NFL Odds Week 8: Patriots vs Dolphins Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 8 of the NFL season resumes with a meaningful AFC East clash between the Patriots and Dolphins. The betting odds see Miami as a double-digit favorite coming off a frustrating primetime loss to Philly. Coverage begins from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens on Sunday, October 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 8 Patriots vs Dolphins: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Odds

• Opening point spread: Dolphins -11.5
• Opening moneyline: Dolphins -550/Patriots +400
• Opening total: Over/Under 46.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 11 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami hit Caesars Sports' NFL Week 9 odds board as 11.5-point chalk last Sunday. By Monday afternoon, the Dolphins were down to -9.5. Wednesday brought a brief rise to -10, then the number toggled between -9.5 and -9 until going to Miami -8.5 Saturday afternoon.

The Dolphins are now -8, with ticket count 3/1 Miami, but money 2/1 New England.

The total spent most of the week bouncing between 47 and 46.5, save for a few hours at 46 Thursday. It's now 46.5. Current Caesars splits aren't available.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Miami receded from -10.5 to -10 and -9.5 at BetMGM, all on Monday. There's been no movement since, with 62% of spread tickets/64% of spread dollars on New England.

The total opened at 46.5 (Over -115), made a couple trips to 47 this week and hit a low point Thursday morning of 46. It's now 47, with 78% of tickets/88% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England notched an upset of Buffalo in Week 7. The Patriots led 13-3 at halftime, but ultimately let the Bills back in and trailed 25-22 with 1:58 remaining. However, Mac Jones then led a TD drive, giving the Pats a 29-25 victory as 7.5-point home pups.

Miami (5-2 SU and ATS) found the role of road underdog again not to its liking. In the Week 7 Sunday nighter, the Dolphins fell to Philadelphia 31-17 getting 3 points. In Week 4, Miami got rolled 48-20 catching 3 points at Buffalo.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 8 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Patriots vs Dolphins Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Even with Tyreek Hill likely to play, this sets up as a Jaylen Waddle game. New England's pass defense has been great at two specific things: limiting deep balls and shutting down opposing WR1s. The Patriots rank first by DVOA against opposing WR1s, and they held Tyreek Hill to five catches for 40 yards in September.

Of course, the problem for Dolphins opponents is that Miami has two stud WRs with blazing speed. Waddle's numbers have been a bit suppressed by blowout scripts so far, but he had 86 yards against the Patriots in September and is averaging 60 yards a game. He's listed at +175 for 75 yards and +475 for 100 (Bet365), and those look like nice escalators  since he can always break off a long one.

I was eyeing this angle early praying Tyreek Hill would actually play since I need him to soak up New England's WR1 coverage. Happy to lock in this number now that Hill looks set to go. I want to believe Miami's offense gets right with a huge game, but all the offensive line injuries are a real concern.

Pick: Jaylen Waddle Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Patriots vs Dolphins

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

The Dolphins haven't beaten a team with a winning record since they beat the Bills in Week 3 of last season (9/25/22) – Only two teams don't have a SU win over a team with a winning record in this span == Bears: 0-9 SU, Dolphins: 0-6 SU

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 8 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson