AFC Divisional Round Cheat Sheet, Odds, Trends

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

The road to the AFC Championship continues over weekend in the Divisional Round as four teams will look to advance to the AFC Championship Round.

The first AFC Divsional Round game is set for Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022 and with the second game on Sunday, Jan. 23, 2022.

AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND SCHEDULE

• Saturday, Jan. 22 - Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (CBS, 4:30 p.m.)
• Sunday, Jan. 23 - Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS, 6:30 p.m.)

ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP

• Kansas City Chiefs +165
• Buffalo Bills +225
• Tennessee Titans +325
• Cincinnat Bengals +550

Odds per (Subject to Change)

MATCHUP - CINCINNATI BENGALS AT TENNESSEE TITANS

• Date: Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022
• Venue: Nissan Stadium
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• TV-Time: CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET

OPENING LINE: TITANS -3.5, ML -175, O/U 46.5 (-110)

HEAD-TO-HEAD

Cincinnati won the last meeting against Tennesse back in 2020, when the Bengals scored 31 points in route to an 11-point vcitory. In fact, the Bengals have won three of their last four games when facing the Titans, which dates back to 2011.

The Bengals have also covered the spread in four straight games when facing the Titans, playing as the underdog in three of those games - which Cincinnati will be on Saturday. The point total has only gone UNDER once in the four previous meetings between these two teams. 

BETTING NOTES

Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in nine of 10 games when playing in January, while the O/U is 16-18-1 combined. Despite this, the OVER has hit in two straight meetings. The Bengals covered against Las Vegas in the Wild Card Round, snapping eight straight postseason games without covering the spread. Cincinnati has now covered the spread in five straight games, while also winning four of five when facing the AFC as the underdog SU.

Tennessee loves to start fast in the postseason, winning the first quarter in five straight NFL Playoff games. The Titans have covered six of their last nine games inside Nissan Stadium, but are just 4-5 ATS when playing as the favorite. The Titans have also failed to cover the spread in four of five games when facing the Bengals.

MATCHUP - BUFFALO BILLS AT KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

• Date: Sunday, Jan. 23, 2022
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV-Time: CBS, 6:30 p.m. ET

OPENING LINE: CHIEFS -2.5, ML -135, O/U 54.5 (-110)

HEAD-TO-HEAD

These two teams last faced in Week 5 of the 2021 season, in which the Bills went into Arrowhead and won 38-20. They also met twice in 2020, with Kansas City winning both games including the AFC Championship with a 14-point victory, easily covering the -3-point spread. Bad news for Chiefs bettors on Sunday, in that the road team has actually won three of the last four meetings SU. Ironically, the winning team has scored exactly 38 points in two straight meetings, so it's easy to see why the point total is set at a high 54.5 to open.

BETTING NOTES

Buffalo is coming off a destruction of the New England Patriots, in what was one of the better playoff performances seen from Josh Allen. The Bills have now covered the spread in two straight games, and now hit the road where they have covered five of their last eight games which includes a Week 5 trip to Missouri. Buffalo has also covered four of five games, while pushing the fifth game - two of those covers as -14-point favorites or more.

Kansas City also looked good in its AFC Wild Card meeting with the Steelers, as the Chiefs have now won seven straight home games SU. Kansas City has also seen the home team cover the spread in seven of its last eight games. The Chiefs have also covered the spread in seven of their last nine games overall, while going OVER the point total in six straight games. The point total has gone OVER in two straight meetings, which saw both games set at high totals of 54.5 and 57.5.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson