New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Oct. 24, 2021

Jonathan Willis
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

Division rivals hit the field for Sunday afternoon football as the New York Jets head to Foxboro, Massachusetts to take on the New England Patriots. The AFC East battle is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and will air on CBS from Gillette Stadium.

Score Prediction

Patriots 23, Jets 10

Best Bets

Under

New England -7

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Predictions

The New England Patriots cruised to a 25-6 win over the New York Jets when these teams met at MetLife Stadium in Week 2. The Jets out-gained the Patriots by 76 yards, but Zach Wilson threw four interceptions while Mac Jones didn’t turn the ball over once. New England is in desperate need of another win, as the Patriots are currently 0-4 at Gillette Stadium this season.

Jones has improved with each week. The rookie out of Alabama was the last of the five quarterbacks taken in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, but he has looked better than everyone besides No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence. Jones will out-duel Wilson once again, and the Pats will pick up their first home win of the year.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds

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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Betting Resources

• Matchup: AFC East
• Date: Sunday, October 24, 2021
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxboro, Massachusetts
• TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

New York Jets Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 1-4
• ATS: 1-4
• O/U: 2-3
• ATS - Home: 1-1
• ATS - Away: 0-3

The Jets are letting Wilson make the mistakes that come with starting a rookie quarterback. He has already thrown nine interceptions in five games, but he and the Jets have had an extra week to prepare for this game. That gives Gang Green a glimmer of hope that the Jets can knock off the team that has dominated them for the last two decades.

If New York is going to pull off the upset, Wilson will need to play well. The Jets are averaging just 3.6 YPC and have one of the worst ground games in the league. The loss of left tackle Mekhi Becton really hurt this offensive line, and it’s not easy to run on the Patriots.

Wilson does have some decent targets in the passing game. Corey Davis leads the team with 20 receptions for 302 yards and three touchdowns, and Jamison Crowder and Keelan Cole have both had more time to rest after injuries.

New England Patriots Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 2-4
• ATS: 2-4
• O/U: 2-4
• ATS - Home: 1-3
• ATS - Away: 1-1

Jones is coming off his best outing of the season. He completed 15 of 21 passes for 229 yards with two touchdowns and an interception last week against the Cowboys. However, the rookie was greatly helped by a 75-yard touchdown pass to Kendrick Bourne late in the fourth quarter.

New England hasn’t been good on offense. The Patriots rank in the bottom ten in both scoring offense and total offense, and they are scoring touchdowns on less than 45% of their red zone trips. Damien Harris is averaging 4.1 YPC, but this offense is slowly getting better as Jones gets more familiar with the system.

Hunter Henry is a solid red zone threat in the passing game with three receiving touchdowns, while Jakobi Meyers leads the Patriots in receiving yards. Meyers has been with the team for three years and has 121 receptions, but he is still searching for his first touchdown catch.

This run defense has been solid, allowing just 3.8 YPC. However, the Patriots are dealing with several injuries in their front seven. Chase Winovich was placed on injured reserve this week, and Kyle Van Noy, Dont’a Hightower, Davon Godchaux, and Deatrich Wise Jr. are all questionable. Matt Judon has been an absolute star at linebacker though.

The New York Jets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - New York Jets

• Record: 1-4
• Division Standing: 3rd - AFC East
• Points Scored: 67
• Points Allowed: 121
• PS/G: 13.4 (32nd)
• PA/G: 24.2 (19th)

Inside the Stats - New England Patriots

• Record: 2-4
• Division Standing: 2nd - AFC East
• Points Scored: 125
• Points Allowed: 127
• PS/G: 20.8 (23rd)
• PA/G: 21.2 (9th)

Key Players to Watch

• NYJ: Zach Wilson - QB (98/171, 1,117 yards, 4 TD, 9 INT)
• NYJ: Corey Davis - WR (20 catches, 302 yards, 3 TD)
• NWE: Mac Jones - QB (150/211, 1,472 yards, 7 TD, 6 INT)
• NWE: Kendrick Bourne - WR (18 catches, 282 yards, 2 TD)

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Betting Conclusion

Bill Belichick is 33-10 against the New York Jets in his career. Belichick has largely owned the team that once hired him for a matter of days, and he should come up with a masterful defensive game plan to shut down Wilson and this offense. The Jets may score on their opening drive, but the Patriots will adjust and control the game from there.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Betting Trends

• New England has won 11 straight games when facing New York.
• New York has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
• New England has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 home games.
• New England has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing New York.

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