2026 State of The Union Odds: Who Will Attend, What Will Trump Say?

Dylan Wilkerson Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

The eyes of the nation and the trading world turn to Capitol Hill this week as President Donald Trump prepares to deliver the State of the Union (SOTU) address. While political analysts focus on policy, bettors are looking at a different set of numbers: prediction market odds.

Platforms like Kalshi have seen a surge in volume as traders look to capitalize on the President’s rhetorical tendencies and who will be in attendance. For those looking to get a piece of the action, we’re breaking down the most notable props and market shifts heading into the big night.

The State of the Union will take place on Tuesday, February 24th and 9 P.M. ET.

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Updated on 4/4/26

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What Will Trump Say at the State of the Union?

Prediction markets offer trading on plenty of markets, including markets reagrding the State of the Union address. Below are the latest odds for what Trump will say while addressing the nation.

Who Will Attend the State of the Union?

There has been plenty of news about who will be in attendance at the State of the Union. With the recent Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariffs, DJT has been vocal about his unhappiness with the court. There is no surprise that justices like Gorsuch and Amy Coney Barrett are anywhere from 50% to 75% to be in attendance. Here are the latest odds on who will be in attendance at the State of the Union.

The Bottom Line

Whether you’re watching for the policy or the payouts, the 2026 State of the Union is shaping up to be one of the most heavily traded political events of the year. Keep a close eye on the live odds as the President approaches the rostrum—volatility is expected.

Dylan Wilkerson

Dylan Wilkerson has over 5 years of experience reporting and analyzing the sports betting industry for various sites. His portfolio includes work for SportsHandle and Action Network, in addition to VegasInsider. His favorite sports are the NFL, College Football, The PGA Tour, the LIV Tour, and Cricket. Dylan has a broad and deep understanding of various sports-related topics. More from Dylan Wilkerson