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Texans vs Ravens Prediction, Picks, Odds | NFL Divisional Playoff Game

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
Texans vs Ravens Prediction, Picks, Odds | NFL Divisional Playoff Game

Here's everything you need to know about the Texans vs Ravens Picks, Predictions, and Odds for this NFL Divisional Round Game.

The second round of the NFL Playoffs kicks things off Saturday mid-afternoon with a long-awaited AFC rematch between the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens. Coverage begins from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore at 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Texans vs Ravens Betting Prediction & Odds for NFL Divisional Playoff Game

Matchup Spread Total Moneyline
Ravens vs
Texans 		-9.5 (-118)
+9.5 (-104) 		o44.5 (-105)
u44.5 (-115) 		-490
+380

The first matchup of the season between these teams took place all the way back in Week 1 – and both offensive units struggled to get the wheels spinning in the first half, as the Ravens went to the halftime break clinging onto a 7-6 lead in the very first start of CJ Stroud’s career, before eventually managing to pull away with a 25-9 victory down the stretch over this young Texans team.

As we’ve all come to learn, however, a lot can change over the course of an NFL season – and by football measures, that Week 1 matchup between Baltimore and Houston happened a very long time ago. At this point, the Texans have evolved into a far more complete product than they were in their season-opener.

The Texans stumbled out to a 2-3 skid in their first five contests. However, ever since their bumpy start, the Texans are 8-3 in their last 11 games started by Stroud – while averaging over 24 PPG and holding 8 of their 11 opponents to less than 20 points across their latest stretch.

That said, the spread for this week’s playoff rematch doesn’t seem to indicate much change in the balance of power between these two teams. According to VegasInsider’s Patrick Everson, the SuperBook opened the line for this contest at Ravens -9.5 and still sits in that range at most shops early in the week – which is the same exact number Baltimore closed at ahead of the Week 1 matchup between these teams (BAL -9.5).

With that in mind, I believe Baltimore is laying way too many points in this spot. The Ravens have asserted their dominance time after time throughout this season – and make no mistake about it, the correct team is favored in this matchup. 

That said, this certainly isn’t the first time Lamar Jackson and this Ravens team have entered the playoffs with sky high expectations – and what does history tell us? The Ravens are 1-3 in their four playoff matchups with Lamar at QB – and Lamar has been pretty terrible in those games, completing just 56% of his pass attempts for 225 yards per game to go along with three passing TDs, five INTs, and zero rushing TDs.

Given the historical data, the Ravens simply shouldn’t be trusted in this spot, especially laying such a large number. While on the other side of that same coin, the oddsmakers aren’t giving the Texans nearly enough credit for the impressive brand of football they’ve played during the back half of the season – as well as the opening round of the playoffs. I’m taking the points with Houston.

Score Prediction: Ravens 26, Texans 23
Best Bet: Texans +9.5 (-110)

HOU @ BAL Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +6.5 +105 +6.5 even +6.5 -110 +6.5 +110 +4.5 +105 +6.5 -106 +5.5 -105 +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -6.5 -125 -6.5 -120 -6.5 -110 -6.5 -130 -4.5 -125 -6.5 -122 -5.5 -125 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o21.5 -115 N/A o22.5 -108 o21.5 -110 o22.5 -110 o23.5 +102 o22.5 -110 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u21.5 -105 N/A u22.5 -112 u21.5 -110 u22.5 -110 u23.5 -127 u22.5 -110 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +270 +260 +245 +250 +198 +250 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -340 -350 -305 -320 -250 -335 N/A -490  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +4.5 -115 N/A N/A +3.5 -120 +5.5 -100 +4.5 -122 +5.5 -115 +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -4.5 -105 N/A N/A -3.5 even -5.5 -120 -4.5 -103 -5.5 -115 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o22.5 -110 N/A N/A o21.5 -105 o21.5 -105 o20.5 -114 o22.5 -115 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u22.5 -110 N/A N/A u21.5 -115 u21.5 -115 u20.5 -109 u22.5 -115 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +200 N/A N/A N/A +250 +195 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -245 N/A N/A N/A -310 -250 N/A -490  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +2.5 even +3 -110 +3.5 -130 +3 -110 +1.5 -116 +2.5 +116 +2.5 -110 +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -3 -120 -3.5 +110 -3 -110 -1.5 -106 -2.5 -143 -2.5 -120 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o9.5 even N/A o7.5 -115 o7.5 -110 o7.5 -104 o7.5 -114 o9.5 -110 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u9.5 -120 N/A u7.5 -105 u7.5 -110 u7.5 -118 u7.5 -108 u9.5 -110 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +220 +200 +200 +205 +152 +215 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -270 -275 -245 -250 -188 -278 N/A -490  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +3 even N/A +2.5 -105 N/A +3.5 -110 +2.5 +114 +3.5 -110 +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -3 -120 N/A -2.5 -125 N/A -3.5 -110 -2.5 -141 -3.5 -120 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o13.5 -115 N/A o17.5 even N/A o13.5 -124 o13.5 -114 o13.5 +105 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u13.5 -105 N/A u17.5 -130 N/A u13.5 -108 u13.5 -109 u13.5 -135 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +190 N/A +215 N/A +186 +175 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -230 N/A -265 N/A -235 -230 N/A -490  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +2.5 -105 N/A +2.5 -110 N/A +3.5 -124 +1.5 -112 +1.5 -120 +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -2.5 -115 N/A -2.5 -110 N/A -3.5 +102 -1.5 -112 -1.5 -110 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o9.5 -115 N/A o8.5 -115 N/A o10.5 +116 o8.5 -112 o9.5 -135 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u9.5 -105 N/A u8.5 -105 N/A u10.5 -154 u8.5 -112 u9.5 +105 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +160 N/A +164 N/A +198 +160 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -190 N/A -198 N/A -250 -200 N/A -490  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+8.5 -110 +2.5 -110 N/A +1.5 -108 N/A +2.5 -106 +2.5 -107 +2.5 even +9.5 -104  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-8.5 -110 -2.5 -110 N/A -1.5 -112 N/A -2.5 -116 -2.5 -117 -2.5 -130 -9.5 -118  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
o45.5 -115 o12.5 -115 N/A o12.5 -118 N/A o12.5 -110 o11.5 -113 o12.5 -115 o44.5 -105  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
u45.5 -105 u12.5 -105 N/A u12.5 -102 N/A u12.5 -110 u11.5 -110 u12.5 -115 u44.5 -115  
Final
Houston Texans 301 Texans
+295 +155 N/A +145 N/A +158 +155 N/A +380  
Baltimore Ravens 302 Ravens
-370 -185 N/A -175 N/A -196 -200 N/A -490  

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Texans vs Ravens Betting Resources

Date: Saturday, January 20
Matchup: AFC South vs AFC North
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Location: Baltimore, Maryland
Time-TV: ESPN, 4:30 p.m. ET

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full NFL Odds Divisional Playoff Round Report containing spreads, lines, and trends for every NFL matchup.

Use our BetMGM bonus code before making your Texans vs Ravens pick to get bonus bets!

Houston Texans Betting Analysis

The Texans were listed as 2.5-point home underdogs against Cleveland in the Wild Card Round – and hand up, I bet on the Browns. Personally, I believed that Houston’s inexperience would play a big role against Jim Schwartz and the Browns elite defense, especially in their second matchup against each other.

However, to my surprise, the Texans were actually the team that learned more from the first matchup between these teams – and Stroud picked apart one of the best defenses in the league with ease in his postseason debut as he completed 16-of-21 pass attempts for 274 yards to go along with three TDs and zero INTs in a blowout win over Cleveland.

Look, you win some and you lose some. This is a tough business. But part of becoming a good analyst is having the ability to admit when you were wrong – and I was very wrong about Houston last week. I’m done doubting Stroud and this Texans team. This isn’t your typical rookie QB-head coach combo.

Check out our Super Bowl odds for a preview of the teams likely to be in the big game.

Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis

There’s no denying the fact that the Ravens have been the best team in the NFL this season, and Lamar Jackson very much deserves his second MVP award. However, in theory, if the Ravens lose this game and Lamar goes on to win MVP, that would give Lamar more MVP trophies than playoff wins – which would quite the narrative to wrestle with all offseason.

The stakes are very high for the Ravens in this contest – and if Houston manages to build a little bit of momentum early, Lamar will start to feel the pressure. I’m not quite sure if the Texans have what it takes to go to Baltimore and escape with a win in this game, but I certainly don’t trust the Ravens to run away with a double-digit win like they did in Week 1.

Texans vs Ravens Betting Trends

  • The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The Ravens are 6-1 SU in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games.
  • The Texans are 4-1 SU in their last five games.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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