Week 5 NFL Tech Trends

Bruce Marshall Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

NFL betting expert and handicapper Bruce Marshall breaks down the top trends for the entire Week 5 NFL slate. Check them out below and be sure sure to visit our NFL picks page for expert selections on games this week!

Thursday, October 6

Indianapolis at Denver (Prime Video, 8:15 p.m.)

• Colts “under” first four this season and “under” nine in a row since late 2021.
• Broncos “under” 3-1 in 2022, “under” 15-6 since 2021.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Sunday, October 9

N.Y. Giants at Green Bay - London (NFLN, 9:30 a.m.)

• Pack 1-4 vs. line last five as chalk away from Lambeau.
• G-Men “under” 21-6 since mid 2020 (some might be 22-5 if playing the "under" early enough in the Sept. 26 Dallas game),
• Pack “under” 4-1 since late 2021.

Tech Play: Giants, Under
Expert Picks

Pittsburgh at Buffalo (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

• Tomlin won in upset at Orchard Park opening week last season, and 11-6 last 17 as dog since 2020.
• Bills 4-0-1 vs. spread last five as host.

Tech Play: Steelers
Expert Picks

Miami at N.Y. Jets (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

• After loss to Cincy, Dolphins still 11-2 SU, 10-3 vs. spread last 13 since mid 2021.
• One of the spread L's in that stretch however was last Dec 19 at home vs. Jets, though Miami has won last four outright in series.
• Dolphins also “under” 6-2 last eight after Cincy game.

Tech Play: Dolphins, Under
Expert Picks

Seattle at New Orleans (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Saints just 1-5 vs. spread last six at Superdome, also on 8-3 “under” run since late last season (though "over" vs. Vikes in London last week).
• Seahawks 3-4 vs. spread last seven away from home but off uplifting shootout win at Lions last week.

Tech Play: Seahawks, Under
Expert Picks

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Falcons off to 4-0 start vs. spread in 2022, also now 6-2-2 vs. line last ten on road.
• Also “over” four of last five since late 2022, though Bucs have opened “under” 3-1 this season.

Tech Play: Falcons, Over
Expert Picks

Detroit at New England (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Dan Campbell 3-1 vs. line in 2022, 14-7 vs. spread since last season with Lions, who have also covered seven games in that span in which they have lost outright .
• Detroit also “over” last six and eight of ten since late 2021.
• Belichick 2-4 vs. spread since late 2021.

Tech Play: Lions, Over
Expert Picks

L.A. Chargers at Cleveland (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)

• Browns “over” three of first four in 2022 after “under” 6 of last 7 to close 2021.
• Chargers “over” 8-2 last ten since late 2021.
• These teams played a wild 47-42 shootout in LA's favor last season at Inglewood.
• Browns only 8-19 last 27 as home dog, while Chargers 5-1 last six as road chalk.

Tech Play: Chargers, Over
Expert Picks

Chicago at Minnesota (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Vikes have covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
• Bears 2-6 vs. spread last eight away.

Tech Play: Vikings
Expert Picks

Houston at Jacksonville

• Texans have won last eight outright in series, covered four of last five meetings.
• Houston 5-2-1 vs. spread since late 2021.
• Jags recently won and covered two in a row for first time since opening two weeks of 2018 season before losing last week at Eagles.

Tech Play: Texans
Expert Picks

Tennessee at Washington (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)

• Wash 7-5-1 vs. spread since mid 2021 but has dropped three in a row SU and vs. line, though 4-2 vs. points last six at FedEx.
• Wash also “under” 6-1 last seven at FedEx Field.
• Titans “over” 7-3 away since last season.

Tech Play: Titans
Expert Picks

San Francisco at Carolina (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)

• Panthers were on 2-14 spread skid until recent win over Saints, but loss to Cards last week puts them a subpar 3-15 last 18 against number.
• Have dropped eight of last nine vs. spread at Charlotte, too.
• After covering 7 of last 9 on road entering 2022, Niners 0-2 vs. line away this season, also “under” 4-0 in 2022 and 11-1 “under” since late 2021 after Rams on Monday.
• Tech edge-“Under” and Niners, based on “totals” and team trends.

Tech Play: Niners, Under
Expert Picks

Philadelphia at Arizona (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

• Eagles 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line to begin season, but only 2-4 vs. line last six away.
• Cards no covers last six at Glendale.

Tech Play: Eagles
Expert Picks

Dallas at L.A. Rams (FOX, 4:25 p.m.)

• Cowboys 3-0 SU and vs. line with Cooper Rush in lineup, Dallas also “under” 3-0-1 this season (if counting NYG as a totals push) and 12-3-1 last 16 since early 2021.
• Dallas has also now covered five straight on road.
• Rams 3-7 vs. spread last ten at So Fi and just 1-5 vs. points last six since late last season.

Tech Play: Cowboys, Under
Expert Picks

Cincinnati at Baltimore (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)

• Bengals have straightened out with wins and covers last two following Miami win.
• Cincy also “under” four in a row and nine straight since late 2021 but both Ravens games “over” last season.
• Cincy won both of those in romps a year ago.

Tech Play: Under
Expert Picks

Monday, Oct. 10

Las Vegas at Kansas City (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)

• Chiefs destroyed Raiders both meetings LY by combined 89-23 score, and KC on 6-2 spread uptick at Arrowhead.
• Raiders off 1-3 SU and vs. spread, and just 5-10 last 15 vs. line since mid 2021.
• Last four meetings “over” as well.

Tech Play: Chiefs, Over
Expert Picks

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Bruce Marshall

Bruce's unique and colorful brand of football and basketball analysis, as well as informed commentary on the national and international sports scene, has made him an in-demand guest for many years on numerous sports talk radio and TV shows across the country. Bruce's vast array of editorial work has also been featured in VegasInsider, along with the Las Vegas Review-Journal and New York Post. Bruce, who is also in the midst of several book projects, combines all of his work while splitting time between Celebration, Florida and Henderson, Nevada. More from Bruce Marshall