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The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the host New York Mets on Friday night in the second of a four-game set. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET from Citi Field. Coverage will be nationally televised on ESPN+.
This will be a pitching matchup between a pair of righties. Mitch Keller will take the mound for the Pirates. Taijuan Walker is the starting pitcher for the Mets. Keller is 5-10 with an ERA of 4.01. Walker has an 11-4 record, and his ERA is 3.48.
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The Mets handled the Pirates 7-1 in the series opener. Carlos Carrasco tossed 11 strikeouts in six innings for the Mets. Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor hit a home run and had two RBI. Mets designated hitter Daniel Vogelbach went 2-for-2 with three RBI.
Heading into Sept. 16, the Mets led the defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves by one game in the NL East. The Mets have a run differential of +137. The Mets are 2-3 in their last five games. In their last series, the Mets were swept in three games by the visiting Chicago Cubs.
The Pirates are last place in the NL Central and have a run differential of -205. The Pirates are 4-1 in their last five contests. Prior to this set, the Pirates swept four games at the host Cincinnati Reds.
Keller has allowed 142 hits, 12 home runs, and 51 walks, while throwing 115 strikeouts in 137.0 innings. The Pirates are 2-3 in Keller’s last five outings. In Keller’s last game vs. the Cardinals on Sept. 11, he gave up no earned runs and two hits with six strikeouts in seven innings.
Walker has given up 122 hits, 12 home runs, and 40 walks, in addition to tossing 106 strikeouts in 134.2 innings. The Mets are 1-4 in Walker’s last five games. In Walker’s last outing vs. the Miami Marlins on Sept. 11, he allowed one earned run and five hits while throwing 10 strikeouts in seven innings.
Prior to Sept. 16, the Pirates ranked 17th in home runs (145), 27th in slugging percentage (.366) and RBI (484), 28th in on-base percentage (.289) and 29th in batting average (.223). Center fielder Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates across the board in batting average (.259), home runs (23), RBI (54), on-base percentage (.338), and hits (124). Third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes is second on the Pirates with 113 hits and leads the team with 17 stolen bases. First baseman Michael Chavis has 91 hits and 14 home runs.
Before Sept. 16, the Mets ranked second in on-base percentage (.329), fifth in batting average (.258), seventh in RBI (638), 10th in slugging percentage (.410), and 15th in home runs (149). Second baseman Jeff McNeil leads the Mets in batting average (.322), on-base percentage (.374), and hits (151). First baseman Pete Alonso is tops on the Mets in home runs (35) and RBI (112). Lindor is second on the Mets in hits (149), home runs (24), RBI (94) and stolen bases (15).
The Mets are 3-1 in four games against the Pirates this season. The Mets are favored by 1.5 runs vs. the Pirates. For the money line, it’s Pirates +215 and Mets -267. The over/under is set for 7.5 runs.
Prior to Sept. 16, the Pirates are 74-69 against the spread overall and 38-34 against the spread on the road. For over/under, the Pirates are 63-70-10 overall and 27-39-6 on the road.
Before Sept. 16, the Mets are 77-67 against the spread overall and 36-36 against the spread at home. In terms of over/under, the Mets are 73-65-6 overall and 36-33-3 at home.
Figure on the over due to another high-scoring game from the Mets. Look for the Mets to cover the spread and defeat the Pirates to earn win No. 2 in the series.
Written by Rolando Rosa, our US sports betting industry expert.
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