Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 5 of the NFL season continues Sunday afternoon as the Chicago Bears travel to meet the Minnesota Vikings in an NFL North Division matchup at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota on Sunday. Coverage begins at 1 p.m. ET on FOX.

Updated on 11/21/2024

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CHICAGO BEARS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PREDICTION

The Bears head into this Week 5 matchup hoping to pay the Vikings back after a season sweep in 2022. Minnesota won 17-9 in Chicago to cover a 7-point number as the UNDER easily cashed, and the Vikes topped the Bears 31-17 as a 3.5-point favorite on Jan. 9 as the OVER connected.

Chicago's offense has struggled quite a bit this season after a promising preseason. The Bears rank second-to-last in total yards per game (274.8), while sitting 32nd in the league with just 97.5 passing yards per game. The run game is the strong point, with RB Khalil Herbert leading the way with 317 yards and three touchdowns. Chicago has managed just 16.0 PPG, however, ranking 30th.

Minnesota is returning from a trip to London, so it wouldn't be surprising to see it be a little sluggish after the long journey. The Vikings benefited from a two-doink missed field goal by PK Wil Lutz of the Saints at the buzzer at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, winning 28-25, although Minnesota failed to cover for the third consecutive outing since a win and cover in Week 1 vs. Green Bay. Unlike the Bears, the Vikings have scored 23 or more points in three of four games, as the offense has done well. The defense has allowed 24 more points in three straight outings, including a season-high 25 points to Saints backup QB Andy Dalton, so there is potential for QB Justin Fields and the Bears to make some inroads.

Score Prediction: Vikings 24, Bears 13
Best Bet: Vikings -7 (-125)
Best Bet: UNDER 44 (-108)

CHICAGO BEARS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ODDS

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CHICAGO BEARS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022
Matchup: NFC North
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time-TV: FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET

CHICAGO BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Bears last cover came in the rain and slop against the San Francisco 49ers back in Week 1. It wasn't pretty, but it was a win, 19-10, over then-QB Trey Lance and the Niners. The struggles in the pass game were forgivable in a wet weather game. Then the Bears headed to Green Bay for Week 2 SNF, and the offense was disjointed in a 27-10 loss to the Packers. It's a tough place to play, give Fields and the offense a pass. On to Week 3, the offense struggled yet again, but found a way to win against Houston, 23-20. It wasn't pretty, but the Bears are 2-1. Last week, the offense, yep, struggled again in a 20-12 loss.

Bears fans, you'll just have to live with the struggles. Fields isn't it, at least not yet, and if history is any indication, he won't be. Seriously, look up the last star quarterback out of Ohio State. I'll wait. The best player to quarterback for the Buckeyes might have been Tom Tupa, who turned punt for the Cardinals back in the 80's. No, seriously.

The Bears have some ugly numbers against the spread, going 1-5 ATS in the past six on the road, 3-13 ATS in the past 16 inside the division and 0-4 ATS in the past four against winning sides.

For totals, with a struggling offense, you might expect UNDER results, and you're right! The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven inside the division, while going 19-8 in the past 27 against winning teams.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Vikings are a fun team to watch, as WRs Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen make QB Kirk Cousins look like a world beater. The former Spartans QB just isn't that good, but it helps to have studs in the pass game. Even TE Irv Smith Jr. is coming along nicely as another young weapon, and of course it doesn't hurt to have a stud in the backfield with RB Dalvin Cook.

The Vikings offense has been a little middling at times, which is shocking considering all of the talent. It is 12th in passing yards per game, posting 246.0 yards per contest, but middle of the road with 21.5 PPG, or 15th in the NFL, and the run game has had some difficulty.

The defense is abysmal, ranking 27th in total yards allowed (394.5), but it's been a bend-don't-break defense, allowing 20.0 PPG, to rank 13th overall.

Minnesota isn't that hot against the number, either. It is 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall, while going 1-5 ATS in the past six in the month of October. For totals, the OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 games overall, and 5-1 in the past six home games. The OVER is also 11-4 in the past 15 inside the division.

CHICAGO BEARS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING TRENDS

• Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games overall
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in the past six road games
• Bears are 3-13 ATS in the past 16 vs. NFC North
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in the past four vs. winning teams
• Vikings are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall
• Vikings are 1-5 ATS in the past six October games
• UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. NFC North for the Bears
• UNDER is 19-8 in the past 27 vs. winning teams for the Bears
• OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 games overall for the Vikings
• OVER is 5-1 in the past six home games for the Vikings
• OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 vs. NFC North for the Vikings
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in the past five meetings
• OVER is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Minnesota

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Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish