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Packers vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks, Odds | NFL Wild Card Game

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
3 minute read
Packers vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks, Odds | NFL Wild Card Game

Here's everything you need to know about the Packers vs. Cowboys Picks, Predictions, and Odds for this NFL Wild Card Game.

The opening round of the NFL Playoffs resumes Sunday mid-afternoon with a reunion for Mike McCarthy and his former team as the Dallas Cowboys host the Green Bay Packers. Coverage begins from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas at 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX.

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Packers vs Cowboys Betting Prediction & Odds | NFL Wild Card Game

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline
Cowboys vs
Packers 		-7 (-118)
+7 (-104) 		o52.5 (-105)
u52.5 (-115) 		-360
+290

The Packers have been on quite the roller coaster in QB Jordan Love’s first full campaign under center. Initially, it seemed like the Pack might’ve been dead on arrival as Green Bay stumbled out to a frustrating 3-6 skid out of the gate – while generating 20 points or less in seven of those nine contests.

However, Green Bay looked like a completely different team during the back half of the season. The Packers closed their campaign with an impressive 6-2 run to sneak into the playoffs as the seven-seed, which is primarily thanks to their young, talented offense averaging over 25 PPG down the stretch – while clearing the 27-point mark in four of their last eight contests.

The Packers still haven’t earned the trust of the general betting audience though. According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the SuperBook originally opened the line for this matchup at Cowboys -7.5, and there was even some debate about opening higher than -7.5 with books expecting the handle to heavily favor Dallas.

That said, I believe Dallas is a little bit overpriced in this spot. The Cowboys are the better team in this matchup by a considerable margin. But the overall numbers may lead you to believe that Dallas is a juggernaut on par with teams like the 49ers and Ravens – and that’s simply not the case.

The Cowboys offense finished the regular season ranked 1st in scoring and 5th in total yardage, while on the defensive side of the ball, they ranked 5th in both of those categories respectively. 

However, the Cowboys’ numbers are heavily inflated by running up the score in  matchups against inferior opponents. In their seven matchups against playoff teams, the Cowboys yielded a rather lackluster record of 3-4 and averaged less than 23 PPG in those contests. While in their other 10 matchups, they posted a record of 9-1 and averaged a whopping 35 PPG.

On the other side of that same coin though, the Cowboys’ defensive dominance is legitimate, and this a brutal road draw for Love and this young Packers team. But I don’t necessarily trust Dallas to score enough points to win this game by more than a touchdown either. I think the total for this matchup is way too high. I’m taking the under.

Score Prediction: Cowboys 24, Packers 20
Best Bet: Under 50.5 (-110)

GB @ DAL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +4.5 -115 +4.5 -105 +4.5 -108 +4.5 -110 +4.5 -110 +3.5 -108 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -4.5 -105 -4.5 -115 -4.5 -112 -4.5 -110 -4.5 -110 -3.5 -115 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o26 -115 N/A o25.5 -112 o25.5 -110 o26.5 -110 o24.5 -112 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u26 -105 N/A u25.5 -108 u25.5 -110 u26.5 -110 u24.5 -112 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +205 +200 +220 +210 +196 +165 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -250 -250 -270 -260 -245 -215 -360  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +3.5 even N/A N/A +3.5 -115 +3.5 -110 +4.5 -120 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -3.5 -120 N/A N/A -3.5 -105 -3.5 -110 -4.5 -105 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o26 -110 N/A N/A o25.5 -110 o25.5 -110 o26.5 -108 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u26 -110 N/A N/A u25.5 -110 u25.5 -110 u26.5 -115 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +175 N/A N/A N/A +180 +185 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -210 N/A N/A N/A -215 -245 -360  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +3 -140 +3 -130 +2.5 even +3 -120 +1.5 +102 +1.5 -130 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -3 +120 -3 even -2.5 -120 -3 even -1.5 -124 -1.5 +105 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o9.5 -150 N/A o9.5 -142 o9.5 -130 o9.5 -130 o9.5 -115 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u9.5 +125 N/A u9.5 +120 u9.5 +110 u9.5 +108 u9.5 -108 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +160 +165 +170 +185 +168 +138 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -190 -225 -205 -225 -210 -175 -360  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +0.5 +110 N/A -7.5 even N/A +3.5 -122 +1.5 -114 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -0.5 -130 N/A +7.5 -130 N/A -3.5 -100 -1.5 -109 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o15.5 -115 N/A o16.5 -120 N/A o16.5 -132 o14.5 -120 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u15.5 -105 N/A u16.5 -110 N/A u16.5 -102 u14.5 -105 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +145 N/A +180 N/A +158 +130 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -170 N/A -218 N/A -196 -162 -360  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +0.5 +120 N/A +0.5 -105 N/A +2.5 -108 +2.5 -107 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -0.5 -140 N/A -0.5 -115 N/A -2.5 -112 -2.5 -117 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o9.5 -150 N/A o10.5 +114 N/A o15.5 -138 o10.5 +106 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u9.5 +125 N/A u10.5 -135 N/A u15.5 +104 u10.5 -132 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +180 N/A +150 N/A +148 +175 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -220 N/A -180 N/A -184 -230 -360  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+7 -105 +0.5 +105 N/A +2.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -122 +2.5 -115 +7 -104  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-7 -115 -0.5 -125 N/A -2.5 -110 N/A -1.5 -100 -2.5 -108 -7 -118  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
o48 -115 o13.5 -135 N/A o14.5 -110 N/A o14.5 +106 o14.5 -105 o52.5 -105  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
u48 -105 u13.5 +115 N/A u14.5 -110 N/A u14.5 -128 u14.5 -120 u52.5 -115  
Final
Green Bay Packers 147 Packers
+270 +150 N/A +150 N/A +128 +138 +290  
Dallas Cowboys 148 Cowboys
-335 -180 N/A -180 N/A -158 -175 -360  

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Packers vs Cowboys Betting Resources

Date: Sunday, January 14
Matchup: NFC North vs. NFC East
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas
Time-TV: FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Wild Card Weekend Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Use our BetMGM bonus code before making your Packers vs Cowboys pick to get bonus bets!

Green Bay Packers Betting Analysis

The Packers defense has an enormous task on their hands in containing CeeDee Lamb. Lamb leads the Cowboys’ pass-catchers in all major categories by a wide margin, currently averaging 103 receiving yards on 7.9 catches per game – with the next man up in the pecking order trailing by more than 50 yards per outing.

Green Bay’s secondary ranks 20th in yards allowed per pass attempt and 18th in yards allowed per completion. But I still think they have enough talent to slow down one guy and keep this game under the total.

Check out our Super Bowl odds for a preview of the teams likely to be in the big game.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Analysis

Dak Prescott is finally beginning to look like his old self again. After throwing an interception in just 4-of-13 contests to open his campaign, Prescott closed the regular season with an interception in three of his last four contests – which feels like a return to normalcy given that Dak led the league in interceptions last year despite starting just 12 games.

Packers vs Cowboys Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in six of GB's last seven games.
  • The Cowboys are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Dallas' last five games.
  • The Cowboys are 7-2 SU in their last nine games.
  • The Packers are 6-2 SU in their last eight games.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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