Minnesota Wild vs. St. Louis Blues Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

11 minute read

The Minnesota Wild and the St. Louis Blues shift their best-of-seven Western Conference Quarterfinals Series to Enterprise Center in St. Louis on Thursday for Game 6. The Blues lead the series 3-2. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on TNT.

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Score Prediction

Blues 3, Wild 2

Best Bet

Blues -105
Under 6.5 (+105)

MINNESOTA WILD vs. ST. LOUIS BLUES PREDICTIONS

The last time the Wild visited St. Louis, they came to town and won Game 3 by a 5-1 score before falling in Game 4 by a 5-2 count. They headed home with home-ice advantage, but coughed it up in a disappointing 5-2 setback at XCel Energy Center in Game 5. Now, the Wild are staring elimination in the face, and have to grab one more road victory to keep things alive and force a decisive Game 7.

Blues head coach Craig Berube turned to Jordan Binnington after a second consecutive loss in Game 3 by Ville Husso, and the move has looked genius. That's two consecutive wins for the 2019 Stanley Cup winning tendy, and he'll be back in there for Game 6 for sure, as he looks to help push the Wild out the door. As long as the Blues can remain disciplined and avoid seeing the Wild power-play attack, led by Kirill Kaprizov, he should be able to do just that.

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MINNESOTA WILD vs. ST. LOUIS BLUES BETTING ODDS

Wild -114
Blues -105
Wild +1.5 (-263)
Blues -1.5 (+210)
Over 6.5 (-125)
Under 6.5 (+105)

More Odds | Stanley Cup Odds

MINNESOTA WILD vs. ST. LOUIS BLUES BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Thursday, May 12, 2022
• Matchup: Central vs. Central
• Venue: Enterprise Center
• Location: St. Louis, Mo.
• TV-Time: TNT, 9:30 p.m. ET

MINNESOTA WILD BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 55-25-7
• ATS: 42-45
• O/U: 49-35-3

The Wild were humming along nicely, leading this series 2-1 after a rare win in St. Louis in Game 3, and the Wild had outscored the Blues 11-3 in the two victories in Games 2 and 3. Since, St. Louis has turned the tables. Minnesota has been outscored 10-4 in the previous two games, and Kaprizov has accounted for three of the team's four goals during the span, and seven of the team's 15 goals in the series. Somebody else is going to have to step up and assist the budding superstar, or Minnesota will find itself golfing by the weekend.

The good news for the Wild is that they're 5-2 in the past seven as an underdog, while winning 21 of the previous 29 games overall. They're also 9-4 in the past 13 when working on a day of rest, and the underdog is 4-1 in the past five in this series. However, Minnesota has won just once in the past nine trips to Enterprise Center, and they're 5-16 in the past 21 meetings overall in this series.

For totals, the OVER is 10-1-1 in the past 12 following a loss by three or more goals. However, the UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight as an underdog for Minnesota, while going 7-3 in the past 10 playoff games as a 'dog, too.

ST. LOUIS BLUES BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 52-24-11
• ATS: 50-37
• O/U: 46-36-5

Turning to Jordan 'Winnington' has changed the fortunes of the Blues in the past two games. He has picked up a pair of victories while allowing just two goals in each game, and now he has helped push the Wild to the brink.

Overall, the Blues have won 15 of the past 20 games overall, while cashing in seven of the past 10 games at home. They're also 20-9 in the previous 29 as a home favorite, while going 14-5 in the past 19 games against Central Division foes.

While the total trends all suggest another OVER, you have to take into account that this is Game 6, and the intensity will be at an all-time high. The goal scoring should be at a premium, and we shouldn't see as many high-danger scoring chances and wide-open style with season's on the line.

MINNESOTA WILD vs. ST. LOUIS BLUES CONCLUSION

The OVER has cashed in each of the past two games, but just barely. The OVER has a 3-2 edge so far, but we're likely to see both of these teams take far fewer chances. St. Louis won't want to create a situation where Minnesota gets an odd-man rush the other way, giving them confidence in an elimination game. And Minnesota won't want to do anything foolish which will result in a St. Louis goal, making their chances of staying alive that much more difficult. Minnesota's Kaprizov has seven of the team's 15 goals, with Joel Eriksson Ek accounting for three others. No other player has more than one, which is a depth issue for the Wild.

Look for a tight checking game with plenty of hard hits, post-whistle scrums and scoring that is fewer and far between. You have to like the dominance of the Blues, not just in the past two games, but the overall trend, too. Look for St. Louis to eliminate Minnesota on home ice in Game 6, with the UNDER coming through.

MINNESOTA WILD vs. ST. LOUIS BLUES BETTING TRENDS

• Wild are 21-8 in the past 29 games overall.
• Wild are 5-2 in the past seven as an underdog.
• Wild are 4-12 in the past 16 Western QF games.
• Wild are 13-28 in the past 41 playoff games as a 'dog.
• Blues are 15-5 in the past 20 games overall.
• Blues are 7-3 in the past 10 home games.
• Blues are 9-3 in the past 12 as a favorite.
• Blues are 20-9 in the past 29 as a home favorite.
• UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight as a 'dog for the Wild.
• UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 playoff games as a 'dog for the Wild.
• OVER is 22-8-1 in the past 31 games overall for the Blues.
• OVER is 6-2 in the past seven home games for the Blues.
• OVER is 5-2 in the past seven Western QF games for the Blues.
• Wild are 5-16 in the past 21 meetings with the Blues.
• Wild are 1-8 in the past nine trips to St. Louis.
• OVER is 7-2 in the past nine meetings.
• OVER is 4-1 in the past five meetings in St. Louis.

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Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish