NFL Odds Week 9: Bears vs Saints Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 9 of the NFL season continues with what's expected to be a relatively non-competitive matchup between the Bears and Saints. The betting odds favor New Orleans by 7.5 points coming off an impressive 38-27 win over the Colts last week. Coverage begins from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans on Sunday, November 5 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 9 Bears vs. Saints: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Odds

• Opening point spread: Saints -6.5
• Opening moneyline: Saints -330/Bears +260
• Opening total: Over/Under 41.5 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)

UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Two-plus hours before kickoff, the Saints are out to 9.5-point favorites at Caesars Sports. The Saints opened -6, got to -7.5 by Monday evening and went to -9 Saturday. Chicago is again starting rookie Tyson Bagent, with Justin Fields (thumb) still out.

Spread tickets are running 2/1-plus and spread money a hefty 9/1 on the Saints.

The total toggled between 41 and 41.5 a few times this week, then this morning went to 42. Current Caesars splits aren't available.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Rookie QB Tyson Bagent is set to make his third straight start for the Bears, while Justin Fields continues recovering from a thumb injury. The Saints opened -6.5 at BetMGM, advanced to 7/-7.5 Monday and went to -8.5 Wednesday.

Still, it's two-way action on the spread, with New Orleans netting 55% of bets/58% of cash.

BetMGM's total is pinned to 41, with no movement all week. The Over is getting 55% of bets/82% of money.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New Orleans (4-4 SU/2-5-1 ATS) got back to .500 while ending a 1-4 SU and ATS slide. The Saints topped Indianapolis 38-27 laying 1.5 points on the road.

Chicago (2-6 SU/2-5-1 ATS) couldn't keep pace with the L.A. Chargers in the Week 8 Sunday nighter. The Bears lost 30-13 getting 9.5 points on the road.

Bears-Saints was taken off The SuperBook's NFL Week 9 odds board once Bears-Chargers kicked off. Bears-Saints will go back up Monday morning.

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Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 9 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Bears vs Saints Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Think of it less as betting on Bagent and more as betting against Derek Carr and Dennis Allen as huge favorites. Allen has never been favored by more than six, and he's an awful 5-13-1 ATS (28%) as a favorite. Carr is 18-34-1 ATS as a favorite (35)% and has lost 13 of his past 21 outright when favored.

The Saints are the better team, but not by as much as this line reflects. Chicago has actually been closer to league average by DVOA and EPA over the past month.

From Week 4 forward, the Bears rate similarly to the Bengals, Dolphins and Saints by EPA. Chicago's offense is 12th in EPA and first in the run game. The defense is also first against the run and 19th overall, not great but no longer terrible. For two teams that lean so heavily on the run, that improvement means Chicago can hang — or even win.

Pick: Bears +8.5 (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Bears vs Saints

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Carr is 8-24-2 ATS when favored by 3 pts or more, including 1-12-1 ATS in his last 14 games in this spot. Since 2021, he’s 1-9-1 ATS in this spot.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson