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Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Oct. 3, 2021
Jonathan Willis
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Atlanta Falcons will look to build off a win last week when they host the Washington Football Team this Sunday. Kick off for this NFC meeting is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and will air on FOX from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.

Score Prediction: Atlanta 20, Washington 17

Best Bet: Under 47.5

Best Bet: Atlanta ML

Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Both the Atlanta Falcons and the Washington Football Team can thank the New York Giants for their one win. Washington edged the Giants 30-29 on Thursday Night Football in Week 2, while Atlanta knocked off Big Blue thanks to a late Younghoe Koo field goal last week. Now, one of these teams can move to 2-2 with a win this Sunday.

Points will be at a premium in this game. Neither offense has been able to move the ball that well. Atlanta doesn’t have a great offensive line in front of Matt Ryan, while Taylor Heinicke is simply a serviceable quarterback.

Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds

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Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Resources

  • Matchup: NFC East vs. NFC South
  • Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021
  • Venue: Mercdes-Benz Stadium
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV-Time: FOX - 1:00 p.m. ET

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Washington Football Team Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 1-2
  • ATS: 0-3
  • O/U: 2-1
  • ATS - Home: 0-2
  • ATS - Away: 0-1

Heinicke hasn’t been bad in relief of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick has been on injured reserve for a hip subluxation since leaving early in the season opener, so Heinicke has gotten the chance to make a name for himself. He had some big throws in the win over the Giants, but he made a few major mistakes last week.

Washington has one excellent receiver in Terry McLaurin. There isn’t a good second option though as college quarterback turned tight end Logan Thomas is the only other player on the team with more than 100 receiving yards. J.D. McKissic is an underrated receiver out of the backfield and should get more attention for his role.

Antonio Gibson continues to be an underrated running back. Gibson is averaging 4.2 YPC for Washington, but he has had a hard time holding onto the ball with two fumbles in just 45 carries. That could play a factor on Sunday as Atlanta’s defense isn’t good enough to focus on stopping offenses and plays for turnovers.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 1-2
  • ATS: 1-2
  • O/U: 1-2
  • ATS - Home: 0-1
  • ATS - Away: 1-1

Rookie Kyle Pitts has not been the difference maker that some pundits were predicting at the start of the season. The versatile tight end out of Florida was pegged as a 1,000-yard receiver and an Offensive Rookie of the Year front runner, but he ranks fourth on the team in receptions.

Ryan has done a lot of checking down and hasn’t been able to hit Calvin Ridley down the field. Ridley is averaging just 8.8 YPC, and the other top receivers are Cordarrelle Patterson, Mike Davis, and Pitts. There is no longer a quality second option as no one has been able to come close to replacing the production of Julio Jones.

The running game has been subpar for the Falcons too as the team spent its money on skill position players instead of on the offensive line. Davis is averaging just 3.8 YPC, and Patterson isn’t that much better even though he is used in special packages at 4.0 YPC. Atlanta does not have a run longer than 14 yards on the year.


The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games when facing the NFC. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Washington Football Team

  • Record: 1-2
  • Division Standing: 2nd - NFC East
  • Points Scored: 67
  • Points Allowed: 92
  • PS/G: 22.3 (19th)
  • PA/G: 30.7 (29th)

Inside the Stats - Atlanta Falcons

  • Record: 1-2
  • Division Standing: 4th - NFC South
  • Points Scored: 48
  • Points Allowed: 94
  • PS/G: 16 (29th)
  • PA/G: 31.3 (30th)

Key Players to Watch

  • WFT: Antonio Gibson - RB (45 carries, 190 yards)
  • WFT: Terry McLaurin - WR (19 catches, 231 yards, TD)
  • ATL: TBD
  • ATL: TBD

Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Conclusion

The under is the best bet in this game. As for the side, there are fears that Washington’s defensive line will dominate Atlanta’s offensive line, but we haven’t seen WFT look as strong as they did in 2020. The Falcons have a lot more weapons, a proven quarterback and home field advantage working in their favor too.

Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

  • Washington has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
  • Washington has won four of its last five road games.
  • Washington has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last nine games.
  • Atlanta has lost seven of its last nine home games.

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