Super Bowl 55 Betting Angles

Feb. 2, 2021

by VI News
VegasInsider.com

Betcha Didn’t Know
Super Bowl 55 Betting Trends & Angles

Super Bowl LV between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be the 55th installment of the NFL’s big game on Sunday Feb. 7, 2021 from Tampa, Florida.

If you’re a bettor that likes to rationalize his position on a particular wager, then look no further.

The VegasInsider.com Editorial and Production staff have uncovered 55 Super Betting Angles with hopes of helping you strengthen your thought process on all of your side, total and prop wagers on the Chiefs and Bucs.

Good Luck and enjoy!

55 Super Betting Angles

1 - There have been eight Super Bowl champions that have repeated but only 1 player to double-up on the Most Valuable Player award, which was Bart Starr of the Green Bay Packers in SBI and SBII. If Kansas City wins and you’re buying this trend, you might want to leave quarterback Patrick Mahomes (the MVP favorite) off your ticket list.

2 - The amount of Super Bowl victories (2) by teams currently in the NFC South (Buccaneers in 2002 and Saints in 2009).

3 - Tampa Bay owns a 14-5 record entering SB55 but three of the losses have come at night and that includes a 0-2 record at Raymond James Stadium.

• Week 9 - Bucs 3 Saints 38
• Week 11 - Bucs 24 Rams 27

4 - The Chiefs are making their fourth Super Bowl appearance. Kansas City rallied past San Francisco last February, 31-20, as the Chiefs are playing in their third different city in the Southeast in the Super Bowl (New Orleans, Miami, Tampa).

5 - This will be the fifth Super Bowl played in the city of Tampa, Florida. The AFC has gone 3-1 in the first four installments for the city that’s also known as “Cigar City”, “The Big Guava” and also “The Lightning Capital of the World.”

6 - We’ve seen six teams cover the spread in a loss as an underdog in Super Bowl history. The last club to cash in a defeat was the Arizona Cardinals in SB XLIII against Pittsburgh in Tampa in a 27-23 setback as seven-point ‘dogs.

7 - The Buccaneers are riding a seven-game winning streak heading into Super Sunday. The last NFC team to own a seven-game hot stretch going into the Super Bowl was the 2000 Giants. They lost in Tampa as three-point underdogs to the Ravens.

8 - There have only been eight back-to-back Super Bowl champions. Kansas City will be looking to become the 9th. The last team to win two straight Super Bowls was New England (2003-04), who were led by quarterback Tom Brady.

9 - The Chiefs have surrendered nine rushing touchdowns since Oct. 25. None of the nine rushing touchdowns allowed by Kansas City has been for over four yards.

10 - This is the 10th Super Bowl appearance for Tom Brady, who is seeking his seventh championship. This marks only the second time the legendary quarterback is listed as an underdog in the Super Bowl with the first coming in his debut in the 2001 upset of the Rams.

11 - Eleven times in Tom Brady’s career he has thrown at least 10 interceptions in a season. In the last six seasons Brady has thrown double-digit picks, his team won the Super Bowl only once, coming back in 2018 when the Patriots held off the Rams.

12 - This is the 12th Super Bowl with a total of 50 or higher. The ‘under’ has gone 8-3 in the first 11 Super Bowls involving a total of 50 or more, including last season’s 31-20 win by the Chiefs over the 49ers.

13 - There have been 13 situations where a head coach was making his debut in the Super Bowl versus a head coach with Super Bowl experience. This situation has happened in each of the last three seasons and only Philadelphia's Doug Pederson bested New England's Bill Belichick in the first-time role. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan both came up short for the Rams and 49ers respectively.

14 - In nine Super Bowl appearances, Tom Brady was installed as an underdog twice. The largest spread came in Super Bowl XXXVI in 2002, when the New England Patriots (+14) upset the St. Louis Rams 20-17. As a 'dog overall in the postseason, Brady has been a very sound investment (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS).

Brady Underdog Playoff History

• 2020 - Bucs (+3.5) 31 at Packers 26, Over 53
• 2020 - Bucs (+3) 30 at Saints 20, Under 53.5
• 2019 - Patriots (+3) 37 at Chiefs 31, Over 56
• 2015 - Patriots (+1) 28 vs. Seahawks 24, Over 47.5 (SB 49)
• 2014 - Patriots (+4.5) 16 at Broncos 26, Under 56.5
• 2007 - Patriots (+3.5) 34 at Colts 38, Over 47
• 2007 - Patriots (+4.5) 24 at Chargers 21, Under 46
• 2006 - Patriots (+3) 13 at Broncos 27, Under 45.5
• 2005 - Patriots (+1) 20 vs. Colts 13, Under 51
• 2002 - Patriots (+14) 20 vs. Rams 17, Under 53
• 2002 - Patriots (+8) 24 at Steelers 17, Over 36 (SB 36)

Buccaneers QB Tom Brady has gone 8-3 both SU and ATS in his career when listed as a playoff underdog. (AP)

15 - In the eight games played by the Bucs from Raymond James Stadium this season, the average margin of victory was 15 points (14.9 PPG) and that included two games decided by exactly three points.

16 - Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes owns a 16-1 record in his last 17 games played away from Arrowhead Stadium dating back to the start of the 2019 season (11-6 ATS).

17 - Kansas City head coach Andy Reid owns a 17-14 career postseason record, 7-5 with the Chiefs and 10-9 during his previous tenure with Philadelphia. More importantly, he’s 6-1 with Mahomes as his QB and the lone loss came in overtime to guess who -- Tom Brady.

18 - Tampa Bay QB Tom Brady has tossed for 18 touchdowns in his nine Super Bowl appearances and he had 2-plus in six of the finales.

Super Bowl 55 - Most Viewed Stories

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• Chiefs vs. Bucs Predictions
• O/U Total Predictions
• Parlay Predictions
• MVP Predictions
• Team-Player Prop Predictions
• Novelty Prop Predictions
• Betting Trends & Angles
• Penalty Prop Analysis
• 55 Super Angles

19 - The Buccaneers are playing in their 19th playoff game in franchise history on Sunday. Tampa Bay owns a 9-9 record in the postseason since entering the league in 1976.

20 - Tampa Bay has covered a +3.5-point spread in four straight games when getting exactly 20 first downs. One of those four games was against New Orleans in the NFC Divisional Round, and the other was on Nov. 29 against the Kansas City Chiefs.

21 - In three Super Bowl losses, Tom Brady-led offensive units were held to 21.3 points per game.

22 - Quarterbacks are getting most of the attention for both teams but the scoring defense for Tampa Bay (22.3) and Kansas City (22.4) shouldn’t be ignored, ranked 9th and 10th respectively.

23 - Tom Brady has been picked off in 23 of his 44 career playoff appearances and that includes picks in five of his nine Super Bowls.

24 - Chiefs quarterbacks have been sacked a total of 24 times this season - Patrick Mahomes (22) and Chad Henne (2) the victims.

25 - In the first 25 Super Bowls, the favorites have gone 17-8 against the spread. In the last 29, the underdogs have produced a 14-12-2 ATS mark. Super Bowl 49 between the Patriots and Seahawks closed at a pick 'em.

26 - According to the Nevada Gaming Commission, sportsbooks have posted a “profit” in 26 of the last 28 Super Bowls. The two matchups they lost on came in 1995 when San Francisco annihilated San Diego and in 2008 when the Giants upset the Patriots.

When it comes to winning money on Super Bowls, no other legal US state can come close to Nevada's track record. (VI)

27 - Bucs QB Tom Brady owns a 7-5 career record versus the Kansas City Chiefs and his offensive units have averaged 27 points per game in those 12 games.

28 - Patrick Mahomes has played against 10 NFC opponents in his young career and he’s led the Chiefs to a 8-2 record while tossing an eye-opening 28 touchdowns to four interceptions. FYI - Mahomes and KC are 4-0 against the NFC South.

29 - Mahomes had never completed at least 29 passes in a playoff game until reaching that number in this year’s AFC Championship victory over the Bills. In last season’s Super Bowl win over the 49ers, Mahomes connected on 26 passes on 42 attempts, which is a career-high in his short postseason career.

30 - Quarterbacks have won the Super Bowl MVP 30 times in history. To no one surprise, both Mahomes and Brady are the favorites to capture this prestigious honor. Mahomes hoisted the MVP trophy last February and Brady is the only four-time winner in this category.

31 - Tampa Bay has scored exactly 31 points in three of its last six games, winners in all six games.

32 - Tampa Bay has seen opponents score 32 red zone touchdowns (62.7%), which is ranked 19th. Kansas City owns the worst red zone scoring percentage in the league (74%).

33 - Tom Brady has compiled a 33-11 playoff record in his career with the Patriots and Buccaneers, including a 6-3 mark in the Super Bowl.

34 - Since 1979, there have been 34 teams that were not top seeds in their conference that made the Super Bowl. The 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ squad that beat the Raiders was one of those clubs, as Jon Gruden’s team finished at 12-4 and the second seed behind Philadelphia, who they demolished in the NFC Championship.

35 - When playing with rest, the Chiefs are averaging 35.7 PPG with Mahomes under center and Andy Reid on the sidelines.

