NFL Week 7 Rewind
The Week 7 schedule did not look like it had a lot of great games on it going into the week, but the New Orleans Saints-Arizona Cardinals game finally gave football fans something entertaining to watch on Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime Video after a pair of stinkers the previous two weeks.
We had our fair share of surprises, as the Washington Commanders and QB Taylor Heinicke outlasted the Green Bay Packers and QB Aaron Rodgers at FedEx Field in the nation's capital, but that paled in comparison to the shocker in Charlotte. The Carolina Panthers traded RB Christian McCaffrey to the San Francisco 49ers, apparently throwing in the towel on its season. But no, QB P.J. Walker and the Panthers had other ideas, stunning a disinterested Tampa Bay Buccaneers team led by QB Tom Brady, 21-3. It was one of the more inexplicable results in years, and perhaps in all of TB12's illustrious career.
The Dallas Cowboys welcomed QB Dak Prescott back, and he looked a little rusty against a Detroit Lions team coming off a bye. The Pokes still rolled, however, winning and easily covering as the UNDER connected.
It was a good week to be home, as road teams were just 4-9 SU, while managing a 6-7 record ATS. Favorites were also 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS.
The OVER edged the UNDER 2-1 in the three primetime games after perfect 3-0 record to the UNDER in Week 6. The Chicago Bears and New England Patriots MNF Super Bowl XX rematch ended up being a high-scoring affair. The UNDER is 15-7 (68.2%) through 22 primetime games so far through Week 7.
NFL WEEK 7 RESULTS
WAGER (Favorites-Underdogs)
Straight Up (SU): 9-5
Against the Spread (ATS): 7-7
WAGER (Home-Away)
Straight Up (SU): 9-5
Against the Spread (ATS): 7-6
WAGER (Totals O/U)
Over-Under: 7-7
NFL SEASON RESULTS
WAGER (Favorites-Underdogs)
Straight Up (SU): 63-44-1
Against the Spread (ATS): 46-61-1
WAGER (Home-Away)
Straight Up (SU): 56-46-1
Against the Spread (ATS): 52-56-1
WAGER (Totals O/U)
Over-Under: 42-65-1
BIGGEST UNDERDOGS TO CASH
Panthers +13.5 (ML +530) 21 vs. Buccaneers 3
Bears +8.5 (ML +315) 33 @ Patriots 14
Commanders +4.5 (ML +165) 23 vs. Packers 21
Seahawks +4.5 (ML +190) 37 @ Chargers 23
Giants +3 (ML +140) 23 @ Jaguars 17
BIGGEST FAVORITES TO CASH
Raiders (-7) 38 vs. Texans 20
Bengals (-6.5) 35 vs. Falcons 17
Cowboys (-6.5) 24 vs. Lions 6
BIGGEST ROAD FAVORITES TO CASH
Jets (-2.5) 16 @ Broncos 9
Chiefs (-1.5) 44 @ 49ers 23
BIGGEST BAD BEAT OF THE WEEK
This wasn't necessarily a textbook bad beat, but it was the best of the lot in Week 7.
If you played the Jacksonville Jaguars on the money line, you likely heard the term "game of inches" ad nauseum, while pounding down Pepto, or whiskey, to wash the bad taste away after this game.
The Jaguars took a 17-13 lead into the fourth quarter, but with 5:31 to go, New York Giants QB Daniel Jones punched one in from 1-yard out to make it 20-17. But that's not the problem.
Giants PK Graham Gano split the uprights for a field goal from 34 yards out with 64 seconds left in regulation to make it 23-17, all but checking off the win for bettors backing Big Blue. But that's not the problem.
QB Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars drove the field, and got into the red zone. With no a precious few seconds left, on the final play of the game, Lawrence hit WR Christian Kirk, who stretched for the goal-line. He was met at the New York 1 by CB Fabian Moreau, before safeties Julian Love and Xavier McKinney joined him for reinforcements, literally bending, but not breaking.
The loss for the Jaguars was to be expected, really, as Jacksonville has now dropped its past 19 against NFC teams. But this one was oh-so-close.
MILE HIGH UNDERS...
BRONCOS UNDER NOW 6-1
The Denver Broncos lost another boring, low-scoring game at home. The New York Jets came to Empower Field at Mile High to face a Broncos team without QB Russell Wilson, who is sitting with a partially-torn latissimus muscle and hamstring injury. QB Brett Rypien was summoned to start, and he wasn't much better - or worse - than Wilson has been. In fact, the Broncos looked essentially the same, posting a sixth UNDER result in seven games overall.
...FREQUENT FLYERS
JETS NOW 4-0 SU/ATS ON ROAD
...and the aforementioned Jets didn't win pretty, but New York moved to 4-0 SU/ATS with the victory over the Broncos. If you're counting at home, the Jets were just 4-20 SU in the previous three seasons away from the Meadowlands, so this is some kind of feat for Gang Green.
The win didn't come without a price, however, and perhaps a very big one. Rookie sensation RB Breece Hall, who had ripped off a 62-yard score midway through the first quarter, was crushed on a helmet-to-helmet hit in the second quarter, and forced off. While most speculated that he had a head injury, focusing on his upper body, no one noticed his knee buckled. He was taken to the medical tent, then carted off, and ruled out quickly. After the game, head coach Robert Saleh was glum, saying the team feared a potential ACL injury. He'll be checked out back in New Jersey on Monday.
MEDIOCRE NORTH
AFC NORTH, NFC SOUTH ARE UGLY
The AFC North and NFC South feature each of their teams at .500 or worse so far through six games. The Panthers, who fired head coach Matt Rhule prior to their game against the Rams in Los Angeles, sit at 1-5, but just two games out of first place. We highlighted the Falcons above, and how they're cover kings. The rest of the division, not so much, as the Buccaneers are 2-4 ATS, the Saints are 2-4 ATS and the Panthers are 1-5 ATS.
The situation is even tighter in the AFC North. The Ravens and Bengals are in first place at 3-3, with Baltimore holding the tiebreaker after a 19-17 win on SNF last week. The Browns and Steelers are in the basement at 2-4 SU, with the Browns holding a tiebreaker after topping the Steelers on TNF a few weeks ago. Cincinnati is the only team with a winning record ATS, going 4-2, while Baltimore and Pittsburgh are 2-3-1 ATS, and Cleveland is 2-4 ATS.
AFC BEAST
JETS WITHIN A HALF-GAME OF BILLS
The Buffalo Bills were on a bye in Week 7, but remain in the first place at 5-1 SU/4-1-1 ATS. The Jets, as mentioned above, won again, moving to within a half-game back of the Bills. The Dolphins took care of business against the Steelers in a SNF game, 16-10, and they're now over .500 at 4-3 SU, but just 3-4 ATS.
Pending the Bears-Patriots result on MNF, the AFC East could have all four teams above .500. Wasn't the AFC West supposed to be the 'Division of Death' this season?
CAT SCRATCH FEVER
PANTHERS CASH AS DOUBLE-DIGIT 'DOG
The Panthers stunned the Buccaneers 21-3 at Bank of America Stadium, and even the most fervent Carolina fan didn't seem this one coming. The team just dealt CMC, it was starting QB P.J. Walker, and the offense was outscored by its own defense last week in a loss at L.A. Rams in Week 6.
However, the Panthers became the largest underdog to win outright this season, and it's even more stunning considering the fact Carolina entered the game just 1-5 ATS. Now, the Panthers and Bucs have identical 2-5 ATS numbers overall.
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