NFL Odds Wild Card Weekend: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends For Every Game

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

16 minute read

NFL Odds Wild Card Weekend

NFL odds for Wild Card Weekend reveal last year's Super Bowl participants landing in prime-time matchups. The Kansas City Chiefs host the Miami Dolphins on Saturday night, and the free-falling Philadelphia Eagles travel to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Monday night.

Here’s everything you need to know about the NFL odds Wild Card Weekend market: opening lines, spreads and betting trends for every game, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on NFL Wild Card Weekend odds and action. Check back regularly for updates and use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action.

NFL Odds for Every Game of NFL Wild Card Weekend

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

• Opening point spread: Eagles -2
• Opening moneyline: Eagles -135/Buccaneers +115
• Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: Thirty minutes before kickoff, the Eagles are -3 (even) in BetMGM's Super Wild Card Weekend odds market. On Jan. 7, Philadelphia opened -2.5 (-120), and the line advanced to -3 Tuesday.

Saturday morning brought a brief move to Eagles -3.5 (even), but within a couple of hours, it dipped to -2.5 (-125). Philly moved to -3 (even) today. The Eagles are netting 61% of spread tickets/77% of spread money.

"We're rooting for the Bucs," BetMGM's Christian Cipollini said. "But we're OK either way. It will be a great weekend for the book, regardless of the outcome."

The total opened at 44.5 and quickly dipped to 44, then Tuesday went to 43.5. On Saturday, BetMGM bottomed out at 43, where the number remains tonight. It's two-way play, with 53% of tickets on the Over/51% of money on the Under.

The player prop drawing the most action is Jalen Hurts Anytime TD, currently -125. And No. 2 is Jalen Hurts First TD, at +500.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Philly is a 3-point favorite at TwinSpires, after opening -2.5. The Eagles are netting 58% of early spread bets/66% of early spread money.

"Despite the Eagles' struggles, they're still a popular team. On the moneyline, it's 4/1 tickets and 7/1 money Eagles," Lucas said. "In island games, the public typically backs the favorite and Over."

TwinSpires' total nudged down from 44.5 to 44, with 60% of tickets on the Over/58% of money on the Under.

"The public is on the Over. Sharp play on Under 44.5," Lucas said.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Philadelphia (11-6 SU/5-11-1 ATS) finished the regular season with a huge thud. Through Week 12, the Eagles were a league-best 10-1 SU. But they then went on a 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS nosedive.

In Week 18, Philly closed as a 5-point favorite at the New York Giants and promptly dug itself into a 24-0 halftime hole. The Eagles went on to lose 24-10

Tampa Bay (9-8 SU/10-7 ATS) claimed the NFC South, thanks to a 5-1 SU run to close the season (4-2 ATS). The Bucs won a 9-0 snoozer at Carolina in Week 18, cashing as 4.5-point faves.

Eagles-Bucs is already on the move tonight.

"We're up to Eagles -2.5. We took sharp action on Philadelphia -2," Michaelson said. "I think it's gonna stay in this range. I would be surprised if it got to 3, because Philly is playing so bad right now. Frankly, Tampa doesn't look too good itself. I know people want to bet against Philly, but I don't think the Bucs are the team people are going to want to hitch themselves to.

"We're gonna end up needing Tampa. People are gonna hold their nose and take the Eagles. Especially people who don't follow this as closely until the playoffs, and they remember that the Eagles were in the Super Bowl last year."

The Eagles and Bucs met in Week 3, with Philly coasting 25-11 as 6-point road chalk.

In-Progress Games for NFL Wild Card Weekend

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Completed Games for NFL Wild Card Weekend

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

• Opening point spread: Bills -10
• Opening moneyline: Bills -500/Steelers +400
• Opening total: Over/Under 40.5 points scored
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Monday (CBS)

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: The one-day postponement of this matchup didn't really change much with regard to the spread. With 3.5 hours until kickoff, BetMGM has the Bills at -10 (-105) on its NFL Wild Card Weekend odds board.

On Jan. 7, the Bills opened -9.5 (-115), and the line spent most of the past week toggling between -9.5/-10, at various juice. In the wake of the rescheduling, Buffalo briefly went to -10.5 (-105) Saturday. The Bills then returned to -10 flat.

It's two-way action at the moment for BetMGM, with 57% of bets on the Steelers and 59% of money on the Bills. But trader Christian Cipollini expects more Buffalo cash as kickoff draws closer.

"Bills money is starting to come in. But it won't kill us either way if the Bills win today. We're getting enough Steelers money to keep us OK," Cipollini said.

BetMGM opened the total at 42.5 and quickly fell back to 39.5 on Jan. 7. Last Monday, further acknowledging expected weather issues, the number plunged to 35. By Saturday, prior to the postponement news, it was down to 33.

After the delay was announced, BetMGM reopened the total at 38.5. Within 90 minutes Saturday, it was bet down to 36 (Over -120). However, it's since made its way back to 38.5. The Under is getting the bulk of action, but with such a wide variety of numbers bet, there's not much of a need.

"We're fine either way at this point. It moved around so much that we're closer to balanced," Cipollini said.

Among all player prop markets, Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown is taking the most tickets, currently at -120. So of course that means the Bills QB is also getting the most tickets in the Anytime TD market. In the First TD market, Steelers running back Najee Harris (+800) is landing the most bets.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Earlier today, the NFL moved this game from a 1 p.m. ET Sunday start to 4:30 p.m. ET Monday. That's due to anticipated lousy weather conditions in Buffalo, with heavy snow/strong winds in the forecast.

When that news broke, BetMGM was at Bills -9.5, with a total of just 33.5. And moments before the schedule change, the total was at 33. BetMGM took the game off the board for a few minutes, then reopened at Buffalo -9.5/total 38.5.

Over the next two hours, the total backed up to 36, then rebounded to 37. It's now at 36.5, with tickets and money in the 3/1 range on the Over. Bettors who got in on the Over at its lowest points certainly benefit from the day/time change, on a total that opened at 42.5.

On the spread this afternoon, Buffalo climbed from -9.5 to -10 to -10.5. The Bills are now -10, while the Steelers are taking 67% of tickets/61% of money. Moneyline bettors are also on the double-digit 'dog, with 78% of tickets/69% of cash on Pittsburgh.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The total is the bigger story in this game, at the moment. Buffalo is expected to see dreadful weather Sunday, with a high of 25 that'll probably feel much colder due to 20-30 mph winds. And for good measure, there could be some snow flurries.

That's sent the total tumbling at multiple books. TwinSpires Sportsbook opened at 39.5, quickly went to 38.5 and got steamed down to 36.5. This afternoon, it dipped another notch to 36.

The Under is netting 61% of early tickets/70% of early money.

"Low temperatures, high winds and the Steelers' shaky offense have bettors all over the Under. We'll need the Over for a sizable amount," Lucas said.

On the spread, the Bills scooted from -9.5 to -10 at TwinSpires. Pittsburgh is seeing 62% of tickets, while 65% of money is on Buffalo.

"It's Pros vs Joes. The public loves getting double digits in the playoffs, as they expect close games, especially with a low total. Sharp play on Buffalo -9.5," Lucas said.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Buffalo (11-6 SU/7-9-1 ATS) enters the postseason on a five-game SU run and as the AFC's No. 2 seed. The Bills trailed Miami 14-7 at halftime, but shut out the Dolphins in the second half.

Buffalo put up two fourth-quarter touchdowns, including a Deonte Hardy 96-yard punt return. That helped the Bills notch a 21-7 win as 2.5-point home favorites.

Pittsburgh (10-7 SU and ATS) won its last three SU and ATS, netting the AFC's seventh and final postseason slot. In Week 18, the Steelers beat a resting Baltimore team 17-10 catching 3 points on the road.

The Steelers drew sharp play tonight at +10 in The SuperBook's Super Wild Card Weekend odds market. That action moved the Bills to -9.5.

"We we're looking for a nibble at 10. Double digits in a playoff game, that's what some wiseguys look for," Michaelson said. "The Steelers look much better with Mason Rudolph. We're all surprised Rudolph has played as well as he has.

"Still, we're probably gonna try to stay as high as we can with this spread. Because when the public gets involved, we'd like to stay above that teaser line of -8.5/-9."

It's not expected to be as cold in Buffalo on Sunday as it is in Kansas City on Saturday night. But neither will it be pleasant. As such, the total is already down to 38.5 from a 40.5 opener.

"Potential lake-effect snow, so we're on the low end for the total. We're trying to stay ahead of the market," Michaelson said.

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Odds

• Opening point spread: Lions -3 (-120)
• Opening moneyline: Lions -170/Rams +150
• Opening total: Over/Under 51.5 points scored
• Time: 8 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: As kickoff approaches, the Lions are -3 (-115) in BetMGM's NFL odds Wild Card Weekend market. Detroit opened -3.5 last Sunday night and quickly dipped to -3 (-120). The number then toggled between Lions -3/-3.5 at various juice throughout the week. It was at Detroit -3.5 (-105) this morning.

The Lions are landing netting 60% of spread bets/66% of spread money. On the moneyline, it's two-way play with a lean toward the Rams, but the book will need the road 'dog tonight.

"We're going to need the Rams and the Under here. Money is coming in for the Lions, mostly public. And it'll be a lot of Lions action heading to kickoff," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said.

The total opened at 51.5, stuck there much of the week, then went to 52/52.5 this morning. It's now at its peak of 53, with tickets and money in the 2/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: TwinSpires pegged Detroit a 3-point favorite to open, moved to -3.5 and is now back at -3. The Lions are landing 60% of spread tickets/63% of spread money so far.

"Great storyline around this game," Lucas said, alluding to the two starting QBs – Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff – squaring off against their former teams. "Surprisingly, this game has seen the most handle. The Lions are a popular side, especially on the moneyline.

"The public expects the Lions to get their first playoff win since 1992."

On that moneyline, tickets are running 5/1 and money 8/1 on Detroit.

The total is up a tick from 51 to 51.5 at TwinSpires, with 57% of tickets/62% of money on the Over.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Detroit (12-5 SU and ATS) topped Minnesota 30-20 as 2.5-point home chalk. The Lions finished the season on a 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS upswing. But in the finale, tight end Sam LaPorta suffered a knee injury, so he could be out against the Rams.

Los Angeles (10-7 SU/10-6-1 ATS) is among the hottest teams entering the playoffs. In Week 18, with L.A. and San Francisco resting some starters, the Rams squeaked out a 21-20 win as 5.5-point road underdogs.

L.A. has won four in a row SU and is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS in its last eight games. The SuperBook opened the Lions -3 (-120) in its NFL odds Wild Card Weekend market, with no movement tonight.

"I think 3.5 would be inviting the wiseguys on the 'dog," Michaelson said of a decision to open the Lions shy of -3.5. "It's hard to say how the public is gonna bet this. I think the public has embraced Detroit this year, but also been let down by Detroit a couple crucial times.

"I think we'll need the Rams. It's a night game. Anytime there are three games, and first two teams are pretty sizable favorites, it's pretty easy to put your moneyline parlay together – Buffalo/Dallas/Detroit=profit."

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

• Opening point spread: Cowboys -7.5
• Opening moneyline: Cowboys -350/Packers +275
• Opening total: Over/Under 49.5 points scored
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With kickoff 30 minutes out, Dallas sits at -7 (-115) in BetMGM's NFL Wild Card odds market. The Cowboys opened -7 and advanced to -7.5 last Sunday night, and they've been at various iterations of -7 since Thursday.

Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 plus and spread money 3/1-plus on the Cowboys. On the moneyline, opinions differ, with tickets almost 2/1 Packers and money 2.5/1 Cowboys.

