NFL Odds Week 9: Bills vs Bengals Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The ninth Sunday of the NFL season concludes with a heavyweight AFC clash between the Bills and Bengals. The betting odds favor Cincy by roughly a field goal after posting an impressive win over San Francisco last week. Coverage begins from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati on Sunday, November 5 at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 9 Bills vs. Bengals: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds

• Opening point spread: Pick
• Opening moneyline: Bengals -155/Bills +135
• Opening total: Over/Under 46 points scored
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Shortly before kickoff, BetMGM has the Bengals at -1.5 (-115) in the NFL odds Week 9 market. Tickets and money are in the 3/1 range on Cincinnati.

"We're definitely rooting for the Bills," BetMGM senior trader Cameron Drucker said, noting moneyline parlays to the Bengals are a key liability.

The total steadily climbed from 46.5 last Sunday to 50.5 Friday and remains 50.5 as kickoff approaches. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cincinnati opened as 2.5-point chalk at TwinSpires and is down to -2. The Bengals are netting 66% of early spread bets, but just 53% of early spread dollars.

"We saw some sharp play on Bills +2. The public is siding with the Bengals, who have seemed to find their groove," Lucas said.

The total is on the rise, climbing from 47 to 48.5. Ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincinnati notched an impressive win against suddenly struggling San Francisco. The Bengals (4-3 SU/3-3-1 ATS) were in control throughout a 31-17 victory getting 4.5 points on the highway. Cincy is on a 3-0 SU and ATS upswing.

Buffalo is 2-2 SU in its last four games, but could easily be 0-4 SU, and the Bills failed to cover in all four contests. In the Week 8 Thursday night game, Buffalo (5-3 SU/3-5 ATS) held off Tampa Bay 24-18 as a 10-point home favorite.

"Cincy went into San Francisco and looked like the Bengals of old," Michaelson said. "We actually opened pick 'em, then quickly went to Bengals -1.5 off one bet and a big market move. The Bengals were probably the most impressive team of today."

By late this evening, Cincinnati moved up to -2 at The SuperBook.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 9 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Bills vs Bengals Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

Buffalo's defense ranks bottom five in DVOA over the last month and that's getting all the attention, but the offense ranks first over the same stretch. Cincinnati's defense is middling or below average by many metrics and looks vulnerable to Josh Allen when he's playing like this.

Allen is 16-7-2 ATS (70%) as an underdog for his career. That includes 8-1-1 ATS (89%) as an underdog of three or less, and the Bills are 7-3 SU in those games. McDermott is also 16-23 SU as an underdog for his career, with bettors making 30% ROI betting the moneyline in those games.

This is really a bet on McDermott as much as Allen. Buffalo's defense was embarrassed in that playoff loss. Cincinnati opened the game with two long TD drives and had the ball at least six plays every drive, and that defensive collapse led directly to McDermott firing defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier to take over the defense and mix up coverages. This is the game he and the team have been waiting for. Buffalo has a huge advantage in the trenches both ways. This is a game Buffalo simply has to have.

Pick: Bills ML (+115)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

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The One Stat to Know About Bills vs Bengals

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Josh Allen has played 28 games as an underdog in his career. In those games, he's 16-10-2 ATS. And he's 16-7-2 ATS as a dog in regular season

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson