NFL Week 17 Opening Odds Report
NFL Week 17 odds are full of games that will challenge bookmakers and bettors alike. Several contests have playoff ramifications, as the regular season gets set to turn the page to 2023.
The marquee matchup pits the Buffalo Bills against the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football. And believe it or not, Aaron Rodgers' Green Bay Packers are still in the playoff mix.
Multiple oddsmakers provide insights on Week 17 NFL odds and action. Check back regularly for updates.
NFL Week 17 Odds
Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals
Opening line: Bengals -1.5; Over/Under 49
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET Monday (ESPN)
UPDATE 5P.M. ET MONDAY: With 3.5 hours until kickoff, Buffalo is laying 2.5 points on WynnBet's Week 17 NFL odds board. That represents a significant move up today of 1.5 points. The Bills toggled between the -1.5 opener and -1 throughout the week before today's climb.
However, action on this game has shifted significantly in just the past 90 minutes. At 3:30 p.m. ET, the Bills were taking 56% of spread bets/72% of spread money. Now, it's 55% of tickets/62% of money on the short home 'dog Bengals.
WynnBet said at the moment – and a lot can change between now and game time – the book needs the Bills to win and cover the 2.5. And WynnBet said it very much needs the Under, which the book doesn't expect to change.
The total opened at 49.5 and stuck there all week until moving to 50.5 today. Ticket count is almost 6/1 and money 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sports opened Buffalo the slimmest of road chalk at -1 (-105) Sunday night. Within 90 minutes, the Bills nudged up to -1.5, then fell back to -1 Monday morning.
This afternoon, the Bills remain -1 while taking 56% of spread bets/65% of spread money.
“I made this game a pick 'em. It seems like a coin-flip game,” Caesars' Adam Pullen said. “The Allen injury raised a lot of concerns [over the past month], but they’ve managed to win in spite of that. The Bengals are on fire right now, and they’ve covered seven in a row. It’s a big game for both teams, with the No. 1 seed on the line. It should be a huge handle, and I’d expect the line to stay relatively about the same. I can’t see it going up; I see it going down more so than going up. It’ll be interesting to see how the public plays it come Monday night.”
The total has been painted to 49.5 on Caesars' NFL Week 17 odds board. Ticket count is 3/1 and money almost 5/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo is the Super Bowl favorite, but there's no hotter team – on the field or at the betting window – than defending AFC champion Cincinnati. The Bengals (11-4 SU, 12-3 ATS) have won seven in a row SU and ATS, and are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games.
In Week 16, Cincinnati held off New England 22-18, narrowly cashing as a 3-point road favorite.
Buffalo (12-3 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) enters this massive AFC matchup on a six-game SU streak (3-3 ATS). The Bills trailed Chicago 10-6 at halftime in Week 16, then rung up 29 of the game's final 32 points to post a 35-13 rout laying 8.5 points.
"Big MNF game for two teams battling for home field in the AFC," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "We felt like the Bills had to open as favorites, even though Cincy is hot right now and at home. Nothing too significant on either the side or total yet. As the week goes on, I think this game will write great action both ways."
There's been no movement yet on the line or the total.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens
Opening line: Ravens -4.5; Over/Under 37.5
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday (NBC)
UPDATE 6:20 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Two hours pre-kick, the Ravens are down to a 1-point home chalk on WynnBet's NFL Week 17 odds board. Last Sunday, Baltimore opened -4, but with no Lamar Jackson again, the line has steadily fallen. The Ravens dipped to -3 by Monday afternoon, -2.5 Wednesday afternoon and -2 Friday afternoon.
The line then dropped a full point today at WynnBet, to -1.5 and -1. Pittsburgh is taking 62% of spread bets and a hefty 86% of spread dollars. On the moneyline, 55% of bets are on Baltimore, but the Steelers are nabbing 91% of moneyline dollars.
"Respected players bet the Steelers +3.5 and +3. Most of our liability is on Steelers +3," WynnBet trader Andy Morrissey said. "We also took Steelers moneyline bets, so our best-case scenario is the Ravens by more than three. It's been all Under money, too. It seems like people have caught on to the division-game Under this year, so we will need it to go over 35 points."
The total opened at 36.5, dropped to 35 midweek and stuck there. The Under is netting 55% of tickets and 88% of money.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars opened Baltimore -4 Sunday, went to -3.5 Monday morning and -3 Monday afternoon. On Wednesday afternoon, the Ravens dipped to -2.5 (even) before stabilizing at -2.5 flat, where the line sits now. QB Lamar Jackson (knee), out the past three games, is questionable for the Sunday night game.
The Ravens are netting 54% of spread tickets, but 77% of spread cash is on the short home underdog Steelers.
The total opened at a very tidy 36.5 – down 5 points from last week's look-ahead line – then fell to 36 Monday and 35.5/35 Wednesday afternoon. Early ticket count is almost 2/1 and early money beyond 9/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Pittsburgh (7-8 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) also remains mathematically alive in the AFC, thanks to a 4-1 SU and ATS upswing. In Week 16, rookie QB Kenny Pickett led a 76-yard TD drive late in the fourth quarter to give the Steelers a 13-10 win as 2-point home favorites against Las Vegas.
Baltimore (10-5 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) hasn't had QB Lamar Jackson since Week 13, when he suffered a knee injury in a 10-9 win over Denver. But the Ravens still clinched a playoff spot in Week 16 by beating Atlanta 17-9 as 6.5-point home favorites.
"No interest on the spread yet, but we did take some respected money on the Under, knocking us down a half point to 37," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "With Lamar's status still in the air, I think most action will come once we know if he's in or not. Being flexed into Sunday Night Football will help the handle on this AFC showdown."
Later this evening, The SuperBook dropped Baltimore to -3.5 and lowered the total to 36.5.
"Some respected money came in on Pittsburgh +4.5, as well as the Under," Degnon said.
These two teams just met in Week 14 at Pittsburgh, where Baltimore snuck out a 16-14 win getting 1.5 points.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers
Opening line: Packers -3.5; Over/Under 45.5
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than an hour before kickoff, the Packers are -3 (-120) in WynnBete's NFL Week 17 odds market. The Packers opened -3.5 last Sunday night and has since toggled between -3.5 and -3, at various juice.
Point-spread ticket count and money are both running almost dead even, with a tiny edge to the visiting Vikings. Moneyline tickets are also almost even, but moneyline dollars are falling 4/1 on the Packers.
WynnBet said it doesn't have a major need in this matchup, but Minnesota outright would be a good outcome.
The total opened at 45.5 reached 47 Monday morning, 48 Tuesday afternoon and 48.5 early Wednesday afternoon. It's been stable at 48 since mid-Wednesday afternoon, with ticket count almost even and 69% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Green Bay hit Caesars' Week 17 NFL odds board as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Packers spent some time at -3 (-115) and -3 (-120) on Monday and Tuesday, then went to 3.5 (even) Tuesday afternoon.
Now, Green Bay is -3.5 (-105). The Vikings are seeing 57% of spread tickets, but a hefty 89% of spread cash is on the Packers. And Caesars noted that money skew wasn't caused by any big Green Bay plays. In fact, despite five other teams drawing six-figure bets and the Packers drawing none, Green Bay is still taking the most spread money of any team in Week 17.
“All year, the Vikings haven’t gotten the respect you’d think for a team with their record, especially now at 12-3,” Pullen said. “They have so many close wins, and they’re still in single digits for point differential. I think that’s been ingrained in people’s heads. I just don’t know how much of a public underdog the Vikings will be. We saw this situation when they played the Lions a few weeks ago, and they were getting a lot of money then. But that was the Lions, I think the Packers and Aaron Rodgers are a different situation.”
The total opened at 45, made its way to 48.5 by Tuesday afternoon, then nudged down to 48 Wednesday afternoon. Ticket count is approaching 2/1 and money 7/1 on the Over, with the only noteworthy bet a $22,000 play that's actually on Under 48.5.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: In late November, Green Bay was on what appeared to be a season-killing 1-7 SU nosedive (2-6 ATS). But since then, the Packers (7-8 SU and ATS) have won and covered three straight and actually remain alive for a postseason bid.
Aaron Rodgers and Co. went to Miami as 3.5-point underdogs and left South Beach with a 26-20 outright victory in Week 16. The Packers picked off Tua Tagovailoa on three consecutive fourth-quarter possessions to sew up the win.
Meanwhile, Minnesota's miracles just keep coming, as they now sit at 12-3 SU (6-8-1 ATS). A week after rallying from a 33-0 halftime deficit to beat Indianapolis, the Vikings beat the Giants 27-24 on a 61-yard Greg Joseph field goal as time expired. However, the Vikes failed to cash as 4.5-point home faves.
"The Packers kept their playoff hopes alive today with a win. Otherwise, this game may have opened less than 3.5," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "Some smaller bets on the Pack, but nothing noteworthy yet. No interest in the total either. I think we'll end up needing the Vikings here, especially once you add up all the moneyline parlays that will be tied to Green Bay."
The line and total are stable tonight. These two teams met in the regular-season opener, with Minnesota coasting to a 23-7 victory as a 2.5-point home chalk.
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
Opening line: Dolphins -2; Over/Under 43
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (CBS)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: With 2.5 hours until kickoff, the Patriots are laying 2.5 points in WynnBet's NFL Week 17 odds market. Last Sunday night, the Dolphins opened -2, but Monday brought news of QB Tua Tagovailoa being concussion protocol again. That led to a fence-jump as the line went to Patriots -2, then -2.5 by Monday night.
New England peaked at -3 Wednesday, receded to -2.5 Thursday and -2 late Saturday night. This morning, the line nudged up to -2.5. The Patriots are seeing 61% of spread tickets, but 66% of spread money is on the Dolphins. WynnBet said it needs the Pats to win and cover, and the book also needs the Over.
The total opened at 43.5, bottomed out at 41 Friday morning and remains 41 today. The Under is taking a modest majority 57% of tickets, but practically all the money at WynnBet – 97% – is on the Under.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Dolphins opened -1.5 Sunday night at Caesars Sports and within about 30 minutes advanced to -2. But by early Monday evening, with news out that QB Tua Tagovailoa was again in concussion protocol, the number jumped the fence to Patriots -1.5.
Later Monday night, New England stretched to -2.5, then went to -3 Wednesday when the Dolphins confirmed Tagovailoa would not play. Today, however, the number dipped to Pats -2.5.
The Patriots are seeing 63% of spread tickets, while 61% of spread cash is on the Dolphins 61%. A big reason for that split: a $110,000 bet at Caesars on Miami +3.
The total opened at 43.5, fell to 42.5 Monday night and bottomed out at 41 late this morning. It remains 41 now, with practically all the tickets and money – 89% and 97%, respectively – on the Under. And that money count is with zero notable large bets.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This line jumped the fence Monday on news that Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa is again in concussion protocol. BetMGM opened the Dolphins at -1.5 Sunday night, moved to -1 mid-Monday morning, then early Monday evening went straight to Patriots -1.5 on the Tagovailoa news.
By Monday night, New England was up to -2.5, where the line remains tonight. Tagovailoa's status is uncertain for Sunday's matchup, which is key for both teams' playoff status.
"These ones are always tough with the uncertainty of the QB," BetMGM sports trader Christian Cipollini said. "We've got lower limits for now, until we get more clarity. But as of now, early money has been on the Pats, with a decent chunk from those catching the steam when the concussion was announced. About 70% of spread money on the Patriots right now."
The total initially dipped a point in BetMGM's NFL Week 17 odds market, from 43.5 to 42.5 early Monday evening. This afternoon, the total nudged down another half-point to 42.'
"Most of the early action is steam chasing the Under," Cipollini said.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: A month ago, Miami was riding high on a five-game winning streak, with an 8-3 SU mark and talk of Tua Tagovailoa as an MVP candidate. Four straight losses later, the Dolphins (8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS) are hanging by a thread to the AFC's final postseason bid.
Tagovailoa had a red-hot start in Week 16, helping the 'Phins to a 20-10 lead late in the second quarter against Green Bay. But Miami didn't score another point and lost 26-20 giving 3.5 points at home. Tagovailoa threw interceptions on three consecutive fourth-quarter drives.
New England (7-8 SU, 7-7-1 ATS) is on an ill-timed 1-4 SU and ATS slide, including back-to-back heartbreaking losses. The Patriots were the victim of that crazy lateral-turned-Raiders-touchdown in a 30-24 Week 15 road loss. In Week 16, a Rhamondre Stevenson fumble on first-and-goal at the 5-yard line sealed the Pats' fate in a 22-18 loss as 3-point home pups.
"Both teams didn't look great in Week 16, but we did feel as though Miami had to open as the favorite," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "It's a big game for the AFC playoff picture, and I think both sides will attract money. We've written some bets on the home 'dog Patriots, but nothing to move us off the opener yet. Nothing to the total at this point, either."
Later this evening, the line ticked toward New England, falling to Miami -1.5, and the total inched up to 43.5.
In the regular-season opener, Miami rolled over New England 20-7 laying 3 points at home.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opening line: Buccaneers -6.5; Over/Under 41
Time: 1 p.m. ET Sunday (FOX)
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay is a 3.5-point favorite this morning on WynnBet's Week 17 NFL odds board. On Monday, the Bucs opened -3, then spent the week at various juice iterations of -3 (-105/-110/-120).
On Friday, Tampa went to -3.5 and -4, then Saturday backed up to the current -3.5. The Bucs are drawing 52% of spread bets/57% of spread dollars. Moneyline betting is more pronounced, with tickets 2/1 and money 7/1 on Tampa. As such, WynnBet is rooting for a Panthers outright win.
The total opened at 40, quickly dipped to 39.5, then midweek rose to 40.5, where it sits today. Ticket count is almost even, while 71% of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: After a far-less-than-spectacular Sunday night win against undermanned Arizona, Tampa Bay opened -5.5 Monday morning at Caesars Sports. The number then fell off precipitously over the next 60 minutes or so, to Buccaneers -3.
Since then, the Bucs have mostly been at -3 (-105), and they're now -3 flat. The Panthers are attracting 60% of early spread tickets and a healthy 84% of early spread money in the NFL Week 17 odds market.
The total also saw a notable Monday drop, from 41 to 39 within three hours. It slowly rebounded from there, reaching 40.5 Wednesday, with no movement since. The Over is nabbing 55% of tickets and a more noteworthy 78% of money.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Preseason, Tampa Bay was among the Super Bowl favorites. Now, the sub-.500 Bucs are scrambling just to secure a postseason bid. Fortunately, Tom Brady and Co. are in the dismal NFC South, so they can still win the division and get the NFC's No. 4 seed.
Tampa is playing in the Week 16 Sunday night game at Arizona. Check back later tonight for a further update.
Carolina's season seemed lost long ago. A 1-4 SU start led to the firing of coach Matt Rhule and the subsequent trade of star running back Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers. After Week 11, the Panthers were 3-8 SU.
Now, Carolina is 6-9 SU (8-7 ATS), which is still awful, but keeps the team in contention for the NFC South title. In Week 16, the Panthers took a 24-7 halftime lead against a surging Detroit squad, then coasted to a 37-23 victory catching 2.5 points at home.
"Even though the records aren't good, this is a big game for the NFC South," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said. "I think the Bucs will be involved in a bunch of parlays and teasers, so I think we'll be rooting for Carolina to pull the upset. There are a couple bets on the Over and Carolina, but we're still at our openers."
The Panthers-Bucs game was taken off The SuperBook's NFL Week 17 odds board once Tampa's Sunday night game at Arizona kicked off. Panthers-Bucs will go back up on Monday morning.
One reason the Panthers remain alive in the NFC South: In Week 7, after shipping out McCaffrey, they stunned Tampa Bay 21-3 as 13-point home underdogs.
Dallas Cowboys vs Tennessee Titans
Opening line: Cowboys -9.5; Over/Under 43
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Thursday (Prime Video)
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: This game has seen substantial line movement over the course of the last four days. That's in large part due to the fact that it's meaningless for Tennessee, which can still win the AFC South even if it loses tonight. The Titans won't have injured QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) and are resting Derrick Henry (hip), among several others. The Cowboys will sit running back Tony Pollard (hand).
With key Tennessee players out, Dallas has zoomed to a 14-point favorite at Caesars Sports. On Sunday night, the Cowboys opened -9.5, then made a couple of trips to -10 Sunday night/Monday.
On Wednesday, when Henry and a slew of other Titans were announced out, Dallas went to -10.5/-11/-11.5 before stabilizing at -12. Then the Cowboys rose another 2 points today, as it appears Tennessee will start QB Josh Dobbs – signed off the Lions' practice squad last week – rather than rookie Malik Willis.
"It just seems like the Titans are in disarray,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “Obviously, they’ve lost five in a row, and this game doesn’t mean anything to them, with next week against Jacksonville being for the division. With all their injuries and sitting guys out, there aren’t too many positives to want to make someone bet on Tennessee. We’ve seen 'dogs in this range win or keep things close, but are the Titans going to muster enough points to be competitive?”
Bettors don't seem to think so, at least on the money front. Dallas is taking a modest majority 56% of spread tickets, but those tickets are translating into 77% of spread dollars.
Caesars opened the total at 43.5 and dropped to 40.5 even before Wednesday's news. The total bottomed out at 39.5 Wednesday night and is now 40. The Over is drawing 72% of tickets, but 57% of dollars are on the Under, including a $22,000 play on Under 41.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: In mid-November, Tennessee was one of the hottest teams in the NFL, riding a 7-1 SU/8-0 ATS run. However, the Titans (7-8 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) have since lost five in a row (0-4-1 ATS) and are on the brink of missing the playoffs.
In Week 16, Tennessee was without QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle), and he might not return this season. With Malik Willis starting, the Titans closed as 3-point home favorites against Houston and lost outright 19-14.
Dallas (11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS) is on a 5-1 SU surge (3-3 ATS), with the latest win the most noteworthy. Facing league-leading Philadelphia – which was minus Jalen Hurts (shoulder) – the Cowboys won a shootout 40-34 giving 4 points at home.
"The early line on this game was Dallas -3, before the Tannehill news broke. We got as high as Dallas -6.5 before it came off the board," The SuperBook's Casey Degnon said of last week's look-ahead line on the NFL Week 17 odds board. "The Titans lost to the Texans and only mustered 88 passing yards, so we had to open higher than that, based on how Willis has looked at QB so far. Not much action on the spread, but we did take sharp money on the Over, moving us to 43.5."
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