"There are tons of Cowboys bets, and I'm sure they'll keep coming as we approach kickoff. We're going to need the Packers in this one. A cover would be enough, but outright is better," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said.

The total went from 48.5 to 49.5 last Sunday night, then to 50 Monday. It got to 50.5 on Tuesday and Saturday, then today surged to 51/51.5/52. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 6/1 on the Over.

"Both games today have high totals, so low-scoring would be nice," Cipollini said.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Cowboys hit TwinSpires' NFL Wild Card odds board at -7 and moved up to -7.5. Dallas is seeing 59% of spread tickets/62% of spread money.

"Green Bay spread will be a need. However, it doesn't compare to the teaser liability. Everyone is teasing the Cowboys/Bills. One of those teams losing would make our day," Lucas said.

The total rose from 49.5 to 50.5, with 59% of early tickets/57% of early money on the Over.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Dallas (12-5 SU/10-7 ATS) punched out Washington 38-10 laying 13 points on the road in Week 18. That gave the Cowboys the NFC East title and the No. 2 seed for the playoffs.

Green Bay (9-8 SU and ATS) needed a Week 18 win to get an NFC Wild Card berth. The Packers dispatched Miami 17-9 giving 2.5 points at home to get the seventh and final NFC playoff slot.

"There was a little bit of debate," Michaelson said of whether to open the Cowboys higher than -7. "Dallas plays so well at home, while Jordan Love is a first-year starter, and the Packers are super young. I would expect the public to be all over Dallas.

"I would be very surprised if we don't need Green Bay outright in this game."

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

• Opening point spread: Chiefs -3.5
• Opening moneyline: Chiefs -180/Miami +160
• Opening total: Over/Under 45 points scored
• Time: 8 p.m. ET Saturday (Peacock)

UPDATE 7:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Less than hour before kickoff, the Chiefs sit at -4.5 (-115) in BetMGM's NFL Wild Card Weekend odds. Kansas City opened -3.5 Sunday night, got to -4 Tuesday and -5 Wednesday. Friday brought a dip to -4.5, but twice today, K.C. stretched to -5.5 (-105).

BetMGM customers are solidly on the Chiefs spread, at 2/1-plus tickets and 3/1 money. And although 60% of moneyline tickets are on the Dolphins, Kansas City is getting 56% of moneyline dollars.

"If the Dolphins get the upset, we'll be good for the whole weekend. Two of our most lopsided games so far are Browns and Chiefs," BetMGM trader Christian Cipollini said. "A Miami cover would still be very good, but outright is best."

The total opened at 45.5, quickly fell to 43.5 Sunday night, then bottomed out at 42.5 Monday morning. The number spent much of the rest of the week at 43.5, though there trips to 44/44.5 on Friday.

As has been well documented, weather is a big issue tonight. The temperature will check in below zero, and with the wind chill, it'll feel like -20 or worse. With that in mind, tickets and money are in the 6/1 range on the Under at BetMGM.

"Everybody is on the Under," Cipollini said.

In player props, Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco is taking the most tickets in the First Touchdown market. K.C. tight end Travis Kelce is the leading ticket-taker in the Anytime TD market.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Kansas City got out to -4.5 this afternoon at TwinSpires. The Chiefs opened -3 Sunday night and spent time at -3.5 and -4.

Line movement notwithstanding, it's two-way spread play, with 52% of tickets on Miami and 58% of money on K.C.

"Great two-way action this week. We saw sharp play on K.C. -3 and -3.5," Lucas said.

TwinSpires' total hasn't budged off the 44 opener. But Saturday night will be extremely cold in Kansas City. Temperatures are predicted to be in the single digits at best, along with winds of 10-15 mph that will make it feel as if it's well below zero.

The Under is getting 55% of tickets/60% of money early on.

"Under money is coming in, due to all the news about how cold it'll be," Lucas said.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City (11-6 SU/9-7-1 ATS) got a Week 18 win, when it wasn't really trying for one. The Chiefs, sitting Patrick Mahomes and many others, edged the L.A. Chargers 13-12 as 3.5-point road underdogs.

