UFC 280 Betting Odds Analysis
Two titles will be up for grabs at UFC 280. Charles Oliveira and Islam Makhachev will square off for the vacant UFC Lightweight Championship, and Aljamain Sterling will defend his UFC Bantamweight Championship against T.J. Dillashaw. This might be the most exciting undercard of the year too, as we have a total of seven fights against ranked fighters slated for this promotion.
UFC 280 is slated to take place on Saturday, October 22, 2022, from the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The main card will get underway at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN PPV.
UFC 280: OLIVEIRA VS. MAKHACHEV ODDS COMPARISON
UFC 280: OLIVEIRA VS. MAKHACHEV PREDICTION
Charles Oliveira defeated Justin Gaethje at UFC 274, but he lost his UFC Lightweight Championship after failing to make weight by a half-pound before the event. Oliveira was looking to defend the title for the second time after scoring a knockout of Michael Chandler at UFC 262, yet he will now need to win back the belt.
Despite his immense success over the last five years, the oddsmakers continue to doubt Oliveira. He has won 11 straight fights and has set the record for most finishes in the UFC (19) and most submission victories (16). However, Oliveira hasn’t been more than a -130 favorite in any of his last five fights, and he was an underdog in three of those bouts.
Islam Makhachev is 22-1 in his MMA career. His only loss came in his second UFC bout, as he was dropped by Adriano Martins in the first round at UFC 192. Since that defeat, Makhachev has won 10 straight fights, and he has largely been an enormous favorite by the MMA betting odds.
However, while Makhachev has been dominant, he hasn’t taken on top tier opponents. His best win has come against No. 10 ranked lightweight Arman Tsarukyan, so this is a big step up in competition for him.
Prediction: Charles Oliveira by Submission
UFC 280: OLIVEIRA VS. MAKHACHEV ODDS ANALYSIS
Charles Oliveira UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
(WIN) Charles Oliveira (-130) vs. Justin Gaethje
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
(WIN) Charles Oliveira (+120) vs. Dustin Poirier
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
(WIN) Charles Oliveira (-125) vs. Michael Chandler
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
(WIN) Charles Oliveira (+161) vs. Tony Ferguson
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
(WIN) Charles Oliveira (+125) vs. Kevin Lee
Islam Makhachev UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
(WIN) Islam Makhachev (-760) vs. Bobby Green
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
(WIN) Islam Makhachev (-440) vs. Dan Hooker
UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moises
(WIN) Islam Makhachev (-700) vs. Thiago Moises
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
(WIN) Islam Makhachev (-400) vs. Drew Dober
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
(WIN) Islam Makhachev (-380) vs. Davi Ramos
UFC 280: STERLING VS. DILLASHAW ODDS COMPARISON
UFC 280: STERLING VS. DILLASHAW PREDICTION
Aljamain Sterling is one of the most unpopular fighters in the UFC. Sterling became the first fighter in UFC history to claim a title by DQ after telling the referee that he couldn’t continue following an illegal knee from champion Petr Yan in the fourth round of their title fight. Yan was in full control of the match when he committed a bonehead mistake, leading to Sterling being crowned champion.
Sterling was a heavy underdog by the UFC betting lines in the rematch at UFC 273, but he fared much better and managed to win a split decision over Yan. He has now won seven straight bouts, and Sterling is a moderate favorite over T.J. Dillashaw in his second title defense.
Former UFC Bantamweight Champion T.J. Dillashaw has only fought once since January 2019. He was suspended for two years after testing positive for EPO following his title fight with Henry Cejudo, and he was not impressive in his return to the Octagon last summer.
Dillashaw managed to win a split decision over Cory Sandhagen in July 2021. He was a sizeable underdog in the bout, but the judges thought he did enough to get the victory. However, most observers and media outlets believed that Sandhagen should have had his arm raised, leading to some controversy. Dillashaw injured his knee in the bout and hasn’t fought since that point, so there are a lot of questions about his readiness.
Prediction: Aljamain Sterling by Decision
UFC 280: STERLING VS. DILLASHAW ODDS ANALYSIS
Aljamain Sterling UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
(WIN) Aljamain Sterling (+350) vs. Petr Yan
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
(WIN) Aljamain Sterling (+112) vs. Petr Yan
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
(WIN) Aljamain Sterling (-111) vs. Cory Sandhagen
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
(WIN) Aljamain Sterling (-160) vs. Pedro Munhoz
UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
(WIN) Aljamain Sterling (+120) vs. Jimmie Rivera
T.J. Dillashaw UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
(WIN) T.J. Dillashaw (+180) vs. Cory Sandhagen
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
(LOSS) T.J. Dillashaw (-225) vs. Henry Cejudo
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
(WIN) T.J. Dillashaw (-125) vs. Cody Garbrandt
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
(WIN) T.J. Dillashaw (+180) vs. Cody Garbrandt
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
(WIN) T.J. Dillashaw (-215) vs. John Lineker
UFC 280: YAN VS. O’MALLEY ODDS COMPARISON
UFC 280: YAN VS. O’MALLEY PREDICTION
Former UFC Bantamweight Championship Petr Yan has been pretty dominant since joining the promotion. The only fighter Yan has lost to is Aljamain Sterling and one of those defeats was due to a DQ and the other loss was by split decision. Yan has earned convincing victories against his other opponents, including Cory Sandhagen and Jose Aldo.
Sugar Sean O’Malley is one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC. O’Malley has earned a bonus in each of his last six victories, and he has knocked out his foe in each of his last five wins. This is by far the toughest test of his career though, and he’s likely to struggle against Yan.
Prediction: Petr Yan by Knockout
UFC 280: YAN VS. O’MALLEY ODDS ANALYSIS
Petr Yan UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
(LOSS) Petr Yan (-370) vs. Aljamain Sterling
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
(WIN) Petr Yan (-225) vs. Cory Sandhagen
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
(LOSS) Petr Yan (+100) vs. Aljamain Sterling
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
(WIN) Petr Yan (-250) vs. Jose Aldo
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
(WIN) Petr Yan (-470) vs. Urijah Faber
Sean O’Malley UFC Betting Lines History (Last 5 Fights)
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
(NC) Sean O’Malley (-300) vs. Pedro Munhoz
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
(WIN) Sean O’Malley (-290) vs. Raulian Paiva
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
(WIN) Sean O’Malley (-900) vs. Kris Moutinho
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2
(WIN) Sean O’Malley (-333) vs. Thomas Almeida
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
(LOSS) Sean O’Malley (-275) vs. Marlon Vera
