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College Basketball

Supercomputer Predicts NCAA Champion

Harry Sadoun
Harry Sadoun Sports Betting Expert
2 minute read

March Madness has not disappointed thus far and we still have the final weekend to go. Two unlikely contenders have found their way to the Final Four with 11 North Carolina State and 4 Alabama making it further than anyone expected, including Bettingexpert’s supercomputer, BETSiE. Ahead of this weekend’s matchups we put BETSiE back to work to predict how the final weekend will play out. Below you can find its predictions as well as predictions from the Sweet 16 and our methodology.

Final Four and Championship

FINAL FOUR
TEAMSWin %
Connecticut88.1%
Alabama11.9%
Purdue89.0%
North Carolina St11.0%
REMAINING SCHOOLS
RankTEAMWINFINAL
1Connecticut61.2%88.1%
2Purdue34.7%89.0%
3Alabama3.1%11.9%
4North Carolina St1.0%11.0%

BETSiE is high on the favorites this weekend, giving both UConn and Purdue a nearly 90% chance to win their matchups. The computer has also officially joined the masses in predicting the Huskies to become the first back-to-back champions since Florida in 2007 and 2008. BETSiE gives UConn a 61% chance to win it all with Purdue in a distant second with their chances sitting just under 35%. If the Crimson Tide or Wolfpack were to claim the national championship it would be a true shocker, with BETSiE giving Alabama only a 3% chance and NC State an even smaller chance at 1%. With sports betting now legal in the Tar Heel State though, local fans who want to wager on the Wolfpack’s longshot bid should check out our North Carolina sportsbooks review to find which one is best for them.

Sweet 16 Predictions

TEAMSWin %
Connecticut82.8%
San Diego St17.2%
Illinois32.8%
Iowa St67.2%
Houston70.6%
Duke29.4%
North Carolina St21.9%
Marquette78.1%
Purdue73.7%
Gonzaga26.3%
Creighton37.0%
Tennessee63.0%
North Carolina68.1%
Alabama31.9%
Clemson22.7%
Arizona77.3%

Full Tournament Predictions

RankTEAMWINFINALFINAL 4ELITE 8
1Houston24.5%39.1%58.4%70.6%
2Connecticut24.1%40.3%56.3%82.9%
3Purdue12.6%23.8%46.3%73.6%
4Iowa St8.2%17.4%29.4%67.3%
5Arizona8.0%18.8%45.5%77.3%
6Tennessee6.2%13.5%30.4%63.0%
7North Carolina5.6%13.9%36.1%68.1%
8Duke3.9%9.3%20.1%29.4%
9Marquette2.0%6.7%19.6%78.1%
10Creighton1.4%4.2%12.9%37.0%
11Illinois1.1%3.7%8.9%32.7%
12Gonzaga0.9%3.1%10.4%26.4%
13Alabama0.7%2.6%11.5%31.9%
14San Diego St0.5%1.9%5.4%17.1%
15Clemson0.2%1.2%6.8%22.7%
16North Carolina St0.0%0.3%1.9%21.9%

Highlights

While Houston remains BETSiE’s favorite to win it all this year, their chances are dwindling and UConn is right on their heels. After the supercomputer’s pre-tournament predictions gave the Cougars a 31.7% chance to cut down the nets, that number has dropped to 24.5% following the first two rounds of play. The Huskies, however, have improved their odds from 19.4% to 24.1%. BETSiE heavily favors those two squads to make the championship game, which would be an exciting conclusion to this season’s March Madness.

With all of the 1 and 2 seeds from this year’s tournament still playing, BETSiE doesn’t expect many upsets this weekend. The supercomputer predicts the higher seed will win each Sweet 16 matchup. BETSiE is not high on North Carolina however. The Tar Heels have only the 7th best odds of winning the championship of all remaining teams. This makes them the lowest rated one seed, and even ranks them behind three of the four remaining 2 seeds (with Marquette being the only one ranked lower at 9). BETSiE has UNC as the only victim of an upset this weekend as well, with the computer projecting 2 seed Arizona to defeat them in the Elite 8.

Keep an eye out as we update our supercomputer predictions each week throughout the tournament and use this information to help inform wagers on the Big Dance. Before placing any bets, make sure to check out our sportsbook bonus codes to get the best offers.

Methodology

BETSiE predictions are based on 1 million simulations of the entire NCAA tournament. These simulations take into account factors such as team rankings, matchup odds, level of competition, average scoring by both teams, and win-loss probabilities.

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Harry Sadoun

Harry Sadoun

Harry Sadoun is a seasoned sports betting expert with a wealth of experience in the iGaming and sports betting industry. Over the past 5 years, he has established himself as a go-to source for insightful analysis and predictions at Vegasinsider. With a passion for sports, Harry specializes in football, basketball, tennis, rugby, and soccer, showcasing a diverse understanding of athletic competitions. Harry's unique approach to sports betting is rooted in a combination of statistical analysis, in-depth research, and a keen understanding of the dynamics that influence game outcomes. His expert opinions and strategic insights have made him a trusted voice in the industry, guiding both novice and seasoned bettors alike. With an unwavering commitment to delivering accurate and up-to-date information, Harry Sadoun continues to be a prominent figure in the world of sports betting, providing enthusiasts with the tools they need to make informed decisions. More from Harry Sadoun
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