NFL Season Win Totals Odds, Betting Trends: Everything You Need To Know

Patrick Everson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

NFL season win totals odds have been on the board for several weeks. With the NFL Draft well in the rearview mirror, and in the wake of the recent 2024-25 schedule release, interest is starting to pick up in this market.

No surprise, the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers lead the way in odds on NFL win totals. The Baltimore Ravens are right there with K.C. and San Fran, as well.

Here’s everything you need to know about NFL season win totals odds: opening Over/Under numbers, betting action and odds movement. Be sure to use our ESPN BET bonus code to get the most out of your action.

NFL Regular Season Win Totals Odds

Hail to the Chiefs ... And the 49ers

Two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City has an Over/Under of 11.5 wins for the 2024-25 season. So too does San Francisco, which fell just short to the Chiefs in Super Bowl 58, losing 25-22 in overtime.

"So far, fans seem to be high on both the Chiefs and 49ers maintaining the form they showed throughout last season and their playoff runs," said Patrick Jay, ESPN Bet senior vice president and head of sportsbook. "Since totals were first posted in March, 86% of bets on the Chiefs' win total have been on Over 11.5, and 69% of bets on the 49ers are on Over 11.5."

Kansas City opened and remains at 11.5 (Over -120) in ESPN Bet's NFL season win totals odds market. San Fran opened at 11.5 (Under -145) and adjusted to 11.5 (Under -135).

Baltimore also has an 11.5 win total, but Under opened a -140 favorite and is now out to -160.

Patriot Games

The New England Patriots had a dismal 4-13 SU mark last season, followed by Bill Belichick's departure after 24 years. Jerod Mayo, who as a player spent his whole career with New England, was then promoted from linebackers coach to head coach.

The Pats also moved on from quarterback Mac Jones, who was traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars in March. New England took Drake Maye with the third overall pick in the NFL Draft, hoping he's the quarterback of the future.

Oddsmakers aren't expecting much improvement this season, with the Patriots' Over/Under at 4.5 in ESPN Bet's odds on NFL win totals. For a team with six Super Bowl wins this century, seeing a 4.5 win total might be jarring. But Jay and his trading team feel the number is warranted.

"The AFC East is extremely competitive, and within the division, the Patriots are now the team looking to prove themselves again," Jay said. "With a new head coach for the first time in over 20 years and a rookie quarterback, they will have their work cut out for them on a weekly basis."

Early movement indicates bettors expect the Pats to surpass 4.5 wins. ESPN Bet opened the Over at -145, and it's now up to Over -170.

Carolina Climbing

Only one team has moved off its win total so far, and it might surprise you: The Carolina Panthers. Behind rookie QB Bryce Young, Carolina limped to a 2-15 SU record last season.

ESPN Bet opened the Panthers at 4.5 on the NFL season win totals odds board. Carolina is now out to 5.5 (Over -120).

"In that market, 67% of all bets are on the Panthers Over," Jay said, before noting a few teams that saw notable price changes, though no change yet in the actual win total. "The Steelers, Ravens, Cardinals, Jets and Bills have all seen price adjustments thus far, based on team news and wagering activity since the markets opened."

Pittsburgh opened at 8.5 (Under -125) and slipped to 8.5 (Under -150). Similarly, as noted above, Baltimore went from 11.5 (Over -140) to 11.5 (Over -160).

Arizona improved its price on a 6.5 win total, from Over -130 to Over -160. And the favorite flipped on the New York Jets' 9.5 win total, from Under -145 to Over -130.

The favorite also flipped on Buffalo's win total of 10.5, though in the opposite direction. ESPN Bet opened the Over at -130 and is now at Under -145.

Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson