NFL Odds Wild Card Weekend: Eagles vs Buccaneers Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends
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NFL Wild Card Weekend concludes with a Monday night matchup in the NFC between the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The betting odds see Philly as a 3.5-point road favorite despite coming off losses in five of their last six games. Coverage begins from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa on Monday, January 15 at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC.
Here's everything you need to know about the NFL odds for Wild Card Weekend: Eagles vs. Buccaneers lines, spreads, betting trends and more.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds
- Opening point spread: Eagles -2
- Opening moneyline: Eagles -135/Buccaneers +115
- Opening total: Over/Under 44 points scored
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: Thirty minutes before kickoff, the Eagles are -3 (even) in BetMGM's Super Wild Card Weekend odds market. On Jan. 7, Philadelphia opened -2.5 (-120), and the line advanced to -3 Tuesday.
Saturday morning brought a brief move to Eagles -3.5 (even), but within a couple of hours, it dipped to -2.5 (-125). Philly moved to -3 (even) today. The Eagles are netting 61% of spread tickets/77% of spread money.
"We're rooting for the Bucs," BetMGM's Christian Cipollini said. "But we're OK either way. It will be a great weekend for the book, regardless of the outcome."
The total opened at 44.5 and quickly dipped to 44, then Tuesday went to 43.5. On Saturday, BetMGM bottomed out at 43, where the number remains tonight. It's two-way play, with 53% of tickets on the Over/51% of money on the Under.
The player prop drawing the most action is Jalen Hurts Anytime TD, currently -125. And No. 2 is Jalen Hurts First TD, at +500.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Philly is a 3-point favorite at TwinSpires, after opening -2.5. The Eagles are netting 58% of early spread bets/66% of early spread money.
"Despite the Eagles' struggles, they're still a popular team. On the moneyline, it's 4/1 tickets and 7/1 money Eagles," Lucas said. "In island games, the public typically backs the favorite and Over."
TwinSpires total nudged down from 44.5 to 44, with 60% of tickets on the Over/58% of money on the Under.
"The public is on the Over. Sharp play on Under 44.5," Lucas said.
UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Philadelphia (11-6 SU/5-11-1 ATS) finished the regular season with a huge thud. Through Week 12, the Eagles were a league-best 10-1 SU. But they then went on a 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS nosedive.
In Week 18, Philly closed as a 5-point favorite at the New York Giants and promptly dug itself into a 24-0 halftime hole. The Eagles went on to lose 24-10
Tampa Bay (9-8 SU/10-7 ATS) claimed the NFC South, thanks to a 5-1 SU run to close the season (4-2 ATS). The Bucs won a 9-0 snoozer at Carolina in Week 18, cashing as 4.5-point faves.
Eagles-Bucs is already on the move tonight.
"We're up to Eagles -2.5. We took sharp action on Philadelphia -2," Michaelson said. "I think it's gonna stay in this range. I would be surprised if it got to 3, because Philly is playing so bad right now. Frankly, Tampa doesn't look too good itself. I know people want to bet against Philly, but I don't think the Bucs are the team people are going to want to hitch themselves to.
"We're gonna end up needing Tampa. People are gonna hold their nose and take the Eagles. Especially people who don't follow this as closely until the playoffs, and they remember that the Eagles were in the Super Bowl last year."
The Eagles and Bucs met in Week 3, with Philly coasting 25-11 as 6-point road chalk.
Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Wild Card Weekend Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.
Eagles vs Buccaneers Pick, Prediction
Action Network NFL betting expert Brandon Anderson offers this prediction:
Tampa Bay's defense has been outstanding down the stretch (see above), and Philadelphia's offense has been average at best. Add in Hurts' history against Bowles plus the injury and I don't see many Eagles points. Philadelphia's defense has been a disaster, but I'm not sure the Bucs can take advantage. Tampa Bay is 11-6 to the under, and Bucs games are at 44 or below in all but four games this season.
A flurry of trends point under too. Games with a home underdog have gone under 60% of the time the last three seasons, and primetime unders are 60% the last five years, including 65% this season. Outdoor Wild Card Round non-division games with a total 41 or above are also 29-9 to the under (76%), and Baker Mayfield games are 24-11 to the under (69%) when the total is set below 44.
There are so many paths for this game to go under. Weather could be a factor, and the injury report is certainly in favor of the under with both quarterbacks badly banged up and playing poorly of late. The Eagles could struggle to score if Hurts is limited or either of their WRs can't play, and the Bucs won't put up many points if Mayfield can't get the ball to his talented receivers.
Pick: Under 43.5
For more NFL picks, check out Action Network's NFL Wild Card Weekend: How to Bet Every Game & Every Team.
The One Stat to Know About Eagles vs Buccaneers
Action Network NFL researcher Evan Abrams offers his top betting stat:
Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield is 26-21 ATS as an underdog and 14-26-1 ATS as a favorite
For more NFL betting stats, check out Action Network's NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Trends, Stats, Notes.
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