Meanwhile, Miami (11-6 SU/10-7 ATS) needed a Week 18 win to claim the AFC East and get a home Wild Card game. That didn't happen. The Dolphins were 3-point underdogs and led Buffalo 14-7 at halftime Sunday night.

But Tua Tagovailoa and Co. were shut out in the second half and gave up two-fourth quarter TDs. Miami lost 21-14 as a 2.5-point home underdog.

"Miami is so banged up, and it had more defensive injuries tonight. It's just not the same team," Michaelson said. "When these two teams played in Germany, it actually closed Dolphins -1. This ain't that. And it's gonna be freezing cold. The wind chill could be below zero.

"That's not Dolphins weather. A QB from Hawaii who's never started a playoff game, against a guy who's played a zillion of these cold home playoff games."

While the Dolphins-Chiefs spread is unchanged tonight at K.C. -3.5, the total is on the decline. The SuperBook opened at 45 and made stops at 44.5/44/43.5 before stopping at 43.

"Sharp bettors played the Under, which makes sense with the weather conditions. And also, frankly, I think both teams will want to shorten the game in these conditions," Michaelson said.

Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans Odds

• Opening point spread: Browns -1.5
• Opening moneyline: Browns -125/Texans +105
• Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET Saturday (NBC)

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With kickoff 75 minutes out, the Browns are 2-point favorites at BetMGM, after climbing this morning from -1.5 to -2.5. Cleveland opened -2.5 Sunday night, and the number briefly went to -2 (-125) Monday. On Thursday, the Browns receded to -1.5 (-120).

It's solidly Cleveland on the spread, at 3/1 tickets and money. Further, on the moneyline, while the Browns are seeing a modest majority 54% of tickets, that's converting into 69% of money.

"We need Houston pretty badly to start things off this Wild Card Weekend," BetMGM trader Seamus Magee said. "It's very lopsided on Browns -2, and money is still coming in on -2.5. And there's tons of action on Browns moneyline."

The total opened at 43.5, went to 44 Monday and 45 Tuesday. It was at 44.5 this morning, but it's now at 45 again. Tickets are running almost 2.5/1 and money 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland opened -2 and sits at -2.5 midweek in TwinSpires' Wild Card Weekend odds market. The Browns are drawing 55% of early spread bets/67% of early spread dollars.

"It's a mix of sharp and public play on the Browns -2," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said.

The total opened at 43.5 and made a stop at 44 on the way to 44.5. The Over is taking 61% of bets/67% of money.

"It's a game where we actually need the Under," Lucas said.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Houston (10-7 SU/9-8 ATS) had to win in Week 18, on the road no less, and did so. The Texans held off Indianapolis 23-19 on Saturday night, cashing as 1.5-point favorites.

C.J. Stroud and Co. won three of their last four SU and ATS to nab the AFC South title and the fourth seed. But the setback was to Cleveland in Week 16, with the Titans tumbling 36-22 as 3-point home underdogs. However, Houston didn't have Stroud, who was in concussion protocol.

Cleveland (11-6 SU and ATS) was locked into the No. 5 seed, with nothing to play for in Week 18. It showed, as the Browns lost 31-14 catching 7.5 points at Cincinnati.

But prior to that, behind Joe Flacco, Cleveland went on a 4-0 SU and ATS run to secure a playoff spot. And early action favors the Browns in The SuperBook's NFL odds Super Wild Card Weekend market.

"The market has gone up to Browns -2.5," SuperBook risk supervisor Chase Michaelson said. "I think that's a result of the market not typically trusting a rookie quarterback in this situation. The success rate of rookie quarterback/rookie head coach is pretty low. The market bets against that.

"Cleveland's defense has been pretty good all season, and with Flacco, the offense has been better."

The total is stable at 44.

"We're on the high end with the total," Michaelson said. "I think Houston's defense is not a strength. So I'd anticipate this game being fairly high-scoring, as playoff games go."

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson