Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Nov. 21, 2021

Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Baltimore Ravens (6-3) travel to meet the Chicago Bears (3-6) for a Week 11 matchup on Sunday at Soldier Field in Chicago. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Ravens 24, Bears 18

Best Bets

Under 44.5 (-110)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Predictions

The Ravens are rested, playing for the first time since last Thursday. Baltimore needed a few days to process what happened in Miami, too, a stunning 22-10 loss against the Dolphins as 8.5-point favorites that nobody saw coming. In fact, the Ravens had just three points on the board heading to the fourth quarter, and they did not have their first touchdown until 4:12 to go, when QB Lamar Jackson hit TE Mark Andrews for a 5-yard scoring play to cut the lead to 15-10. But the Ravens defense couldn't stop the Dolphins, as QB Tua Tagovailoa had a rushing score just before the two-minute warning to ice it.

The Ravens were held to just 94 rushing yards, and this time they weren't afforded the luxury of running it late to try for 100 yards to keep alive a meaningless streak like in Denver earlier this season. They just couldn't get it done. The Dolphins were hellbent on stopping Lamar, and letting someone else, anybody else, beat them. Nobody stepped up. Baltimore was beaten in nearly every facet of the game. They lost the turnover battle 2-0, losing a fumble with one interception. That fumble by WR Sammy Watkins was huge, too, as DB Xavien Howard had the 49-yard scoop and score to make it 15-3 with 11:23 to go in the fourth quarter. The Dolphins outgained the Ravens 350 to 304 in total yards. The Ravens were sacked four times. They had a missed field goal, and they managed to get into the red zone just twice in the game, converting on only one of the trips.

The Bears are returning from a bye. Prior to the bye, the Bears offense looked like a functional NFL unit, and QB Justin Fields had a career-high 291 yards, and he gained some confidence with a late go-ahead scoring drive in Pittsburgh on Monday night. The Chicago defense allowed a late score to suffer the 29-27 loss, but it might have been the most important game of Fields' career to date. He looked ready, and poised to take the next step in his maturation as a pro quarterback. After two weeks to rest, regroup and get better, it will be interesting to see how the Bears come out, and if they can build upon that momentum from two weeks ago.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Betting Resources

• Matchup: AFC North vs. NFC North
• Date: Sunday, November 21, 2021
• Venue: Solider Field
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

• Weather Report
• Injury Report
• Super Bowl 56 Betting

Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 6-3
• ATS: 3-6
• O/U: 5-4
• ATS - Home: 2-3
• ATS - Away: 1-3

The Ravens hit the road, and that hasn't been good for the boys from Charm City. Baltimore is just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in four games away from home, including that 22-10 stunner last time out in Miami Gardens. This is the team that needed an NFL record 66-yard field goal to beat the winless Detroit Lions at the buzzer in Ford Field in Week 3. The only decisive win for the Ravens on the road was a 23-7 win over the Denver Broncos in Week 4, covering as a one-point underdog.

Baltimore is averaging just 19.8 PPG in four games on the road, while hitting the UNDER in each of the past three away games. It also enters this game on an 0-3 ATS skid, last covering the number in a 34-6 blowout win over the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 6, which seems so much longer ago.

After NFC teams this season, the Ravens are 2-0 SU, but 0-2 ATS, hitting the OVER in a home game against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9, while hitting the UNDER in that game against the Lions in Week 3 on the road.

Chicago Bears Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 3-6
• ATS: 4-5
• O/U: 3-6
• ATS - Home: 2-2
• ATS - Away: 2-3

The Bears have traditionally not fared well following a bye, going 5-16-1 ATS in the past 22 seasons following a bye. They hope to turn things around, but they will have to do so without stud LB Khalil Mack, who has a foot injury and will require season-ending surgery. That's a tough blow for a Bears team which was looking for build upon a loss, but a solid performance in Pittsburgh in Week 9.

Chicago has a lot of icy trends heading into this one against Baltimore. The Bears have covered just six of the past 19 games against teams with a winning record, while going 2-7 ATS in the past nine as an underdog. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five as a home 'dog, and 2-6 ATS in the previous eight games in the month of November.

This will be the fourth and final game for the Bears against the AFC North Division. They topped the Cincinnati Bengals at Soldier Field in Week 2, winning 20-17 as a two-point favorite, hitting the UNDER. In Week 3 they were blown out 26-6 at Cleveland, failing to cover while the UNDER cashed, and they covered in the loss at Pittsburgh last time out with a rare OVER result. The OVER is 2-0 in the past two for the Bears, but that comes on the heels of a 6-0 UNDER run from Weeks 2 through 7.

Justin Fields threw for a career-high 291 yards last time out in Pittsburgh. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Baltimore Ravens

• Record: 6-3
• Division Standing: 0-1
• Points Scored: 231
• Points Allowed: 217
• PS/G: 25.7
• PA/G: 24.1

Inside the Stats - Chicago Bears

• Record: 3-6
• Division Standing: 1-1
• Points Scored: 150
• Points Allowed: 224
• PS/G: 16.7
• PA/G: 24.9

Key Players to Watch

• BAL: Lamar Jackson - QB (199/309, 3,086 total yards, 16 total TDs, 8 INT)
• BAL: Marquise Brown - WR (52 catches, 719 yards, 6 TD)
• CHI: Justin Fields - QB (111/187, 1,282 yards, 6 total TDs, 8 INT)
• CHI: Darnell Mooney - WR (36 catches, 450 yards, 2 TD)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Betting Conclusion

The Ravens hit the road looking for redemption, and they catch a break not having Mack chasing down Jackson and the Baltimore offensive players. A ticked off Jackson and Ravens offense is not what the Bears needed, especially without one of the NFL's best tackle machines.

The numbers for the Bears after a bye week are a little worrisome, too, although some trends aren't as important as others. Yes, they're 5-16-1 ATS in the past 22 games following a bye, but Fields is 22 years old, and he was a baby when the trend started. He is playing in his first NFL season. It's silly to focus on numbers from when a majority of the players or the coaching staff weren't even around. It is important, however, to focus on the Bears going 6-13 ATS in the past 19 against winning teams, and 2-7 ATS in the past nine as an underdog. Those are recent trends, by a majority of these same players and coaches, and it's not a good sign heading into Week 11 for the home team.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Chicago Bears Betting Trends

• The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
• The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in the past five road games.
• The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in the past seven as a favorite.
• The Bears are 6-13 ATS in the past 19 vs. winning teams.
• The Bears are 5-16-1 ATS in the past 22 following a bye.
• The Bears are 2-7 ATS in the past nine as an underdog.
• The UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven road games for the Ravens.
• The UNDER is 17-6 in the past 23 home games for the Bears.

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