SNF Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bet

Stuart Durst Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst is back on the gridiron to give out his top play in Sunday night's primetime matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Check out his prediction below, along with other VI Expert Picks!

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Picks

• Jerick McKinnon (KNC) Anytime TD (+470)
• Julio Jones (TMB) Anytime TD (+350)

With an uncertain injury report, I like the idea of pivoting to a + money touchdown spot, like we did with Hayden Hurts on Thursday. Today's Sunday Night Football matchup contains one of the biggest storylines in football, Tom Brady vs Patrick Mahomes. Seeing two of the best offensive masterminds in football is always going to be an enjoyable matchup, especially if Tamba Bay is going to get some of their weapons back. After Mike Evans was suspended last week, and Godwin and Jones were injured, they were left with a receiver core of Perriman, Gage, and a newly signed Cole Beasley. This week Perriman has already gone down, and Jones + Godwin are game time decisions. 

Line shopping is very important, Caesars is laying a line 110 points better than the rest of the market. McKinnon is spending his second consecutive week as the Chiefs RB snap leader, beating out CEH once again. The veteran back was on the field plenty towards the end of the game when they were trailing, and is clearly a trusted target in an offense lacking that. McKinnon can serve as a traditional runner, but his touchdown came through the air this season, and his dual threat ability definitely increases his value. So far the Buccaneers have had the best secondary in Football, I would assume they give the Cheifs offense some trouble. With safety help committed to Kelce, I think McKinnon could find himself in some interesting 1v1 positions vs LB’s. 

Another example of line shopping, 40 points better than the rest of the market. Julio Jones may not play, but if he’s healthy I like this spot. I also don't think they trott out an injured Julio this week, considering they want him healthy throughout the season. Jones developed an instant connection with Brady in week, recording his fastest sprint speed since 2018 as well. His down the field targets were inspiring, and he should get a solid matchup vs CB2/CB3’s with Evans and possibly Godwin playing. I like a sprinkle at the +350 odds with FanDuel. 

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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community. More from Stuart Durst