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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Odds, Picks

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
Dec. 5, 2021
Michael Crosson
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

Week 13 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET

The 13th weekend of regular-season NFL action will conclude on Sunday night with a compelling AFC West bout between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs. Coverage begins from Arrowhead Stadium at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Score Prediction

Chiefs 34, Broncos 17

Best Bets

Chiefs -9 (-110) at PointsBet

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

After finishing last in the AFC West with a record of 5-11 last year, Denver stormed out to a surprisingly strong start to the new season, as the Broncos kicked things off with wins in three straight games – which included victories over somewhat weaker opponents in the Giants, Jaguars, and Jets.

The Broncos have been very inconsistent since their 3-0 start though, considering Denver enters Sunday’s contest following losses in five of the last eight games – with three of those losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

On the other hand, Kansas City stumbled out to a relatively pedestrian start to the new season, as the Chiefs closed October with a head-scratching 3-5 run – with their only victories across that span coming against the Browns, Eagles, and Washington.

The Chiefs quickly turned things around in November though, considering Kansas City enters this Sunday’s contest riding a four-game winning streak – which consists of solid victories over the Packers, Giants, Raiders, and Cowboys.

I’ll lay the points with Kansas City here, as the Broncos’ offense has averaged just 19 PPG on 282.5 YPG since Week 4 – while the Chiefs’ defense has surrendered 20 PTS or less in five of the last six games (14.5 PPG).

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds




The Chiefs enter Sunday night’s contest favored by roughly ten points over the visiting Broncos, which marks the fourth straight game Denver has been an underdog in.

The total for Sunday’s event is stationed near OU 47 at most shops – marking the lowest over-under set for a Chiefs’ game so far this season.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Resources

  • Matchup: AFC West
  • Date: Sunday, December 5, 2021
  • Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • TV-Time: NBC - 8:20 p.m. ET

Week 13 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 4:00 p.m. through 4:25 p.m. ET

Denver Broncos Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-5
  • ATS: 6-5
  • O/U: 2-9
  • ATS - Home: 3-3
  • ATS - Away: 3-2

After finishing last in the AFC West last year (5-11), the Broncos made a fascinating decision to acquire Bridgewater from Carolina during the offseason – and it worked flawlessly to start, as Denver dominated the Giants, Jaguars, and Jets to kick off the new season.

Denver’s initial success was extremely short-lived though, as the Broncos inevitably drew a few tougher matchups across Weeks 4 through 7 – which resulted in relatively non-competitive losses to the Ravens, Browns, Raiders, and Steelers.

The Broncos have played solid football since their four-game losing streak though, considering Denver enters Sunday’s contest following wins in three of the last four games, which includes victories over the Cowboys, Chargers, and Washington – and a blowout loss to the Eagles (L, 30-13).

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-4
  • ATS: 4-7
  • O/U: 5-6
  • ATS - Home: 1-5
  • ATS - Away: 3-2

Since the onset of the Patrick Mahomes era in Kansas City, it’s been incredibly uncommon to see the Chiefs struggle during the first half of the season like they did this year, considering Kansas City previously posted three straight perfect 4-0 starts before stumbling out to a 5-4 start this year.

Kansas City finally appears to be back in the swing of things though, considering the Chiefs enter Sunday night’s contest riding a four-game winning streak – with half of those victories coming by double-digits.


The Broncos are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against the Chiefs. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Denver Broncos

  • Record: 6-5
  • Division Standing: 2nd - AFC West
  • Points Scored: 228
  • Points Allowed: 196
  • PS/G: 20.7 (21st)
  • PA/G: 17.8 (3rd)

Inside the Stats - Kansas City Chiefs

  • Record: 7-4
  • Division Standing: 1st - AFC West
  • Points Scored: 281
  • Points Allowed: 250
  • PS/G: 25.5 (9th)
  • PA/G: 22.2 (13th)

Key Players to Watch

  • DEN: Teddy Bridgewater - QB (68.7% CMP, 2,518 YDS, 15 TD, 5 INT)
  • DEN: Melvin Gordon - RB (135 CAR, 605 YDS, 5 TD)
  • KNC: Patrick Mahomes - QB (65.5% CMP, 3,200 YDS, 25 TD, 11 INT)
  • KNC: Tyreek Hill - WR (84 REC, 932 YDS, 8 TD)

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Conclusion

After extending their winning streak to four games last week, the Chiefs enter this Sunday’s contest favored by roughly ten points over the visiting Broncos – marking the second time Denver has been listed as a touchdown-underdog or more this season.

I’ll lay the points with the Chiefs here, as Denver’s offense has been somewhat underwhelming lately, averaging just 19 PPG on 282.5 YPG across their latest eight-game stretch – which is unfortunate timing, because Kansas City is finally starting to come around on both sides of the script.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in five straight Broncos' games.
  • The Broncos are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 matchups against Kansas City.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six Chiefs' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the four of the last five matchups between Denver and Kansas City.

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