Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Nov. 14, 2021

Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Philadelphia Eagles (3-6) and Denver Broncos (5-4) will lock horns at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colo. for a Week 10 AFC-NFC battle. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Eagles 26, Broncos 16

Best Bets

Eagles ML

Eagles +2.5

Under

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Predictions

The Eagles were left with a sour taste in their mouth following a 27-24 home loss to the Los Angeles Chargers last weekend. The Eagles offense has scored 21 or more points in seven consecutive games since a 17-11 loss at home back in Week 2. The defense has been a little erratic, allowing 33 in Week 7, 6 in Week 8 and 27 in Week 9. Consider the Week 8 game an anomaly, as that was against the atrocious Detroit Lions. The Eagles are allowing 24.2 PPG.

The Broncos pulled off one of the biggest surprises of the Week 9 schedule, firing out to a 30-0 lead on the road against the Dallas Cowboys, before settling for a 30-16 win. It was 30-8 into the final minute of regulation, that’s how lopsided the game was. It was especially surprising after coming on the heels of a trade which saw fan favorite Von Miller shipped to the Los Angeles Rams prior to the trade deadline. Philadelphia heads into this one relatively healthy, with just T Andre Dillard (knee) and DE Josh Sweat(concussion) listed as questionable.

For Denver, offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur has tested positive for COVID-19, and he is more than likely to miss Sunday’s game, head coach Vic Fangio said. So quarterbacks coach Mike Shula would communicate with QB Teddy Bridgewater via headset, if that is the case.

As far as players, QB Drew Lock, CB Michael Ojemudia, G Austin Schlottman and LB Justin Strnad have also been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list, although each were confirmed as vaccinated players. In terms of injuries, the Broncos will be without starting tackles Garrett Bolles and Bobby Massie, as each are dealing with ankle ailments. WR Tim Patrick (knee) and CB Pat Surtain II (knee) are also among the team’s 10 players listed as questionable, a stark contrast to the relatively healthy Eagles.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Betting Odds

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Betting Resources

• Matchup: NFC East vs. AFC West
• Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High Stadium
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV-Time: CBS - 4:25 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 3-6
• ATS: 4-5
• O/U: 5-4
• ATS - Home: 1-3
• ATS - Away: 3-2

Again, the Eagles are relatively healthy, and that’s a huge relief heading into a difficult place to play. Philadelphia will try to take advantage of the injury situations and coaching changes on the other side. The Eagles rank middle of the road at No. 17, posting 346.1 total yards per game. The run game has been hot lately, even with Miles Sanders on reserve/IR. Jordan Howard has seen a resurgence lately, with Boston Scott and rookie Kenneth Gainwell also helping out.

The Eagles rank seventh in the NFL with 136.6 yards per game on the ground, and QB Jalen Hurts is also a big reason for that. He has been a poor man’s Lamar Jackson, rolling for 1,981 passing yards, 11 TD and 4 INT, while also running for a team-high 494 yards and five scores.

I think the Eagles can win this one outright, but know you’ll be bucking some serious trends. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS across the past seven games as a road underdog, and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 games overall away from home.

Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 5-4
• ATS: 5-4
• O/U: 2-7
• ATS - Home: 2-2
• ATS - Away: 3-2

Denver has won and covered consecutive games for the first time since opening the season 3-0 SU/ATS. The 17-10 win over the Washington Football Team in Week 8 was nice, covering as four-point favorites, but the win against Dallas last week was the shocker. The Broncos might want to lobby NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell to move to the NFC East, as Denver is 3-0 SU/ATS against the division this season.

That latter record will be put to the test here, as the Broncos have all of those key injuries and illness within the coaching ranks, causing a change on the fly. Denver is 4-1 ATS in the past five against losing teams, and 4-1 ATS in its past five following a straight-up victory. However, the good news for Eagles side bettors is that the Broncos are a dismal 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 as a home favorite.

The Philadelphia Eagles have lost six of their last seven games when playing in November. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Philadelphia Eagles

• Record: 3-6
• Division Standing: 2nd - NFC East
• Points Scored: 227
• Points Allowed: 218
• PS/G: 25.2 (11th)
• PA/G: 24.2 (21st)

Inside the Stats - Denver Broncos

• Record: 5-4
• Division Standing: 3rd - AFC West
• Points Scored: 187
• Points Allowed: 153
• PS/G: 20.8 (22nd)
• PA/G: 17 (2nd)

Key Players to Watch

• PHI: Jalen Hurts - QB (168/273, 1,981 yards, 11 TD, 4 INT)
• PHI: DeVonta Smith - WR (38 catches, 537 yards, 2 TD)
• DEN: Teddy Bridgewater - QB (200/285, 2,163 yards, 14 TD, 5 INT)
• DEN: Tim Patrick - WR (34 catches, 509 yards, 4 TD)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Betting Conclusion

Whenever you have two relatively similar teams, in terms of record, talent, etc. You look to the home team first. However, overall health trumps that, and I like the fact the Eagles are starting to hum along rather nicely lately. Philadelphia has had a three-headed monster in the backfield, and four if you count Hurts, who leads the way.

The Broncos rush defense has been rather sturdy, allowing just 98.3 rushing yards per game to rank sixth in the NFL. It’s all on the defense in this one, and it will be a hard-fought match down to the end. Eventually I think Philadelphia is able to ease by the home side for a satisfying road victory.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Denver Broncos Betting Trends

• Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games when facing the AFC.
• Tim Patrick has scored a TD in three of his last four games when facing the NFC.
• Denver has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games after winning the game prior.
• Philadelphia has lost six of its last seven games when playing in November.

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