Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Toronto Maple Leafs (41-19-5) will meet the Boston Bruins (41-19-5) at TD Garden in Boston on Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN+.

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Score Prediction

Bruins 4, Maple Leafs 2

Best Bet

Bruins -128
Bruins -1.5 (+180)
Under 6.5 (-120)

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS vs. BOSTON BRUINS PREDICTIONS

The Maple Leafs and Bruins head into this Atlantic Division showdown with exactly 87 points each through 65 games played, while sitting one point behind the second-place Tampa Bay Lightning. The teams will not only be focused on each other, but they'll be watching the scoreboard, as Tampa Bay is hosting the Carolina Hurricanes at Amalie Arena in an important game, too.

First things, first, though. The Leafs are coming off an impressive and dominant 5-2 victory over the first-place Florida Panthers on Sunday. It was a stark contrast to Saturday's 4-2 loss at Montreal against the last-place and playoff-eliminated Canadiens. The Leafs have won four in a row at home, but they have dropped three in a row away from Scotiabank Arena.

The Bruins doubled up the New York Islanders at home Saturday, picking up their fourth consecutive victory. The B's have outscored the opposition 16-9 during the run, scoring two or more goals in 17 consecutive games.

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TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS vs. BOSTON BRUINS BETTING ODDS

Maple Leafs +112
Bruins -128
Maple Leafs +1.5 (-213)
Bruins -1.5 (+180)
Over 6 (-120)
Under 6.5 (-120)

More Odds | Futures Odds

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS vs. BOSTON BRUINS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Tuesday, March 29, 2022
• Matchup: Atlantic vs. Atlantic
• Venue: TD Garden
• Location: Boston, Mass.
• TV-Time: ESPN+, 7:00 p.m. ET

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 41-19-5
• ATS: 27-38
• O/U: 35-27-3

The Leafs have dropped the past three games on the road, including setbacks against the lowly Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres. That's simply not going to fly. The Leafs haven't won away from home since a wild 5-4 win against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

This is the first meeting since Nov. 6 at Scotiabank Arena when the Leafs topped the Bruins by a 5-2 sacore as the OVER cashed behind Jack Campbell. It's the second meeting of the season, with the teams expected to meet in the regular-season finale April 29 in Toronto, too.

The Leafs are 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning overall record, while going 21-8 in the past 29 against Eastern Conference teams. The Leafs are also 13-6 in the past 19 games inside the division, too. However, Toronto has lost four of the past five as an underdog, and four straight as a road 'dog.

For totals, the UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six games, and 3-1-2 in the past six against winning teams. The OVER is 19-7-1 in the past 27 on the road, however, and 7-3-1 in the past 11 inside the division.

BOSTON BRUINS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 41-19-5
• ATS: 25-40
• O/U: 30-30-5

The Bruins have picked up victories in nine of the past 12 meetings with the Leafs at TD Garden, as the B's just have the number of the Leafs. The home team and the favorite has cashed in four of the past five in this series, too, while the UNDER is 4-1 in the past five in Boston.

Boston is red-hot, winning 14 of the past 17 games overall to scream up the standings in the Atlantic Division. The B's are 13-3 in the past 16 inside the division, too, while going 4-0 in the past four home games and 5-0 in the past five inside the Eastern Conference.

In terms of totals, the UNDER is 4-1-2 in the past seven games overall, while going 4-0-1 in the past five inside the division. The UNDER is also 5-2-1 in the past eight games inside the Eastern Conference.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS vs. BOSTON BRUINS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Leafs have had some nice success lately, and the win over the Panthers was definitely impressive. It shows what is possible when Toronto is locked in. And when it is locked in at home. Going on the road lately has been a totally different story, as losses to the dregs of the Eastern Conference, the Sabres and Canadiens, is completely unacceptable for a team with great expectations.

The Bruins looked like they might be in a bit of a transitional period around the holidays, but Boston is playing good hockey again, and look to be showing that championship form again. The addition of Hampus Lindholm from the Anaheim Ducks at the NHL trade deadline was a huge boon to the blueline, and he also adds some size and sandpaper, too. In fact, the B's beat out the Leafs, who were also bidders for his services. The Bruins have dominated the Leafs in recent seasons, and especially in the postseason, and until Toronto shows it can win in Boston, keep backing the B's.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS vs. BOSTON BRUINS BETTING TRENDS

• Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams.
• Maple Leafs are 21-8 in the past 29 vs. Eastern Conference teams.
• Maple Leafs are 13-6 in the past 19 vs. Atlantic Division teams.
• Maple Leafs are 1-4 in the past five as an underdog.
• Maple Leafs are 0-4 in the past five as a road 'dog.
• Bruins are 14-3 in the past 17 games overall.
• Bruins are 4-0 in the past four home games.
• Bruins are 5-0 in the past five vs. Eastern Conference teams.
• The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Maple Leafs.
• The UNDER is 3-1-2 in the past six vs. winning teams for the Maple Leafs.
• The OVER is 7-3-1 in the past 11 vs. Atlantic Division teams for the Leafs.
• The UNDER is 4-1-2 in the past seven games for the Bruins.
• The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the past five vs. Atlantic Division teams for the B's.
• The Bruins are 9-3 in the past 12 at home vs. the Leafs.
• The favorite is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
• The home team is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
• The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Boston.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish