Titans vs. Packers Week 16 Predictions, Odds, Preview

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• December 27, 2020
• By Matt Blunt
• VegasInsider.com

You don't always get a non-conference matchup for Sunday Night Football this late in the NFL calendar, but this Tennessee vs. Green Bay game pits two teams with much bigger plans against one another.

Any sort of “measuring stick” type talk should be there with each being a win away from having this matchup in the Super Bowl a year ago.

Both sides would have no problem playing again in February, but for a late season SNF game, it's always nice knowing you've got two good teams lined up and neither of them gets severely hurt with the loss.

Titans vs. Packers - Predictions

• Score Prediction: Green Bay 27 Tennessee 24
• Best Bet: Under 54.5

Betting Resources

• Week 16 Matchup: AFC vs. NFC
• Expert Picks: Vegas Insiders
• Venue: Lambeau Field
• Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
• Date: Sunday, Dec. 27, 2020
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• TV: NBC
• Bet: BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | PointsBet | All |Bet Now in Nevada

Titans-Packers Betting Odds

Line Movements

Odds Subject to Change

2020 Betting Stats

(Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under - O/U)

Tennessee

• Overall: 10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, 10-3-1 O/U
• Road: 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U
• Offense PPG: 31.1 (Rank 1)
• Defense PPG: 25.8 (Rank 22)
• Offense YPG: 399.4 (Rank 2)
• Defense YPG: 390.5 (Rank 27)

Green Bay

• Overall: 11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS, 7-7 O/U
• Home: 6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS, 3-4 O/U
• Offense PPG: 31.0 (Rank 1)
• Defense PPG: 24.2 (Rank 14)
• Offense YPG: 390.0 (Rank 4)
• Defense YPG: 337.7 (Rank 8)

Over vs. Under
Handicapping the Total

A loss for either side still stings enough with Green Bay looking to grab that #1 seed in the NFC, and Tennessee looking for an AFC South crown.

Obviously the more advantages they can get the better, but I don't think either side cares too much – outside of maybe grabbing that bye if you're Green Bay – what playoff route they've got to take.

Both sides experienced what it felt like to play great football in December and January, and both are hoping to recapture those results this year.

As far as the total goes though, I only have to go back to last week's piece with Green Bay playing at home on a Saturday night, to suggest that playing in Green Bay a week later in the year is no picnic either.

Last week I talked all about these Packers December home games in recent years being ones where points were hard to come by, and it played out that way against Carolina a week ago when each side could really only find their offense for a half.

A total that's 20 points higher than what the temperature is supposed to be for the game is going to be hard to get to, nevermind that it's almost a full score higher than the average point total league wide this year.

The Titans also bring in a heavy running game that you know they are never shy about relying on, and late on a cold, December night in Green Bay, how enthusiastic would you be about continually trying to take down running back Derrick Henry?

That could of course work both ways in Henry busting a few runs for quick scores, but a total this high does leave more margin for error. Tennessee has put up 30+ in five straight weeks which forces this number to be put here, but those games were at home vs Detroit and Cleveland, and on the road against Jacksonville, Indy, and Baltimore. Weather and cold was never an issue there the way it will be in Green Bay.

Finally, with both teams playoff bound and looking for deep runs again, asking the respective defenses to step up and slow down one of the top offenses in the league is a challenge that doesn't bring huge consequences should they fail – a loss doesn't dramatically hurt either side.

But should either side accomplish the goal of containing the opposing offense, the knowledge and confidence boost that defense gets going into the postseason knowing they can hang with the best may prove invaluable. Any 'over' of a mid-50's total needs most of the game to go smoothly and I'm just not sure we see that in a December game in January.

Have got to go 'under' this number.

Head-to-Head History

• Nov. 13, 2016 - Tennessee 47 vs. Green Bay 25, Titans +3, Over 48.5
• Dec. 23, 2012 - Green Bay 55 vs. Tennessee 7, Packers -10.5, Over 44

Green Bay has gone 6-1 at home this season and all six wins have come by more than four points. (AP)

Titans vs. Packers
Handicapping the Side

Tennessee finds themselves in the fade role after scoring 40+ last week, and it's hard not to like Green Bay ATS against anyone when you hear it as it's Green Bay by a FG at home.

But it's a game where the side is one that has valuable arguments on both sides of the ledger, and with minimal consequences for both, one that may not have the same meaning for both in the end.

Green Bay's got way more of a cushion relative to where they sit in the NFC, and a bad start on their end begs the question of “why push it” the rest of the way.

Not interested in getting caught in either of those scenarios should it turn lopsided early, because why would the Titans want to continue risk injury in the cold if they are the ones down big. Tough to have a strong conviction on either side to begin with, and any blowout has you coin-flipping that you're on the right side of it.

Green Bay probably should win being at home, but the total is likely the better way to go.

Key Injuries

Tennessee

• DL Jeffery Simmons: Knee - Questionable
• S Kenny Vaccaro: Illness - Questionable
• LB Derick Roberson: Hamstring - Out

Green Bay

• RB Jamaal Williams: Quad - Doubtful
• G Simon Stepaniak: Knee - Doubtful
• S Will Redmond: Concussion - Out
• TE Jace Sternberger: Concussion - Out

2020 Sunday Night Football (SNF) Betting Results

Betting Results

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS)

• Home-Away: 10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS
• Favorites-Underdogs: 8-7 SU, 5-10 ATS
• Over-Under: 5-10

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