Rah Tomlin spot. Feels like a trap, especially at Jacksonville -2.5. I'd rather split my bet, isolate, and play both Jaguars early and Steelers late at plus money. At least one should hit and make us profitable, and we might well get both. I like the Pittsburgh angle because it works if the Steelers are good but might also cash if they're bad but get some garbage time late.
As Florida has officially relaunched sports betting, that means you can claim our Hard Rock Bet Promo Code today before you bet Jaguars vs. Steelers!
Pick: Jaguars 1Q -0.5 (+146) & Steelers 4Q ML (+125)
For more NFL free picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.
The One Stat to Know About Jaguars vs Steelers
Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:
The Steelers are 47-45 SU, 57-31-4 ATS as an underdog under Tomlin, making him the most profitable coach as a dog in the last 20 years.
Check out our NFL Odds for up to date information heading into this week!
For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.
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