36 - Tom Brady captured his first Super Bowl MVP in SBXXXVI (36), the first of four. He’s one of five players with multiple SB MVPs, all quarterbacks, and he’ll go to 5 and move two ahead of Joe Montana (3) in the record books.

37 - The most completions Mahomes had in a game this season came in the Week 12 win at Tampa Bay. Mahomes attempted a season-high 49 passes and connected on 37 of them, marking one of five games this season in which he completed at least 75% of his throws.

38 - Patrick Mahomes has lost four games outside of Kansas City in his career and it wasn’t for his offensive heroics as the Chiefs averaged 38.5 PPG in the defeats.

• 2019 - Chiefs 32 at Titans 35
• 2018 - Chiefs 31 at Seahawks 38
• 2018 - Chiefs 51 at Rams 54
• 2018 - Chiefs 40 at Patriots 43

39 - In Super Bowl 39 (XXXIX), New England defeated Philadelphia 24-21 but failed to cover as a seven-point favorite. This was one of two games where the underdog, in this case the Eagles, scored late to affect the point-spread. The other backdoor cover came in SBXIII when Pittsburgh defeated Dallas 35-31. The Cowboys trailed 35-17 and scored 14 points in the final three minutes.

40 - In nine of his 53 career starts, Mahomes has helped the Chiefs score 40-plus points. Surprisingly, KC lost two of those shootouts (See 38).

41 - Six times in Super Bowl history a team has scored at least 41 points. The Eagles pulled off this feat recently in a 41-33 victory over the Patriots. It was the first time in Super Bowl history that a team scored at least 41 points and didn't win by double-digits.

42 - Tampa Bay has scored 42 red zone touchdowns this season (68.9%), which was ranked fifth in the NFL.

43 - The most passes Tom Brady has completed in the postseason was 43, which came in New England’s 34-28 overtime win in Super Bowl 51 against Atlanta.

44 - Tom Brady has played in his 44 career playoff games, compiling an insane 33-11 (.750) record. However, Brady has never won four playoff games in a single postseason in his career.

45 - The largest margin of victory in a Super Bowl was 45 points, which came in 1990 when the San Francisco 49ers blasted the Denver Broncos 55-10 in SBXXIV.

46 - In their first and only Super Bowl appearance, the Buccaneers outscored the Raiders 28-18 in the second-half of SB37. The combined 46 points were the most scored in a second-half of a finale.

47 - Buccaneers’ coach Bruce Arians has lost 47 regular season games in his career. The 47 losses were fewer than the likes of veteran coaches Bill Belichick (55) and Pete Carroll (54). We mention those two future Hall of Famers because they both won their first Super Bowl appearance with teams they did not start their NFL coaching career with - Belichick (Browns) and Carroll (Jets).

48 - Tampa Bay has only had one Super Bowl appearance (37) in franchise history and the team exploded for a 48-21 win over Oakland in 2003.

49 - From 2011 through 2019, the Buccaneers won only 49 games, compared to 95 losses. Tampa Bay didn’t make the playoffs during that nine-year stretch, as Arizona in 2008 was the last NFC team to qualify for the Super Bowl following a nine-year span of no playoff appearances.

50 - Kansas City and Tampa Bay combined for five pass plays of at least 50 yards this season. Chiefs’ wide receiver Tyreek Hill is responsible for three big plays, including a 75-yard touchdown against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay’s longest pass plays came courtesy of wideout Chris Godwin (52 yards) at Green Bay in the NFC title game and Mike Evans (50 yards) against Carolina in Week 2.

51 - The Chiefs (27) and Buccaneers (24) combined for 51 points in their regular season encounter on Nov. 29, 2020, which led to a winning ‘under’ (56) ticket.

52 - The combined average for total points in a game for both teams this season was 52.5. Games played inside Raymond James Stadium see an average of 52.4 points per game.

53 - When player props were released, both punters were listed with their longest gross punt at 53 ½ yards. Kansas City’s Tommy Townsend booted 14 of 52 punts this season of 54 yards of more. Tampa Bay’s Bradley Pinion posted only 10 punts of more than 54 yards in 64 tries.

54 - While some conferences like to have bragging rights, that's not the case in the Super Bowl. Through 54 NFL finales, the AFC and NFC have posted a 27-27 stalemate against one another.

55 - This is the fifth Super Bowl with a total of 55 or higher. The ‘under’ has cashed in three of the first four instances, with the lone ‘over’ hitting in Super Bowl LI between the Patriots and Falcons, which needed overtime to cash.

Total bettors who played the OVER in Super Bowl LI are still celebrating their improbable victory. (AP)

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