EPL Matchday 6 Picks, Predictions, Odds

Andrew Beasley Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Andrew Beasley is back for best bets, predictions and picks for Premier League Matchday 6 fixtures that begin on Saturday, September 3.

Updated on 12/26/2024

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Manchester United vs. Arsenal

• Date: Sunday, September 4
• Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
• Venue: Old Trafford
• Location: Manchester, England

Best Bet: Arsenal ML (+155)

This will be a fascinating match. After an abysmal start to the season, a win over Liverpool in their last home game suggested Erik ten Hag has begun to steer Manchester United in the right direction.

Arsenal have had no issues in getting results, with five wins from five, but four of the teams they have played go into the weekend in the bottom eight in the table. This is their first proper test.

It’s one in which they’ve generally done well in recent times. They lost at Old Trafford last season but not in the three Manchester meetings before that, and only once in the last seven home or away have they tasted defeat. Arsenal’s unlikely title charge can continue with another win here.

Brentford vs. Leeds United

• Date: Saturday, September 3
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Gtech Community Stadium
• Location: Brentford, England

Best Bet: Over 2.5 (-140)

Leeds won at Brentford on the final day of last season to preserve their Premier League status after a very testing campaign. They have started this season in decent form but so have the home side.

While it is a tough outcome to call, there should be plenty of goalmouth action – these teams are both in the top eight clubs in the division for expected goals this season. Both meetings in 2021/22 paid out on over 2.5 goals and this should do likewise.

Chelsea vs. West Ham United

• Date: Saturday, September 3
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Stamford Bridge
• Location: London, England

Best Bet: Double Chance: X or West Ham United (+160)

Chelsea are short priced favorites to win this match, despite conceding two goals more than West Ham this season and looking easy to play against by their own manager’s admission.

The sides have won three apiece across the last six meetings, suggesting it could go either way. However, West Ham have only lost four of the previous 10 clashes, and look equipped to head back across London with at least point.

The expected goal data has an away win as the value pick of the weekend, but as Chelsea have had an extra day to prepare, we’ll take ‘draw or West Ham’ instead.

Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace

• Date: Saturday, September 3
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: St. James' Park
• Location: Newcastle, England

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score: Yes (-125)

Both teams have scored in Crystal Palace’s last four matches, which is decent going when you consider they visited Liverpool and Manchester City in that spell. Not many sides will score at Anfield and the Etihad Stadium this season.

Newcastle have faced the Premier League’s best two teams in their last three games too and were seconds away from getting score draws in both matches. The Magpies won this fixture 1-0 last season, but the more recent form suggests both teams will score here.

Nottingham Forest vs. Bournemouth

• Date: Saturday, September 3
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: The City Ground
• Location: Nottingham, England

Best Bet: Nottingham Forest ML (+100)

Bournemouth might have won both meetings of these teams last season but the first was before Nottingham Forest had appointed Steve Cooper, the manager who transformed them from relegation favorites into play-off winners.

These teams have also had equal starts to the season, with one win and a draw apiece from the opening five match weeks. The underlying data greatly favors the home side though. There will be very few occasions this season where Forest are both favorites and also a good value selection, but this is one of them.

Updated on 12/26/2024

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Wolverhampton vs. Southampton

• Date: Saturday, September 3
• Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
• Venue: Molineux Stadium
• Location: Wolverhampton, England

Best Bet: Draw (+240)

Wolves were booed off by their fans after a 0-0 draw at Bournemouth in midweek and are in desperate need of a win. They may take confidence against Southampton from the fact they have won the last three meetings of the sides.

However, no team in the Premier League has drawn more games this season, and the Saints were unbeaten in three at Molineux prior to their previous visit. Although Southampton beat Chelsea last time out and an away win would not be a shock, this has the feeling of yet another stalemate for Wolves.

Andrew Beasley

Andrew Beasley is a freelance football writer who uses his statistical knowledge and insight of soccer to provide betting previews, strategy articles and podcasts for a variety of websites and bookmakers. Primarily focussed on the EPL, if the data is available for another league, he’ll manage to find an edge somewhere.Andrew was also part of the victorious team in season 15 of the BBC quiz show Only Connect. He’s good at spotting sequences and connections in soccer too. More from Andrew Beasley