NFL Odds Week 9: Commanders vs Patriots Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Week 9 of the NFL season continues with a compelling non-conference clash between the Commanders and Patriots. The betting odds favor New England by 2.5 points despite losing four of their last five games. Coverage begins from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough on Sunday, November 5 at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Week 9 Commanders vs. Patriots: the opening lines, spreads, betting trends and more. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

Washington Commanders vs New England Patriots Odds

• Opening point spread: Patriots -2
• Opening moneyline: Patriots -160/Commanders +140
• Opening total: Over/Under 40 points scored
• Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: New England hit Caesars' NFL odds Week 9 market as 2-point chalk last Sunday. By Tuesday evening, the Patriots stretched to -3.5 (even), then backed up to -3 late Thursday.

The Pats are now -3 (+105), with the Commanders landing 57% of spread bets/55% of spread money.

Caesars' total went from 40 to 40.5 Tuesday, then to 41 Saturday. Current splits aren't available.

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Patriots opened -1.5 (-115) at BetMGM, got as high as -3.5 (-105) Tuesday, but backtracked to -2.5 (-120) this afternoon. New England is now -3 (even), with ticket count 2/1 on Washington and money running almost dead even.

The Pats have a host of injuries. Wideout DeVante Parker (concussion) is out, and left tackle Trent Brown (ankle/knee) is questionable, as are several defensive players.

The total moved from 40.5 (Under -115) to 40 Monday, returned to 40.5 Tuesday and got to 41 Thursday. The Under is seeing 56% of tickets, while 61% of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: For the second time this season, Washington held a double-digit first-half lead against Philadelphia. And for the second time this season, the Commanders lost.

Washington (3-5 SU/3-4-1 ATS) was up 14-3 in the second quarter, but ultimately lost 38-31 to push as a 7-point home 'dog.

New England got a surprise win over Buffalo in Week 7, but a difficult season resumed in Week 8. The Patriots (2-6 SU and ATS)) lost 31-17 getting 7.5 points at Miami.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Week 9 Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Commanders vs Patriots Pick, Prediction

Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:

The Patriots have the one good unit on the field, their defense. New England's pass defense has been uneven, but should get pressure on Howell, and the stout run defense should limit Washington's better attack.

Washington ranks bottom four on both offense and defense in the first half of games, so this is a great chance for the Patriots to get in front and get an easy win against a poorly coached team that looks like it might be packing it in for the season.

Pick: Patriots -3 (-110)

For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.

The One Stat to Know About Commanders vs Patriots

Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:

Sam Howell has made nine career starts. QBs in their first 10 career starts, playing on the road in NE vs. Belichick are 5-31 SU.

For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Week 9 Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1600 to unlock BetMGM's welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson