Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Oct. 31, 2021

Joe Williams
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

An AFC matchup on Sunday afternoon sees the New York Jets host the thriving Cincinnati Bengals. The game is scheduled to begin at 1:00 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey and will air on CBS.

Score Prediction

Bengals 27, Jets 20

Best Bets

Over

Jets +10.5

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Predictions

The Cincinnati Bengals are one of the surprising teams of the 2021 NFL season. Cincinnati is 5-2 and in first place in the AFC North following last week’s blowout win over the Baltimore Ravens. That has led to the Bengals being a double-digit road favorite this week against the New York Jets, but Cincinnati might be getting a little too much respect from the oddsmakers.

There aren’t a lot of people giving the Jets much of a chance after they were blown out by the Patriots last week. However, Cincinnati’s offense is not as good as you might think at first glance. The Bengals rank 18th in Offensive DVOA, and Robert Saleh can scheme this offense into some three-and-outs, allowing the Jets to stay within the number.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Betting Odds

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Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Betting Resources

• Matchup: AFC North vs. AFC East
• Date: Sunday, October 31, 2021
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 5-2
• ATS: 4-3
• O/U: 2-5
• ATS - Home: 1-2
• ATS - Away: 3-1

Ja’Marr Chase is currently leading the AFC in receiving yards. Chase is one of the front runners to be named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, as he has 35 receptions for 754 yards and six touchdowns. His big play ability is apparent to all, but there isn’t another strong playmaker in this receiving corps. Both Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins are underneath receivers averaging 10.3 YPC or less.

Joe Burrow is having a nice season for the Bengals. He is on pace to throw for well over 4,000 yards, but he has thrown eight interceptions in seven games. Burrow might be averaging 9.2 YPA, yet this offense is still very boom or bust in the passing game.

Cincinnati’s defense has been the real catalyst behind the team’s overall success. The Bengals rank fifth in defensive DVOA, and they have been able to stay pretty healthy. This is a speedy defense, but the cornerbacks can be beat over the top and a power run game can have success against the front seven.

New York Jets Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 1-5
• ATS: 1-5
• O/U: 3-3
• ATS - Home: 1-1
• ATS - Away: 0-4

No. 2 overall pick Zach Wilson will miss at least the next two weeks with a knee injury. Many are seeing this as a negative for the offense, and that may be the case in the long term, but it’s not the case in the short term.

Wilson has played worse than any other rookie quarterback besides Justin Fields. He is completing just 57.5% of his passes and has thrown more than twice as many interceptions as touchdowns. Mike White isn’t great, but this is his fourth season in the NFL, and he wasn’t terrible in relief last week against the Patriots.

The Jets’ other skill position players will need to step up to help White. This ground game hasn’t been good, but Chris Davis has done an admirable job on the perimeter as a deep threat for the Jets. Keenan Cole can stretch the field too.

This defense should be better provided C.J. Mosley returns to action. Mosley missed last week’s game with a hamstring injury, and the Jets didn’t allow more than 27 points in any of their first five games when he was on the field.

The Cincinnati Bengals have won five of their last six games when facing the AFC. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Cincinnati Bengals

• Record: 5-2
• Division Standing: 1st - AFC North
• Points Scored: 189
• Points Allowed: 128
• PS/G: 27 (7th)
• PA/G: 18.3 (5th)

Inside the Stats - New York Jets

• Record: 1-5
• Division Standing: 3rd - AFC East
• Points Scored: 80
• Points Allowed: 175
• PS/G: 13.3 (32nd)
• PA/G: 29.2 (29th)

Key Players to Watch

• CIN: Joe Burrow - QB (146/212, 1,956 yards, 17 TD, 8 INT)
• CIN: Ja'Marr Chase - WR (35 catches, 754 yards, 6 TD)
• NYJ: Zach Wilson - QB (104/181, 1,168 yards, 4 TD, 9 INT)
• NYJ: Corey Davis - WR (24 catches, 349 yards, 4 TD)

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Betting Conclusion

This could end up being a backdoor cover. Cincinnati doesn’t have an offense that can put games away despite the Bengals’ recent results. The Jets won’t get blown out at home though, and the loss of Wilson won’t hurt nearly as much as most observers seem to believe it will Gang Green.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Jets Betting Trends

• Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
• New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
• Cincinnati has won five of its last six games when facing the AFC.
• Cincinnati has covered the spread in three straight games when facing New York.
• The home team has won three of the last four meetings.

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