TNF Colts vs. Broncos Player Prop Best Bet

Stuart Durst Sports Betting Expert

2 minute read

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst is back on the gridiron to give out his top play in Thursday night's primetime matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Denver Broncos. Check out his prediction below, along with other VI Expert Picks!

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Pick

• Alec Pierce (IND) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+500)

I was going to start this article by stating that Broncos vs Colts is one of the more interesting game’s of the week, but that's because interesting is my usual buzzword for games that will likely be incredibly boring/vanilla. I’m sure the league thought Russell Wilson vs Matt Ryan, both on their new teams, would be a huge draw this week, but the season definitely hasn't gone as planned thus far. Despite that, it's always important to remember we have Football on TV, and there's money to be made. The Broncos are currently sitting as 3-point favorites, with a game total set at 43. The books are expecting a close, defense oriented matchup.

The most important piece of news that we don't have for this matchup surrounds Jonathan Taylor. Taylor sustained an ankle injury against the Titans and is questionable for this game. Team doctors have told Frank Reich that the injury couldn't get any worse if he played on it (I wonder if the Dolphins doctor told Mike McDaniel that) so I’m anticipating he suits up in a more limited capacity. I personally don't feel comfortable betting on Taylor with this injury, and considering he’s the heart of this Colts offense it makes me very uneasy betting this game without further information. Another interesting tidbit is that Philip Lindsay could be suiting up for the Colts, the former Pro-Bowler would be making his first return home since being released by the Broncos. The storylines are fun, but the best price on the market for a touchdown is currently +370 on DK, which is a terrible price for someone currently on the practice squad.

While the Taylor uncertainty clearly effects this number, +500 on Fanduel is a great price for the #2 receiver on this team. Despite missing a week, Pierce is second on the Colts in red-zone targets this season. The big bodied receiver (6’3) presents interesting versatility, mainly serving as a downfield target but also possessing good jump ball abilities for red-zone packages. In his first ever NFL game, both of his targets came in the red zone, in his two games since then he has catches of 44 and 30 yards, serving as the field stretcher. Pittman will have a very tough matchup against Surtain on the outside, hopefully generating a couple extra opportunities for the rookie. When alt-lines become available, I also don't mind the idea of 40 receiver yards paired with the touchdown, I think the rookie is in store for a good game in primetime.

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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community. More from Stuart Durst