Sunday’s WNBA Best Bets

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

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For the remainder of the WNBA regular season through the playoffs, we'll take a look at the best Sunday bets.

As an added bonus, here is a preview of Saturday's 10:00 p.m. ET matchup between the  Minnesota Lynx (13-10)  and  Phoenix Mercury (15-9) , too.  

The Merc are favored by 2 1/2 at most shops, and rightly so. They're 13-6 ATS in their past 19 outings, and 7-3 ATS across the past 10 when working on one day of rest. In addition, Phoenix has posted a 4-1 ATS mark in their past five against teams with an overall winning record. Minnesota has posted a 1-4 ATS mark in their past five after a straight-up win, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four following a cover. The Lynx have still been good against the number overall, going 4-1 ATS in their past five road games and 5-1 ATS in their past six against the Western Conference. Minnesota has dominated this series of late, at least against the number, going 6-0 ATS in their past six visits to the Valley of the Sun, and 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall. Total bettors will like to know that the 'under' is 21-10-1 ATS in the past 32 meetings in this series, including 7-1-1 in the past nine in Arizona.

Sunday's Games

The  Seattle Storm (18-6)  make the cross-country trek to meet the  Atlanta Dream (14-9)  at 3:00 p.m. ET.  Both of these teams have been red-hot against the spread, so something's gotta give. Seattle has a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in their past four games away from home, while going 7-1-1 ATS in their past nine games overall. They're also an impressive 5-0-1 ATS in the past six games against Eastern Conference foes, while posting a solid 4-1-1 ATS mark in the past six against teams with an overall winning record. For the Dream, they're 4-0 ATS in the past four home outings, while covering six straight overall. Atlanta has stepped up against the upper-echelon clubs, too, going 10-1 ATS in the past 11 against teams with a winning straight-up record and 4-1 ATS in the past five against the Western Conference.

For those interested in the total, the 'over' has connected in seven of the past 10 away from home for Seattle, but the 'under' is 4-1 in their past five while working on just one day of rest. For Atlanta, the over is 5-2 in their past seven against those with a winning overall mark, but the under is a gaudy 10-2 in the past 12 home games. The over has cashed in four straight meetings between these interconference rivals in Atlanta, while hitting in six of the past seven meetings overall. As far as the spread is concerned, the Storm are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 trips to Atlanta and 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings overall in this series.

In another East vs. West matchup, the spiraling  Connecticut Sun (12-12)  hook up with the  Dallas Wings (14-10)  in the Metroplex. It has been a tough road to hoe for Connecticut lately, as they're just 3-9 ATS in the past 12 games away from home, while going a dismal 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall. They have also managed to cover just once in the past five against Western Conference teams, while posting a 2-9 ATS mark in the past 11 against sides with a winning overall record. For the Wings, they're the complete opposite, going 7-2 ATS in the past nine overall, and 5-1 ATS in the past six against the East. Dallas has also covered five in a row at home, while going an impressive 10-1 ATS in the past 11 following a straight-up loss. The trends for the total are all over the board, with the under dominating for Connecticut, and the over dominated for Dallas. In this series, the over is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings, but the under is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Texas. It's probably best to avoid the total in this one.

*** BEST BET ALERT:  The Wings are a strong play laying the four points on their home floor. Elizabeth Cambage dumped in 35 points and 17 boards against the Mystics last time out, setting a two-game WNBA record with 88 points, breaking the old two-game record of 80 set by Minnesota's Maya Moore in 2014. Cambage also is the first player to post back-to-back 30-plus point games with at least 10 rebounds in each outing since Moore. Soar on Cambage's wings to a cover.

We'll keep a running total of the BEST BETS for the remainder of the season.

It's like Rocky IV up in here. East meets West again in Las Vegas, but it's not Drago vs. Apollo Creed. Instead, it's the  Indiana Fever (3-21)  and  Las Vegas Aces (11-13)  who are Living in America. The Fever looked like Apollo Creed against Drago's deafening, precision and steroid-induced blows for most of the season, taking it on the chin. THROW THE TOWEL! But the Fever haven't thrown in the towel, and instead they might come into this one with a little confidence instead. They toppled the  Los Angeles Sparks (14-10)  by a 78-76 score as 13 1/2-point underdogs, covering and winning for the first time in five outings since stunning the Lynx back on July 3. It's the second time the Fever have won straight-up as a double-digit underdog.

The Aces have been huge against the Eastern Conference dating back to the franchise's days in San Antonio, covering 30 of the past 42 against the East, while going 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against teams with a losing overall record. They have covered four of the past five overall. In this series, the Fever are 0-6 ATS in the past six overall, while the 'under' is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Vegas, while going 4-1 in the past five meetings overall.

*** BEST BET ALERT - PART DEUX:  The Aces will win this game by double digits, as the Fever are 3-21 overall for a reason, including 2-10 SU on the road. Lay the 8 1/2 points, sit back, relax and enjoy the Aces.

In the final game of the day, the Sparks host the  Chicago Sky (8-16) . The Sparks are in desperate need of a confidence builder after dropping their last game against the lowly Fever. L.A. has been very un-L.A.-like this season, winning just three of their past 10 games overall. After starting the season 8-2-1 ATS in the first 11 outings, the Sparks are a poor 4-9 ATS across the past 13. These teams have met twice already this season, with L.A. going 2-0 SU/ATS. They won at home against the Sky on June 10 by a 77-59 score as 14-point favorites, and in Chitown by an 81-72 margin to narrowly covering an 8 1/2-point number. The 'under' also connected in each of the outings.

The Sparks are still 13-3 ATS in the past 16 against losing teams, and 17-7 ATS in the past 24 against Eastern Conference clubs. They're also 16-7 ATS iin the past 23 following a straight-up loss, and 11-5 ATS in the past 16 following a non-cover. Chicago is a poor 10-21 ATS in their past 31 at home, 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 5-15 ATS in the past 20 games against a team with a straight-up winning record. And, for what it's worth, L.A. is 8-0 ATS in their past eight on Sundays, while Chicago is 3-12 ATS in their past 15 on Sundays. The Sparks are also 7-1 ATS in their past eight forays into the Windy City, and 11-3 ATS in the past 14 meetings overall. The game is currently OFF the board, but look for the Sparks to be favored by at least three buckets, if not more. They'll have success if they can cool off Courtney Vandersloot, who became the seventh woman in WNBA history to post a triple-double last time out against the Wings on Friday.

VegasInsider Staff

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