Super Bowl 55 – Player & Team Props Predictions

Feb. 5, 2021

by Michael Crosson
NFL Expert
VegasInsider.com

Super Bowl 55 Prop Predictions

Novelty Props Best Bets | Super Bowl 55 Prop Sheets

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will square off this Sunday in Super Bowl 55.

While most bettors place wagers against the spread and on the total, I have elected to give away my best prop bets ahead of the big game as an attempt to help readers cash winning tickets or inspire them to find their own winning prop plays.

My prop selections for Super Bowl Sunday can be found below.

Good luck!

Odds and Props per DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM (Subject to Change)

Super Bowl 55 Player Prop Best Bets

Player To Have Most Receiving Yards – Tyreek Hill (+190)

Tyreek Hill (+190) and Travis Kelce (+175) are the clear-cut favorites to lead Sunday’s contest in receiving, and rightfully so – with Kelce catching 21 passes for 227 yards and Hill grabbing 17 passes for 282 yards across the Chief’s first two playoff games.

In Kansas City’s first matchup with Tampa Bay this season, the Bucs had absolutely no answer for Tyreek defensively – allowing him to go off for 269 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns on 13 receptions in the Chiefs victory.

Hill has managed to edge Kelce by a few yards in both of Kansas City’s post-season contests thus far. I’ll go ahead and back Hill to lead a third straight playoff matchup in receiving against an opponent he feasted upon during the regular season.

Tom Brady – Over 300.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Tom Brady may have failed to eclipse 295 passing yards in each of his last three playoff appearances, along with a 262-yard, 0 touchdown performance in his most recent Super Bowl matchup against the Rams (W, 13-3).

But prior to that, Brady had thrown for 300 or more yards in three consecutive SB appearances – with the lowest total across that span being his 328-yard, 4-touchdown performance against Seattle (W, 28-24).

Tom tends to provide whatever is deemed necessary to keep his team competitive in big games, which is what he did against Kansas City during their regular season matchup – throwing for 345 yards and 3 TD’s in a 3-point Bucs’ loss.

I’m not sure if Tampa Bay’s defense will play well enough for the Buccaneers to knock off the Chiefs on Super Bowl Sunday, but I feel safe backing Brady to play great, regardless of the outcome.

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Darrel Williams – Over 45.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (+110)

In the Chief’s first postseason matchup with the Rams, Darrel Williams and Clyde Edwards-Helaire had a relatively even split of the touches out of Kansas City’s backfield – with Williams racking up 94 yards on 17 touches compared to Helaire’s 83 yards on 14 touches.

But in the Chief’s most recent victory over Buffalo, it was Williams completely dominating the workload, rushing 13 times for 52 yards compared to the rookie’s 6 attempts for just 7 yards.

I’ll back Williams to make it a third consecutive game with 45 or more total yards on Super Bowl Sunday, as I believe the path to a Chiefs victory must contain some type of relevant ground-game this time around.

Devin White – Over 10.5 Total Tackles (+115)

Devin White has quickly become an undeniable force in the NFL since being drafted by the Buccaneers with the fifth overall pick in 2019 – ranking sixth in the league in total tackles (140) and second on Tampa Bay’s defense in total sacks (9).

In the Bucs’ most recent matchup with the Packers, White put on his best performance of the year – tying his career high in tackles (15) and recovering a fumble in Tampa Bay’s 31-26 victory.

He has now recorded 10 or more tackles in five of his last six games, with his lowest output across that stretch being his nine-tackle performance against Minnesota.

White managed to pick up 12 tackles in his matchup with Kansas City earlier this year, and I’ll back him to achieve a similar total at plus odds during this year’s Super Bowl.

Super Bowl 55 Team Prop Best Bets

Total Punts by Tampa Bay – Over 3.5 (-106)

The Buccaneers only had to punt the ball twice in their most recent victory over the Packers in the NFC Championship Game but prior to that, they punted the ball a combined seven times in their first two post-season wins over the Football Team and the Saints.

Kansas City tends to generate extra possessions for opposing teams due to the rapid pace at which they score points, and I believe we are finally in a situation where Tampa Bay will inevitably trail at some point, forcing Tampa to take more chances down field.

I’ll back the Chiefs defense to force at least four Buccaneers’ punts this Sunday.

Total Tampa Bay Players To Make A Reception – Under 7.5 (+133)

Since joining the Buccaneers this past offseason, Brady has managed to complete passes to 15 different Tampa Bay players – with only four of those targets having fewer than 10 grabs on the year.

Following the start of the playoffs though, it appears Brady has narrowed his focus primarily down to his two favorite targets – with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin racking up 49 combined targets in Tampa Bay’s three playoff matchups.

Brady completed passes to six different receivers against Washington and seven against the Packers. The only time during this postseason that he managed to complete passes to eight different targets was during a matchup with the Saints in which five different Tampa Bay receivers tallied just one reception.

I’ll back the ‘under’ at plus odds here.

Super Bowl 55 First Touchdown Scorer Best Bets

Travis Kelce (+650)

Patrick Mahomes has showcased the plethora of offensive weaponry at his disposal while orchestrating Kansas City’s passing attack throughout the course of this season, but Kelce has still undeniably been his most reliable target – pacing the Chiefs’ pass-catchers with 105 receptions for 1,416 yards and 11 touchdowns on the year.

His “Anytime TD” line currently sits at -175 due to him scoring touchdowns in six of his last seven games, which includes three total TD’s during Kansas City’s two playoff matchups.

The “Anytime TD” line is a little too rich for me, but Kelce punching in the first touchdown of the game at +650 odds feels like something all bettors should take a flier on. I’ll back Kelce to be the first touchdown scorer in Super Bowl 55.

Leonard Fournette (+1050)

Leonard Fournette made his first official start at running back for the Buccaneers during Week 15 of this year’s regular season and hasn’t looked back since – punching in six touchdowns across his last six contests, while averaging 20.7 touches and 104.3 scrimmage yards per game during Tampa Bay’s three postseason matchups.

An anytime TD from Fournette pays +125 this Sunday, which is just a small fraction of the payout you would receive for cashing this first touchdown prop.

I expect the Buccaneers to come out and try to establish the run-game early in this contest and if they happen to find some success, Fournette could help some folks hit big with an early touchdown on Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl 55 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Best Bets

Antonio Brown (+225)

Antonio Brown was awfully quiet during Tampa Bay’s NFC Championship win over the Packers – tallying just one reception on three targets for 10 yards in the Bucs’ 30-20 victory.

Prior to that though, Brown caught touchdowns in four consecutive games and had been targeted at least seven times in three of his last four matchups.

Tampa Bay will likely need more than four touchdowns if they intend on keeping up with the Chief’s offensive firepower this Sunday.

I’ll back AB to find the endzone at +225 odds during Super Bowl 55.

Chris Godwin (+150)

Chris Godwin came into Tampa Bay’s divisional round matchup against the Saints riding high – having received seven or more targets in three consecutive games for the first time this season, while catching five touchdown passes across his last four matchups.

He was awfully quiet against New Orleans though, catching just four passes for 34 yards as the Bucs’ rumbled for 127 yards on the ground in Tampa’s 10-point victory.

Fortunately for the Buccaneers, Godwin bounced back emphatically against the Packers – pacing Tampa Bay in both targets and receptions with five catches for 110 yards, despite not being able to find the endzone in the contest. It has been too long since we have seen Godwin paydirt.

I’ll back him to get in the endzone this time around, after catching eight passes for 97 yards without a score in his previous matchup with the Chiefs.

Odds and Props per DraftKings, FanDuel and BetMGM (Subject to Change)