Premier League Matchday 33 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

We're back with our English Premier League (EPL) best bets and predictions for fixtures on Matchday 33. Matches are set to begin on Saturday, April 16 and end on Sunday, April 17. Check out the top bets, odds and betting trends to consider for the weekend matches.

TOTTENHAM vs. BRIGHTON

• Date: Saturday, Apr. 16
• Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
• Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
• Location: London, England

Best Bets 

BTS - No (-110)
Tottenham Clean Sheet (+120)
Harry Kane Anytime Goal (+105)

The goal total is a bit tricky here, as Tottenham has gone OVER 2.5 in nine of 10 league matches played on Saturdays. Also, Tottenham is 19-12 on the Over 2.5 market this season while Brighton is just 8-23. With differing trends, consider the cheaper value in the BTS market failing to hit at -110. Brighton is 15-16 on the BTS missing, while Tottenham is 12-19. If confident in Tottenham winning along with this market, consider the clean sheet for +120 instead.

We've hit on Son's goal scoring the past two weeks, but his value is now -110 to score. Let's move to a different player in the prop department with Harry Kane's plus-value. He has scored in five of six league matches when facing Brighton, and with Son's outburst the defense might keen in on him more allowing Kane to find the net. He also had a brilliant assist last week to one of Son's goals, so he seems to be in good form in terms of a cerebral offensive mindset.

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MANCHESTER UNITED vs. NORWICH

• Date: Saturday, Apr. 16
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Old Trafford
• Location: Manchester, England

Best Bets 

Manchester United Clean Sheet (-115)
Under 2.5 (+155)

Man U has looked rubbish to say the least, but taking on a bottom-table club at home should be fine for taking them here. United has won six of eight league matches to nil when facing Norwich, while Norwich has failed to find the net in two straight league matches. As the underodg Norwich has also seen the BTS market fail to hit in 23 of its last 26 league road matches played on a Saturday.

This also leads to a possible goal total going Under 2.5 for solid +155 value. The clean sheet is recommended more, but the value for the Under is worth a shot as Man U has gone Under 2.5 in six straight home league matches when playing during the daytime on a Saturday. The trends point to a shutout win for Man U though, which has hit against Norwich in three of four.

WATFORD vs. BRENTFORD

• Date: Saturday, Apr. 16
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Vicarage Road
• Location: Watford, England

Best Bets 

BTS - Yes (-120)
Over 2.5 (+110)
Ivan Toney Anytime Goal (+140)

There should be goals scored in this match, as the Over 2.5 has hit in five straight league matches for Brentford when playing on the road on a Saturday. Brentford has also seen the BTS hit in those five matches, so testing the Over 2.5 at +110 is worth a shot for the combined record 33-30 that slightly favors the Over for both clubs. This also suggests the BTS might hit for a cheap -120.

The best prop is Ivan Toney scoring a goal, as he has actually scored the first goal for Brentford in two of three league matches played on Saturday. Toney has also scored two or more goals in two of its last three league matches when playing on a Saturday.

WEST HAM vs. BURNLEY

• Date: Sunday, Apr. 17
• Time: 9:15 a.m. ET
• Venue: London Stadium
• Location: London, England

Best Bets 

West Ham ML (-135)
West Ham Clean Sheet (+135)
Michail Antonio Anytime Goal (+200)

West Ham should be fine winning this match, considering it's a home match and Burnley just sacked its manager. West Ham has won two of its last three league matches when facing Burnley. They have also seen home teams win six straight league matches, while Burnley has lost four straight to nil when playing as the underdog. All these trends point to West Ham's moneyline worth a take and the clean sheet option for those feeling froggy.

A prop to consider is for Michail Antonio to score a goal at anytime for a solid +200 line. Antonio has found the back of the net in two of his last three league matches when facing Burnley.

NEWCASTLE vs. LEICESTER

• Date: Sunday, Apr. 17
• Time: 9:15 a.m. ET
• Venue: St. James' Park
• Location: Newcastle, England

Best Bets 

Leicester +0.5 (-130)
BTS - Yes (-140)
James Maddison Anytime Goal (+240)

If you're confident in Leicester here, taking the +230 is perfectly fine as the club has won seven of its last eight against Newcastle when playing during the daytime. Also, Leicester has won four of five overall against Newcastle. Live betting is not a bad idea here either, as a 0-0 draw has hit at halftime for Newcastle in three of four matches.

Leicester has won the second half in the seven of eight games mentioned above, while the second half Over 2.5 market has hit in four of the last five meetings. In layman's terms, the trends suggest a draw at half goals to score in the second. Thats a bit risky though, so the best bet is Leicester to win or see a draw for a cheap -130. James Maddison to find the net is also worth a look at odds close to +250. He has scored a goal in three straight matches when facing Newcastle during the daytime.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers