Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

10 minute read

The Los Angeles Kings and the Edmonton Oilers meet at the Rogers Place at Edmonton, Alta. on Saturday night for Game 7 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals, a best-of-seven series. Puck drop is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

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Score Prediction

Oilers 3, Kings 2

Best Bet

Kings +1.5 (-139)
Under 6.5 (-114)

LOS ANGELES KINGS vs. EDMONTON OILERS PREDICTIONS

This series saw some blowouts during the early going, as Games 2 through 4 were decided by four or more goals. However, Game 5 ended up going to overtime, with Adrian Kempe helping the Los Angeles Kings to a 3-2 series lead, pushing the Edmonton Oilers to the brink. The Oilers returned the favor on road ice, doubling up the Kings 4-2 at Crypto.com Arena to force the series back to Edmonton for a decisive Game 7.

The Kings haven't appeared in a Game 7 since the 2014 playoffs, when they won three different series in seven games against the San Jose Sharks, Anaheim Ducks and Chicago Blackhawks en route to their second-ever championship. Prior to that, the Kings topped the Sharks in seven games in the 2013 playoffs. That's four straight victories in a Game 7 matchup dating back to 2001 and 2002, back-to-back Game 7 losses to the Colorado Avalanche.

The last time the Oilers appeared in a Game 7 was 2017, losing in the second round to the Ducks. Prior to that, the Oilers were dumped in seven games for all the marbles in the Stanley Cup Finals against the Hurricanes in 2006. The last victory for the Oilers in seven games was 1998 against the Colorado Avalanche. The Oilers are 6-4 all-time in Game 7 matchups, including a loss to the Kings in the Smythe Division Semifinals in 1989.

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LOS ANGELES KINGS vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING ODDS

Kings +180
Oilers -204
Kings +1.5 (-139)
Oilers -1.5 (+120)
Over 6.5 (+102)
Under 6.5 (-114)

More Odds | Stanley Cup Odds

LOS ANGELES KINGS vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Date: Saturday, May 14, 2022
• Matchup: Pacific vs. Pacific
• Venue: Rogers Place
• Location: Edmonton, Alberta
• TV-Time: ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET

LOS ANGELES KINGS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 47-30-11
• ATS: 53-34
• O/U: 38-47-3

The Kings pulled off the 5-4 win in overtime at Rogers Place in Edmonton for Game 5, and it appeared they were primed and ready to oust the Oilers with a home game in Los Angeles. But it wasn't meant to be. The Kings did fight back from a 2-0 deficit to knot it up 2-2 early in the third, courtesy of a power-play goal by Sean Durzi, and an even-strength goal by Carl Grundstrom, but the Oilers scored with 5:10 left in regulation to win it, while Evander Kane added an empty-net goal.

Kempe, who had the game-winning tally in OT in Game 5, leads the team with six points during the postseason, while Phillip Danault and Grundstrom lead the team with three playoff goals apiece. Anze Kopitar has a goal and four points, but his biggest contributions are in the faceoff circle, winning 53.38% of his attempts.

EDMONTON OILERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 52-29-7
• ATS: 42-46
• O/U: 45-40-3

The Oilers looked to be in dire straits after blowing Games 4 and 5, but they bounced back with a character win in Game 6 to force the series back to Alberta.

As one might expect, Connor McDavid leads the team in the postseason with 12 points, including nine helpers, while Kane has potted seven goals with nine points, a plus-5 rating and 16 PIM with 29 SOG to more than earn his keep. Leon Draisaitl, reunited with McDavid recently, has five goals with eight points. It might be a bit surprising, but Evan Bouchard and Cody Ceci each have five assists, tied for second-most behind McDavid.

Darnell Nurse was suspended for Game 6 due to a head-butt against the Kings in Game 5. He is back to buoy the blue line and add a little sandpaper in the decisive Game 7.

It's all about the OVER for the Oilers lately, going 16-5 in the past 21 games at home, while going a sparkling 15-3 in the past 18 games as a home favorite, and 5-2 in the past seven playoff games when favored.

LOS ANGELES KINGS vs. EDMONTON OILERS CONCLUSION

The Oilers are on home ice for this decisive Game 7, but that's not necessarily a good thing in this series. The home teams are just 2-4 in this series, with both teams winning twice in three road outings so far.

But just using common sense, any team with McDavid and Draisaitl on the roster, especially on home ice, is the slam-dunk play. However, betting the Oilers straight up will cost more than two times your potential return, and that's not optimal. The Kings have been scrappy for the entire series, and a close game wouldn't be shocking. Taking the visitors plus a goal and a half on the puck line is worth playing lightly. And we should see a lot more defense, so play the UNDER.

LOS ANGELES KINGS vs. EDMONTON OILERS BETTING TRENDS

• Kings are 8-3 in the past 11 games overall.
• Kings are 3-8 in the past 11 games as an underdog.
• Kings are 3-9 in the past 12 Western QF games.
• Oilers are 16-6 in the past 22 games overall.
• Oilers are 19-7 in the past 26 home games.
• Oilers are 3-9 in the past 12 playoff games as a fave.
• Oilers are 43-20 in the past 63 games as a favorite.
• UNDER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 playoff games as a 'dog for the Kings.
• OVER is 16-5 in the past 21 home games for the Oilers.
• OVER is 18-7 in the past 25 as a favorite for the Oilers.
• OVER is 15-3 in the past 18 as a home fave for the Oilers.
• Kings are 4-10 in the past 14 trips to Edmonton.
• Road team is 8-3 in the past 11 meetings.
• OVER is 3-1-1 in the past five meetings in Edmonton.

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Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish